April Championship and NAC

Div I Men's Saber

Saturday, April 13, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Salt Lake City, UT - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SARON Mitchell S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
2 DODDO Andrew 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
3 WILLIAMS Grant W. 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 12%
3 KARAM Tariq A. 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 13%
5 SOUDERS Peter F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 51%
6 SHAINBERG Jonah L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
7 SKEETE Kamar A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 40%
8 DOLEGIEWICZ Filip 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
9 TE VELDE Noah C. 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
10 IGOE Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 55%
11 COHEN Josef A. 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 12%
12 KIM Charlson 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 4%
13 KIM Stephen E. 100% 99% 89% 63% 27% 6% -
14 BURGUNDER Quinten (Quin) A. 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 4% -
15 JOHNSON Andrew J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
16 HARLEY Colby A. 100% 90% 58% 21% 3% -
17 CONTRERAS Alessandro 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
18 BIERNACKI Maciej L. 100% 96% 75% 37% 9% 1%
19 WALKER Dalton F. 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 15% 2%
20 ROHRLACK Charles (Charlie) F. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 49% 10%
21 GUY Philippe 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
22 SCHMITT Trenton R. 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2%
23 MA Jonathan D. 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 32% 7%
24 LANDAU Nathaniel (Nat) B. 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7% 1%
25 JOHNSON Zachary (Zack) C. 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 3%
26 ATTIG Will T. 100% 94% 71% 37% 11% 2% -
27 SMITH Jared C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 11%
28 BIVINS III George A. 100% 98% 87% 59% 23% 4%
29 COSTIN Michael V. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
30 ARMIJO Gabriel K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
31 SIERADZKY Dawson 100% 98% 83% 49% 14% 1%
32 PREVEY-SULLIVAN Owen D. 100% 95% 74% 41% 14% 3% -
33 LOSS Geoffrey M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
33 ANGLADE Junior Ronald (RJ) E. 100% 93% 68% 33% 10% 1% < 1%
35 THOMPSON Khalil A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
36 MOON Sean H. 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 4%
37 OSOLINIEC Victor E. 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 10%
38 STONE Ben 100% 96% 76% 38% 9% 1%
39 KOKOSINSKI Eryk 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 6% -
40 HU William 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
41 KANARY Logan A. 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
42 GOODE Matthew (Matt) G. 100% 100% 94% 75% 41% 11% 1%
42 ERACHSHAW Taras P. 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
44 BOLTON Dawson E. 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
45 KOLASA Thomas M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 40%
46 LEUNG Mark 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
47 ZHAO Raymond H. 100% 98% 83% 50% 16% 2%
48 CHOI HYUNSEOK 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 5%
49 DHINGRA Gian K. 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
50 MULVANEY Alec S. 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 3% -
51 PARK Donghwan 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 20% 3%
52 PRIEST Leighton K. 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
53 CHAYEVSKY Kirk 100% 80% 42% 14% 2% - -
54 TONG Qilin 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 4% -
55 DROZ Camden J. 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% -
56 ZIELINSKI Nicholaus M. 100% 97% 72% 32% 6% -
57 CLARKSON Cole 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% -
58 KUPANOFF Dimitri N. 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
59 RAINVILLE-POND Schuyler J. 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
60 NADILE Henry V. 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% 1%
61 MERCHANT Marcel J. 100% 100% 96% 80% 50% 19% 3%
62 OSTER Keegan J. 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
63 MCBRIDE Jackson R. 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
64 MIKA Casper 100% 98% 84% 55% 23% 5% -
65 RICE Vaughn A. 100% 80% 42% 12% 2% -
66 CENTANNI Salvatore (Sal) M. 100% 91% 60% 22% 3% -
67 HAMMER Peter A. 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1%
68 SOHN Kevin J. 100% 91% 60% 25% 5% -
69 BOLTON Braydon A. 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% -
70 CHAN Zachary D. 100% 93% 65% 27% 5% -
71 LIU Jesse Y. 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% -
72 GREENBAUM Maxwell H. 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
73 DODRILL Grant 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
74 MEHTA Sachin N. 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
75 KANG Brandon M. 100% 96% 76% 44% 16% 3% -
76 KUSHKOV Simon O. 100% 98% 84% 51% 16% 1%
77 WILLIAMS Nolan E. 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% -
78 LIN John A. 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% -
79 KULDELL Spencer D. 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 2%
80 LIANG Connor 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1%
81 YEN Darren 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
82 BACON Elias (Eli) H. 100% 95% 74% 37% 10% 1%
83 KIM Brian S. 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
83 ZHOU Matthew R. 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
85 DANNULL Linus N. 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
86 CAI Lawrence (Larry) 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
87 CHEN Alan 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
88 YOUNG Nash 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
89 SCHINDLER Zachary (Milo) 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 3% -
90 HUSSAIN Faaris 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3% -
91 JULIEN William A 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1% -
91 PORTMANN Stein J. 100% 72% 31% 7% 1% - -
93 WINKLER Lucas G. 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
94 FLORES Peter D. 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
95 SMITH David C. 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
96 LIMB Matthew G. 100% 98% 89% 63% 31% 8% 1%
97 HONG Marshall Q. 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1% -
98 MOSZCZYNSKI Adam 100% 85% 50% 18% 3% - -
99 TANG Brendan J. 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.