March NAC

Y-10 Women's Saber

Saturday, March 5, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEOU Korina 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
2 GONG Joy 100% 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
3 FOSS Persephone 100% 100% 96% 74% 35% 8% -
3 XIONG Alina 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
5 FUNG Iris 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
6 FAN Alexandria 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 3%
7 KANG Ellie 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
8 NEMORIN Rei 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 2%
9 CASTELO Soleil 100% 100% 98% 85% 57% 23% 4%
10 RYABCHIKOVA Varvara Valeria 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15%
11 WANG JiaQi 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 16% 2%
12 KWON Ava 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
13 MEYERSON Michelle 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
14 KU Alathea-Joy 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
15 DHAR Rana 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
16 HU Heidi 100% 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% -
17 GONZALEZ Veronika 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8%
18 LIANG Claire 100% 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
18 ZHU Elaine 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 20%
20 WANG YueHan 100% 100% 98% 84% 53% 19% 3%
20 NIU Jessica 100% 99% 89% 55% 19% 3% -
22 TONG Laurie 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1%
23 REN Katherine 100% 77% 30% 6% 1% - -
24 WANG Emily 100% 92% 54% 18% 3% - -
25 ZHANG Ashley 100% 97% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
26 CHOI Charlotte 100% 100% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
27 KO Ariel 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 10%
28 KAUL Tara 100% 98% 83% 51% 20% 4% -
29 YANG Shanzhen 100% 88% 46% 14% 2% - -
30 HILD Anya 100% 96% 66% 28% 6% 1% -
31 HUANG Pierra 100% 29% 3% - - - -
32 TA-ZHOU Sophia 100% 63% 18% 2% - - -
33 CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia 100% 46% 8% 1% - - -
34 KARAVAS Lucy 100% 41% 7% 1% - - -
35 BROWN Piper 100% 60% 20% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.