April Championship and NAC

Div I Men's Saber

Saturday, April 13, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Salt Lake City, UT - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SARON Mitchell S. - - - - 2% 20% 77%
2 DODDO Andrew - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
3 WILLIAMS Grant W. - 1% 5% 18% 33% 31% 12%
3 KARAM Tariq A. - 1% 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
5 SOUDERS Peter F. - - - 1% 10% 37% 51%
6 SHAINBERG Jonah L. - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
7 SKEETE Kamar A. - - - 3% 16% 40% 40%
8 DOLEGIEWICZ Filip - - 3% 12% 30% 37% 18%
9 TE VELDE Noah C. - 4% 15% 31% 32% 15% 3%
10 IGOE Benjamin - - - 6% 38% 55%
11 COHEN Josef A. - 2% 13% 34% 39% 12%
12 KIM Charlson - 2% 9% 26% 36% 23% 4%
13 KIM Stephen E. 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5% -
14 BURGUNDER Quinten (Quin) A. 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
15 JOHNSON Andrew J. - - 2% 11% 30% 40% 18%
16 HARLEY Colby A. 10% 32% 37% 18% 3% -
17 CONTRERAS Alessandro - - 3% 15% 41% 42%
18 BIERNACKI Maciej L. 4% 21% 38% 28% 8% 1%
19 WALKER Dalton F. - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
20 ROHRLACK Charles (Charlie) F. - - 3% 13% 35% 39% 10%
21 GUY Philippe - - 2% 15% 41% 42%
22 SCHMITT Trenton R. 2% 15% 33% 33% 15% 2%
23 MA Jonathan D. - 2% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
24 LANDAU Nathaniel (Nat) B. 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
25 JOHNSON Zachary (Zack) C. - 3% 13% 29% 34% 18% 3%
26 ATTIG Will T. 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 2% -
27 SMITH Jared C. - - 3% 15% 35% 36% 11%
28 BIVINS III George A. 2% 11% 29% 35% 20% 4%
29 COSTIN Michael V. - - - 5% 30% 65%
30 ARMIJO Gabriel K. - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
31 SIERADZKY Dawson 2% 15% 34% 35% 13% 1%
32 PREVEY-SULLIVAN Owen D. 5% 21% 33% 27% 12% 2% -
33 LOSS Geoffrey M. - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
33 ANGLADE Junior Ronald (RJ) E. 7% 25% 35% 23% 8% 1% < 1%
35 THOMPSON Khalil A. - - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
36 MOON Sean H. - 2% 10% 27% 36% 22% 4%
37 OSOLINIEC Victor E. - 3% 15% 36% 36% 10%
38 STONE Ben 4% 21% 38% 28% 9% 1%
39 KOKOSINSKI Eryk 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% -
40 HU William 2% 15% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
41 KANARY Logan A. 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
42 GOODE Matthew (Matt) G. - 5% 19% 34% 30% 11% 1%
42 ERACHSHAW Taras P. 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
44 BOLTON Dawson E. 4% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
45 KOLASA Thomas M. - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
46 LEUNG Mark - 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
47 ZHAO Raymond H. 2% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
48 CHOI HYUNSEOK 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 5%
49 DHINGRA Gian K. 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
50 MULVANEY Alec S. 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
51 PARK Donghwan - 3% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
52 PRIEST Leighton K. 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
53 CHAYEVSKY Kirk 20% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
54 TONG Qilin 3% 16% 31% 30% 16% 4% -
55 DROZ Camden J. 9% 31% 36% 19% 4% -
56 ZIELINSKI Nicholaus M. 3% 24% 40% 26% 6% -
57 CLARKSON Cole 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% -
58 KUPANOFF Dimitri N. 3% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
59 RAINVILLE-POND Schuyler J. 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
60 NADILE Henry V. 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
61 MERCHANT Marcel J. - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
62 OSTER Keegan J. 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
63 MCBRIDE Jackson R. 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
64 MIKA Casper 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% -
65 RICE Vaughn A. 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% -
66 CENTANNI Salvatore (Sal) M. 9% 31% 38% 19% 3% -
67 HAMMER Peter A. 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
68 SOHN Kevin J. 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% -
69 BOLTON Braydon A. 22% 42% 27% 8% 1% -
70 CHAN Zachary D. 7% 27% 38% 22% 5% -
71 LIU Jesse Y. 13% 33% 34% 16% 4% -
72 GREENBAUM Maxwell H. 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 5% -
73 DODRILL Grant 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 1% -
74 MEHTA Sachin N. - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
75 KANG Brandon M. 4% 19% 33% 28% 13% 3% -
76 KUSHKOV Simon O. 2% 14% 33% 35% 15% 1%
77 WILLIAMS Nolan E. 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% -
78 LIN John A. 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% -
79 KULDELL Spencer D. 2% 13% 34% 36% 14% 2%
80 LIANG Connor 7% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1%
81 YEN Darren 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
82 BACON Elias (Eli) H. 5% 22% 37% 28% 9% 1%
83 KIM Brian S. 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% -
83 ZHOU Matthew R. 2% 14% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
85 DANNULL Linus N. 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
86 CAI Lawrence (Larry) 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
87 CHEN Alan 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
88 YOUNG Nash 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% 1% -
89 SCHINDLER Zachary (Milo) 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
90 HUSSAIN Faaris 3% 15% 32% 32% 16% 3% -
91 JULIEN William A 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
91 PORTMANN Stein J. 28% 41% 24% 6% 1% - -
93 WINKLER Lucas G. 7% 27% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
94 FLORES Peter D. 12% 36% 35% 15% 3% - -
95 SMITH David C. 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
96 LIMB Matthew G. 2% 10% 25% 33% 22% 7% 1%
97 HONG Marshall Q. 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1% -
98 MOSZCZYNSKI Adam 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
99 TANG Brendan J. 33% 41% 20% 5% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.