March NAC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Saturday, March 5, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIU Jaelyn A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96%
2 AMR HOSSNY Sara 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 74%
3 AYUPOVA AMELIYA 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
3 FEDELI Caterina S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87%
5 LIU Joy Zhaoyi 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 90%
6 GOOR Viviene E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 62%
7 SONG Yuqiao Aprille 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
8 LEE Lavender 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 38%
9 DOROSHKEVICH Taisiia 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80%
10 YANG Iris 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
11 KIM Rachel 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
12 KAPUSTINA Arina 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47% 6%
12 DAVIS Logan 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10% -
14 SUN Chloe 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
15 LAI Sophia 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 27% 1%
16 CASCONE Emily 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
17 PAULUS Sloane 100% 99% 78% 36% 8% 1%
18 OH Ceana 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 46% 8%
19 CHEN Renee 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
20 HSU Kaylin 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 33% 3%
21 NISSINOFF Alexandra 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
22 CALISE Ella 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
23 REN Kayley 100% 100% 97% 79% 35% 7% 1%
24 LENK Sophie 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10% -
25 JOO Natalie 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 30% 3%
26 LOLA DUPUIS 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46% 10%
27 DAI Zizhuo (Zizi) 100% 100% 94% 71% 31% 4%
28 PEVZNER Nicole 100% 100% 95% 71% 31% 5%
29 SHEN Emilia 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 8%
30 GU Maggie Runlin 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 70% 16%
31 MCSHERRY Ava 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 15%
32 MAZILLE PAULINE 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 18% 1%
33 PARK Lina 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 40% 5%
34 LI Han 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1% -
35 PENG Charlotte 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 3%
36 MARISI Gianna 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
37 FIELD Elizabeth 100% 100% 98% 84% 45% 7%
38 YANG Emma 100% 100% 94% 69% 29% 5%
39 SWANSON Alexa 100% 100% 94% 67% 27% 3%
40 XIE Lillian 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 24% 3%
41 ZAMLYNNY Maya 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 9% 1%
42 LIU Enjia sherry 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 27% 3%
43 FENG Grace 100% 100% 91% 58% 19% 2%
44 HAFEZ Tahiyah 100% 99% 75% 33% 7% -
45 WANG SIQI 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 10%
46 KUMAMOTO Shino 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 49% 11%
47 SAIFEE Lamya 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5% -
48 HARRIS Julia 100% 100% 94% 75% 39% 9% -
49 KIM Sydney 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4% -
50 CHAIDAKIS ALEXINA 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
51 BROWN Lola 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 6% -
52 HAN Gian 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 3% -
53 WANG Jolie Z. 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4% -
54 WANG Amabel 100% 98% 84% 48% 14% 2% -
55 HO Addison 100% 99% 92% 63% 21% 2%
56 ZHANG Soleil C. 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 14%
57 YAN Noelle 100% 100% 92% 62% 22% 3%
58 CHOUET LISE 100% 100% 94% 68% 28% 4%
59 ZHANG Alina 100% 96% 73% 33% 7% 1% -
60 TEPMAN Alexandra D. 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 2% -
61 GAO Anne 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 6% -
62 ZHANG Gwenyth 100% 87% 49% 15% 2% -
63 DONG Angela 100% 60% 18% 3% - -
64 WANG CAROL 100% 96% 75% 37% 9% 1%
65 TSIMIKLIS aphrodite 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3% -
66 COX Sophia 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 4% -
67 LUO Miranda 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 1%
68 DESAI Esha 100% 95% 61% 20% 3% - -
69 JIN Amie 100% 94% 66% 23% 1% - -
70 LICHTENSTEIGER Megan 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 5%
71 BERGEL Daphne 100% 93% 63% 22% 3% -
72 WANG Sunny 100% 90% 54% 16% 2% -
73 ZOU Ella 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 24% 1%
74 TANG Melody Fujiao 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
75 HAN Mia 100% 91% 56% 15% 2% - -
76 LIU Caydence 100% 99% 93% 67% 27% 4% -
77 ORRINGER Lottie 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 2% -
78 EYER Brooke 100% 90% 54% 17% 2% - -
79 DAVID Lilou J. 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
79 LI savannah 100% 92% 59% 18% 1% - -
81 MCFARLANE Asha 100% 85% 51% 18% 4% - -
82 QUINTERO Camila 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% - -
83 CANO Sofia 100% 55% 14% 2% - - -
84 WANG DINA C. 100% 93% 64% 26% 6% 1% -
85 PARK Zena 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1%
86 ZELDIN Nadia 100% 92% 52% 15% 2% -
87 CAO Kayla 100% 90% 48% 13% 2% -
88 VIJAYAKUMAR Diya 100% 96% 69% 29% 6% -
89 HUTH Caroline 100% 62% 19% 3% - -
90 YU Jane 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2% -
91 LI Olivia 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2% -
92 ZHANG Ivy 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
93 DUAN Sophie 100% 100% 92% 61% 21% 3% -
94 NIRGUDE Esha 100% 85% 51% 18% 4% - -
95 KIM Sophia 100% 85% 43% 11% 1% - -
96 SAIFEE Zahra 100% 91% 58% 18% 1% - -
97 DESERANNO Seren 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2% -
98 DENG Melissa 100% 99% 83% 42% 10% 1% -
99 SHMUKLER Maria 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 4% -
100 VANMOORSEL Faye 100% 76% 31% 5% - - -
101 CAVANAGH Emma 100% 28% 3% - - - -
102 CULLIVAN Sienna 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 12% -
103 MAJID Inaaya 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
104 LEE Allison 100% 69% 25% 4% - - -
105 KRYLTSOVA Eva 100% 85% 45% 13% 2% - -
106 LIN Yunong 100% 39% 6% - - -
106 OWEN Alexandra 100% 36% 5% - - -
106 NEWMAN-GILLIGAN Callahan 100% 14% 1% - - -
109 PIQUETTE Annika 100% 61% 18% 2% - -
110 JIN Sophie 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
111 MEITZEN Havah 100% 67% 25% 5% - - -
112 ZHANG Constance 100% 73% 27% 4% - - -
112 SHAOOLIAN Maya 100% 58% 16% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.