2022 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Women's Saber

Sunday, February 6, 2022 at 2:30 PM

ROCKLAND COMMUNITY COLLEGE - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ANTHONY Alexia B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 35%
2 JEONG Katie 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 38%
3 MAKLIN Sofia 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 32%
3 KHAN Alissa 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
5 GOMERMAN Sophia 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17%
5 ZENG Sarah 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 4%
7 NAYAK Esha 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 7%
8 SHI Julia 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 33% 7%
9 TSUI Natalie 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
10 DAI Olivia 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3%
11 MCKEE Brynnley 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
12 HUANG Rachael 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
13 HAMBAZAZA Liisa 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 27% 5%
14 MONTORIO Lily M. 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 17% 2%
15 ZHANG Sophie 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
16 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
17 MALEK Zolie 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
18 WU Helen 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 24%
19 HE Lizbeth 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
20 MEDVINSKY Alexandra 100% 100% 99% 93% 63% 23% 3%
21 FLATT Sophia 100% 97% 82% 47% 15% 2%
22 NATH Trisha 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 22%
23 MARYASH Samantha 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 16%
24 MUND Ruth 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 20% 2%
25 SHINCHUK Ellisha 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 10%
26 YAN Lena 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2%
27 CHAVAN Arya 100% 98% 74% 32% 6% -
28 ZHENG Valentina 100% 99% 93% 72% 40% 13% 2%
29 KHOST Maeve 100% 95% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
30 LIU Yifei 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
31 YU Zhiang 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
32 CHAN Madeleine V. 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% -
33 HU Anna 100% 99% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
34 CHO Kaeli M. 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% < 1% -
35 YOUNG Charlotte G. 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 25%
36 ZHANG Chenfei 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
37 YOUNG Audrey 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 18% 2%
38 BERRIOS Catalina 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 13% 2%
39 LAURI Keira 100% 85% 47% 15% 3% - -
40 KALINICHENKO Yekaterina 100% 94% 70% 35% 11% 2% -
41 MYAT Chloe 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 10% 1%
42 LOO Kaitlyn 100% 99% 89% 62% 29% 7% 1%
42 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 7% 1%
44 KUANG TongFei 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
45 GUVEN Coco 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 18% 2%
46 BUSH Bethany 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
47 MARGULIAN Maria 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% -
48 KRASOWITZ Lucy 100% 89% 53% 18% 3% -
49 ALTIRS Kate 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
50 RANDALL-COLLINS Shea M. 100% 98% 79% 37% 7% 1%
50 GUGALA Hanna 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
52 KNOBEL Sophia 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% -
53 PROZUMENT Elizabeth 100% 67% 25% 5% - -
54 LIM Alexa J. 100% 98% 79% 38% 8% 1%
55 LAGOON Miriam 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 2% -
56 KANDADAI Lara 100% 97% 72% 33% 8% 1% -
57 CHOU Amy R. 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
58 SRINATH Lyra A. 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -
59 CHIARELLI Valentina 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
60 LI Alexis 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
61 NEUMAN Ella 100% 97% 75% 28% 5% - -
62 HO Sophia 100% 52% 9% - - - -
63 MAGITSKY Leila 100% 60% 20% 4% - - -
64 KULIK Sophia 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
65 SVENSSON Siri Lin 100% 80% 34% 7% 1% - -
66 PALMIERI Giuliana M. 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
67 ONG Lauren 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
68 BORGUETA Madison 100% 97% 75% 35% 9% 1% -
69 ALAMI Amira 100% 65% 24% 5% - -
70 METTKE Ella 100% 29% 3% - - -
71 BERNSTEIN Avery 100% 94% 60% 20% 3% - -
71 CHO-SAYEGH Emily 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
73 SALANDY Lilly 100% 34% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.