April Championship and NAC

Div I Women's Saber

Friday, April 12, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Salt Lake City, UT - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZAGUNIS Mariel L. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 42% 10%
2 THOMPSON Kamali A. 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
3 RUSSO Francesca 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
3 MICHEL Violet N. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
5 BURKE Nora S. 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 30% 6%
6 TARTAKOVSKY Elizabeth 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 10%
7 CZYZEWSKI Veronica O. 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 4% -
8 FOX-GITOMER Chloe N. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
9 SHELTON Aleksandra 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 36%
10 JENKINS Ryan J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 24%
11 SINGLETON-COMFORT Leanne 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
12 LINDER Kara E. 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 4%
13 ADYNSKI Gillian I. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
14 KONG Vera 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2%
15 MENTZER Katherine 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
16 HIRSCH Sydney R. 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4%
17 TIMOFEYEV Daniella 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
18 MERZA Celina 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 3%
19 LU Vivian Y. 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
20 GREENBAUM Atara R. 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 3%
21 LITYNSKI Jacqueline Z. 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2%
22 POSSICK Lola P. 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
23 THEODORE Maria A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 9%
24 HOFFMAN Ilsa L. 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 5% -
25 KIM Zoe 100% 99% 89% 65% 32% 9% 1%
26 CHEN Erin Y. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 5%
27 MILLER Sky 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
28 LIANG Megan 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 18% 2%
29 CHAMBERLAIN Maia C. 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
30 WILLIAMS Chloe C. 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% -
31 STRZALKOWSKI Aleksandra (Ola) M. 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
32 WHANG Rebecca 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% -
33 GOUHIN Chloe 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
34 JENKINS Morgan J. 100% 99% 95% 77% 46% 16% 2%
35 PARKER Abigale B. 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 3%
36 ANGLADE Alexis C. 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
37 WHITE Amber L. 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
38 HARRILL Gillian N. 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
39 OISHI Megumi 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 8% 1%
40 CHERNOMORSKY Maria 100% 87% 52% 18% 4% - -
41 BERMAN Stella 100% 93% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
42 GUTHIKONDA Nithya 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% 1%
43 GREENBAUM Ella K. 100% 94% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
44 LACSON Sarah 100% 87% 49% 15% 2% -
45 HOOGENDOORN Sterre 100% 63% 21% 4% - -
46 HE Charlotte 100% 82% 39% 10% 1% - -
47 REDDY Shreya 100% 92% 66% 32% 9% 1% -
48 SHEALY Maggie 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
49 TANG Catherine H. 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
50 YUN Joy 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 31% 7%
51 MOYA Keona L. 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
52 TONG Kunling 100% 95% 74% 41% 14% 3% -
53 HUNTER Nina B. 100% 99% 87% 56% 22% 4% -
54 WILLIAMS Jadeyn E. 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
55 JOHNSON Edith (Tori) V. 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 27%
56 FREEDMAN Janna N. 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2%
57 HASSAN Aziza R. 100% 97% 76% 39% 11% 1% -
58 KIM Catherine 100% 95% 72% 37% 12% 2% -
59 LEE Alexandra B. 100% 99% 94% 73% 40% 12% 2%
60 WU Erica L. 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
61 BROWNE Alexis G. 100% 97% 84% 55% 23% 5% -
61 OXENSTIERNA Carolina 100% 63% 20% 3% - - -
63 HOOGENDOORN Levi 100% 64% 22% 4% - -
64 KOBOZEVA Tamara V. 100% 66% 25% 5% 1% - -
64 ROH Rachel E. 100% 98% 84% 49% 15% 2% -
66 YURT Leyla 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
67 WANG Caroline Y. 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.