AFM Start of Season RYC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Sunday, September 30, 2018 at 12:00 PM

Sunnyvale, CA - Sunnyvale, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	GEBALA Gabrielle Grace A.	-	-	1%	4%	19%	42%	34%
2	PENG Amber L.	-	1%	6%	21%	37%	28%	8%
3	PANT Anisha	-	-	2%	16%	43%	39%
3	CHUNG Jaein	-	-	3%	16%	41%	40%
5	LUO Sandra J.	2%	18%	37%	30%	11%	1%
6	SUN Ruoxi	2%	15%	34%	33%	14%	2%
7	SU Alena J.	-	-	4%	16%	35%	34%	11%
8	LEE Bethanie	-	2%	10%	26%	35%	22%	5%
9	BHARATHI Maithreyi S.	1%	7%	23%	36%	26%	7%
10	SUN Chien-Yu	1%	13%	34%	35%	15%	2%
11	TOM Caitlyn	-	5%	22%	38%	27%	7%
12	LEE Samantha X.	3%	26%	40%	23%	6%	1%	-
13	UMAP Arna	4%	20%	35%	28%	11%	2%
14	DAVIS Bonnie Z.	-	5%	21%	40%	28%	6%
15	LIN Katherine Y.	-	4%	17%	35%	33%	11%
16	KOSLOW Amicie	5%	26%	40%	24%	5%	-
17	WANG Zoie Z.	-	-	2%	15%	44%	39%
18	KIM Rachel	1%	7%	22%	36%	27%	8%
19	MITLOFF Allison	-	1%	5%	23%	43%	25%	3%
20	ZHEREBCHEVSKA Veronika	-	3%	13%	28%	32%	18%	4%
21	LUH Mia P.	2%	15%	38%	33%	10%	1%
22	CHIRASHNYA Mika	1%	6%	22%	36%	28%	8%
23	ZHANG Eunice	1%	8%	26%	37%	23%	5%
24	RAO Sonia D.	16%	37%	32%	13%	2%	-
25	ZHENG Zoe	-	6%	25%	41%	25%	3%
26	FUNG Emma	5%	26%	41%	24%	4%	-
27	DUONG Zoey	10%	30%	35%	20%	5%	1%	-
28	MANN Sophia J.	2%	15%	36%	34%	12%	1%	-
29	TSANG Catherine	8%	28%	37%	22%	6%	-
30	GONG Chloe	16%	43%	31%	9%	1%	-
31	FUNG Vera	13%	37%	35%	14%	2%	-
32	CONTOS Athena	16%	41%	32%	10%	1%	-
33	WANG Celine S.	2%	12%	30%	34%	18%	4%
35	DAYAL Saahira	3%	16%	35%	33%	12%	1%
36	THOMAS Saejel	10%	31%	35%	18%	5%	-
37	ENRILE Erica	3%	19%	37%	30%	11%	1%
39	MANIKTALA Prisha	6%	23%	35%	25%	9%	1%	-
40	NICKOLOV Nora	3%	15%	33%	33%	15%	2%	-
41	XU Audrey J.	7%	26%	36%	23%	7%	1%	-
42	BOLES Amanda X.	21%	41%	29%	9%	1%	-
43	BENNETT Vienne	11%	32%	35%	17%	4%	-	-
44	YANG Chloee	8%	32%	38%	18%	4%	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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