March NAC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Saturday, March 5, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIU Jaelyn A. - - - - - 4% 96%
2 AMR HOSSNY Sara - - - - 2% 23% 74%
3 AYUPOVA AMELIYA - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
3 FEDELI Caterina S. - - - - 1% 13% 87%
5 LIU Joy Zhaoyi - - - - - 9% 90%
6 GOOR Viviene E. - - - - 4% 34% 62%
7 SONG Yuqiao Aprille - - - 4% 28% 68%
8 LEE Lavender - - - 2% 16% 43% 38%
9 DOROSHKEVICH Taisiia - - - - 1% 19% 80%
10 YANG Iris - - - - 4% 28% 68%
11 KIM Rachel - - 5% 24% 43% 27%
12 KAPUSTINA Arina - - 2% 12% 39% 41% 6%
12 DAVIS Logan 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 10% -
14 SUN Chloe - - - 2% 14% 43% 41%
15 LAI Sophia - - 5% 24% 43% 26% 1%
16 CASCONE Emily - - 3% 16% 43% 38%
17 PAULUS Sloane 1% 21% 42% 28% 7% 1%
18 OH Ceana - - 3% 14% 37% 38% 8%
19 CHEN Renee - - 1% 6% 32% 61%
20 HSU Kaylin - 1% 5% 21% 40% 30% 3%
21 NISSINOFF Alexandra - - - - 5% 30% 65%
22 CALISE Ella - - - 1% 7% 34% 59%
23 REN Kayley - 3% 18% 44% 28% 6% 1%
24 LENK Sophie 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10% -
25 JOO Natalie - - 5% 23% 41% 27% 3%
26 LOLA DUPUIS - - 2% 13% 39% 36% 10%
27 DAI Zizhuo (Zizi) - 6% 23% 40% 27% 4%
28 PEVZNER Nicole - 5% 24% 40% 26% 5%
29 SHEN Emilia - 4% 19% 39% 31% 8%
30 GU Maggie Runlin - - - 2% 28% 54% 16%
31 MCSHERRY Ava - - 1% 10% 32% 42% 15%
32 MAZILLE PAULINE - 1% 9% 31% 41% 17% 1%
33 PARK Lina - - - 7% 53% 35% 5%
34 LI Han 3% 20% 38% 29% 9% 1% -
35 PENG Charlotte - 1% 8% 24% 38% 25% 3%
36 MARISI Gianna - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
37 FIELD Elizabeth - 2% 14% 39% 39% 7%
38 YANG Emma - 6% 25% 39% 24% 5%
39 SWANSON Alexa - 6% 26% 41% 23% 3%
40 XIE Lillian - 1% 7% 27% 41% 21% 3%
41 ZAMLYNNY Maya 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
42 LIU Enjia sherry - 1% 7% 25% 40% 24% 3%
43 FENG Grace - 9% 32% 39% 17% 2%
44 HAFEZ Tahiyah 1% 24% 42% 26% 6% -
45 WANG SIQI - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
46 KUMAMOTO Shino - - 1% 12% 38% 38% 11%
47 SAIFEE Lamya 1% 7% 26% 38% 22% 5% -
48 HARRIS Julia - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9% -
49 KIM Sydney 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4% -
50 CHAIDAKIS ALEXINA 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
51 BROWN Lola 1% 10% 26% 35% 22% 6% -
52 HAN Gian 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
53 WANG Jolie Z. 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
54 WANG Amabel 2% 14% 36% 34% 13% 2% -
55 HO Addison 1% 8% 29% 42% 19% 2%
56 ZHANG Soleil C. - 1% 11% 34% 41% 14%
57 YAN Noelle - 8% 30% 40% 19% 3%
58 CHOUET LISE - 6% 26% 40% 24% 4%
59 ZHANG Alina 4% 23% 41% 26% 6% 1% -
60 TEPMAN Alexandra D. 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
61 GAO Anne 1% 10% 26% 34% 23% 6% -
62 ZHANG Gwenyth 13% 38% 35% 13% 2% -
63 DONG Angela 40% 41% 16% 3% - -
64 WANG CAROL 4% 21% 38% 28% 8% 1%
65 TSIMIKLIS aphrodite 3% 17% 32% 31% 14% 3% -
66 COX Sophia 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4% -
67 LUO Miranda 2% 14% 34% 35% 14% 1%
68 DESAI Esha 5% 34% 41% 17% 3% - -
69 JIN Amie 6% 28% 43% 22% 1% - -
70 LICHTENSTEIGER Megan - 5% 24% 39% 25% 5%
71 BERGEL Daphne 7% 31% 41% 19% 3% -
72 WANG Sunny 10% 36% 38% 14% 2% -
73 ZOU Ella - 1% 7% 26% 43% 23% 1%
74 TANG Melody Fujiao 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
75 HAN Mia 9% 35% 41% 13% 2% - -
76 LIU Caydence 1% 7% 26% 40% 22% 4% -
77 ORRINGER Lottie 4% 19% 33% 29% 13% 2% -
78 EYER Brooke 10% 36% 37% 15% 2% - -
79 DAVID Lilou J. 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
79 LI savannah 8% 33% 41% 17% 1% - -
81 MCFARLANE Asha 15% 35% 32% 15% 3% - -
82 QUINTERO Camila 26% 43% 24% 6% 1% - -
83 CANO Sofia 45% 41% 12% 2% - - -
84 WANG DINA C. 7% 29% 37% 21% 5% - -
85 PARK Zena 3% 20% 39% 29% 9% 1%
86 ZELDIN Nadia 8% 40% 37% 13% 2% -
87 CAO Kayla 10% 42% 35% 11% 2% -
88 VIJAYAKUMAR Diya 4% 26% 40% 24% 5% -
89 HUTH Caroline 38% 43% 17% 3% - -
90 YU Jane 5% 22% 34% 27% 10% 2% -
91 LI Olivia 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 2% -
92 ZHANG Ivy 7% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
93 DUAN Sophie - 8% 30% 40% 19% 3% -
94 NIRGUDE Esha 15% 35% 32% 15% 3% - -
95 KIM Sophia 15% 42% 32% 10% 1% - -
96 SAIFEE Zahra 9% 33% 40% 17% 1% - -
97 DESERANNO Seren 2% 13% 33% 35% 14% 2% -
98 DENG Melissa 1% 16% 40% 32% 9% 1% -
99 SHMUKLER Maria 1% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3% -
100 VANMOORSEL Faye 24% 45% 26% 5% - - -
101 CAVANAGH Emma 72% 25% 3% - - - -
102 CULLIVAN Sienna - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12% -
103 MAJID Inaaya 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
104 LEE Allison 31% 44% 21% 4% - - -
105 KRYLTSOVA Eva 15% 40% 32% 11% 2% - -
106 LIN Yunong 61% 33% 6% - - -
106 OWEN Alexandra 64% 31% 5% - - -
106 NEWMAN-GILLIGAN Callahan 86% 14% 1% - - -
109 PIQUETTE Annika 39% 43% 16% 2% - -
110 JIN Sophie 54% 36% 9% 1% - - -
111 MEITZEN Havah 33% 42% 20% 5% - - -
112 ZHANG Constance 27% 47% 23% 3% - - -
112 SHAOOLIAN Maya 42% 42% 14% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.