March NAC

Y-14 Women's Foil

Friday, March 4, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHANG Yunjia 100% 100% 100% 100% 75%
2 EYER Hailey M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 83%
3 GEBALA Gabrielle Grace A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 78%
3 FEDELI Caterina S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 75%
5 ORVANANOS Anice 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 28%
6 LIU Angel(Daying) 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 10%
7 NISSINOFF Alexandra 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 19%
8 LUO Sandra J. 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
9 LIU Joy Zhaoyi 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
10 MEI Sarah 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 32%
11 GOOR Viviene E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 48%
12 SONG Yuqiao Aprille 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
13 MI Aileen 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 56% 8%
14 DOROSHKEVICH Taisiia 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
14 HAYES Nadia 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
16 YANG Iris 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 19%
17 SEO IRENE Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 27%
18 CHO Rebecca H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 75%
19 CALISE Ella 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 10%
20 CHEN Chloe I. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
21 AMR HOSSNY Sara 100% 100% 100% 93% 21%
22 LI Sophia M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 35% 2%
23 SHEN Emilia 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10% 1%
24 CHOW Annabelle 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
25 DAI Zizhuo (Zizi) 100% 100% 96% 74% 33% 6% -
26 PENG Charlotte 100% 96% 73% 33% 7% -
27 LEE Lavender 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
28 GU Maggie Runlin 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 31% 3%
29 ZHOU Catherine 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 27% 4%
30 CHANG Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 10%
31 HAN Crystal 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 43% 5%
32 ROY Layla 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 39%
33 CHEN Renee 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 38% 4%
34 WANG Zoie Z. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 14%
35 SHENG Chuxi 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 67% 22%
36 OH Ceana 100% 99% 88% 52% 16% 2% -
37 KAPUSTINA Arina 100% 100% 95% 70% 30% 5%
38 SIMONOV Dasha 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 36%
39 KIM Rachel 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 5%
40 AYUPOVA AMELIYA 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 8%
41 LIU Jaelyn A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 72%
42 LOLA DUPUIS 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33% 3%
43 XIE Lillian 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8% 1%
44 BURBERRY Livia 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12% 1%
45 LAI Sophia 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6% -
46 MCLANE Katherine 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% - -
47 MCSHERRY Ava 100% 100% 96% 73% 31% 5% -
48 PAULUS Sloane 100% 96% 70% 26% 4% - -
49 KUMAMOTO Shino 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
50 WEI Angela 100% 96% 74% 35% 7% -
51 COOPER Piper W. 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 18%
52 BAWA Sahana 100% 100% 88% 53% 16% 2%
53 HUBERT AVA CLAIRE 100% 97% 78% 42% 11% 1% -
54 LEVY Avery 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 10% -
55 HO Addison 100% 100% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
56 SWANSON Alexa 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5% -
57 BIODROWICZ Julia 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 36% 4%
58 RICHARD Dominique 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
59 CASCONE Emily 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
60 WANG SIQI 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8%
61 DAVIS Logan 100% 98% 85% 51% 15% 1%
62 HAN Ashley 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 2%
63 FENG Grace 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 4% -
64 YANG Emma 100% 79% 30% 1% -
65 DONDERIS Katherine 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 15% 1%
66 GLASSON Sophia 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 6%
67 REN Kayley 100% 96% 71% 28% 6% 1% -
68 HAFEZ Tahiyah 100% 100% 90% 51% 8% -
69 SOLDATOVA Maria 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 24%
70 DENG Melissa 100% 96% 71% 29% 4% - -
71 YAN Noelle 100% 100% 99% 82% 37% 6% -
72 PHILLIPS Hattie 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 6% -
73 TRACZ Calleigh D. 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
74 LENK Sophie 100% 89% 58% 24% 5% 1% -
74 YU Jane 100% 83% 43% 12% 2% - -
76 WANG CAROL 100% 73% 32% 7% 1% - -
77 MARISI Gianna 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 35% 4%
78 RICHARD Clara 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% -
79 PAULUS Isabella 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% -
80 MAZILLE PAULINE 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 25% 1%
81 GAO Anne 100% 94% 59% 19% 3% - -
81 CHAIDAKIS ALEXINA 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 2% -
83 CHOUET LISE 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
84 WANG Reese 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
85 MARTIRE Alessandra 100% 99% 86% 54% 20% 4% -
85 BROWN Lola 100% 95% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
87 PARK Lina 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13% -
88 COX Sophia 100% 98% 79% 31% 5% - -
89 SHMUKLER Maria 100% 95% 71% 29% 4% - -
90 LUO Miranda 100% 67% 19% - -
91 PEVZNER Nicole 100% 81% 33% 2% -
92 VIJAYAKUMAR Diya 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% -
93 EVELAND Zoe 100% 99% 81% 33% 3% -
94 MAJID Inaaya 100% 75% 32% 7% - -
95 GUEVARRA Isabelle C. 100% 87% 50% 15% 2% -
95 REYNOLDS Lourdes 100% 88% 38% 6% - -
97 CANO Sofia 100% 31% 3% - - -
98 LICHTENSTEIGER Megan 100% 96% 58% 18% 2% -
99 SAIFEE Lamya 100% 87% 48% 13% 2% - -
100 LI Katerina 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
101 BURGESS Logan 100% 86% 46% 12% 1% - -
102 JOO Natalie 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 3% -
103 WANG Sunny 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% - -
103 KUSHLY Dea 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
105 LI Han 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% - -
106 LIU Lucy 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
106 LI Eleanor 100% 54% 13% 1% - - -
108 HSU Kaylin 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
109 TEPMAN Alexandra D. 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% - -
110 ZHANG Alina 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% - -
111 PIQUETTE Annika 100% 63% 18% 2% - - -
111 FIELD Julianna 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
113 BERGEL Daphne 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
114 NIRGUDE Esha 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1% -
115 JIN Amie 100% 57% 12% 1% - - -
116 ZELDIN Nadia 100% 83% 45% 13% 2% - -
116 SUNMAN Rory 100% 70% 19% 2% - - -
118 WANG Jolie Z. 100% 82% 42% 11% 2% - -
119 DESERANNO Seren 100% 95% 71% 33% 7% 1% -
120 LEE emily 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
121 CHAKRAPANI Ila 100% 17% 1% - - -
122 HUANG Ariel Y. 100% 37% 6% - - - -
122 DONG Angela 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 3% -
124 OWENS Elise 100% 95% 71% 34% 8% 1% -
124 CAO Kayla 100% 79% 38% 9% 1% - -
126 DHULIPALA Aparna 100% 73% 25% 4% - - -
126 VANMOORSEL Faye 100% 71% 27% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.