March NAC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Saturday, March 5, 2022 at 1:00 PM

Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KIM Shaun M. - - - 1% 10% 39% 49%
2 LEE Aydan J. - - 2% 14% 44% 40%
3 ATANASSOV Vasil V. - - - 3% 18% 43% 35%
3 GONZALEZ Emilio A. - - - 1% 6% 32% 61%
5 ZHENG Edward L. - - - 1% 10% 40% 48%
6 HOLZ Daniel - - - 3% 15% 42% 40%
7 ZHANG Derek - 2% 14% 33% 36% 15%
8 ZENG Noah - - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
9 WANG Nicolas - - 1% 8% 30% 46% 15%
10 MCCARTHY Gabriel - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 8%
11 BAE Jason I. - - 3% 17% 43% 37%
12 FELDMAN Drew - - 3% 19% 42% 30% 6%
13 BOSITA Carson - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
14 BABAYEV Gabriel A. - - - - 6% 31% 63%
15 KWALWASSER Eric - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19%
16 PENG Bryan - - 1% 7% 26% 43% 23%
17 LIN Daniel - - - 3% 15% 40% 41%
18 ANTHONY Devyn V. - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
19 QIU Nathan - - - 3% 14% 40% 43%
20 GUFFEY Christopher 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
21 PATIL Aaryan A. - - - 1% 9% 35% 54%
22 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu - - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
23 PATEL Rayn - 1% 6% 23% 39% 27% 4%
24 BROU Inkosi - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
25 CHOI Silas - - - 2% 14% 40% 44%
26 CHTERENTAL Alex - 1% 9% 28% 41% 21%
27 LIM William J. - 1% 10% 29% 40% 19%
28 SUGIURA Samuel - 3% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
29 TURCK Caspar J. - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
30 DENBROEDER Ronald (Mackie) - 2% 9% 24% 35% 24% 6%
31 RAMANAN Jaisimh 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2%
32 GOLDIN Lucca 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
33 MICLAUS Justin - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 29%
34 GAO Marcus 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5% < 1%
35 HOUTZ Mitchell B. - 2% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
35 WU Richard - 1% 7% 24% 39% 24% 5%
37 PRIMUS Nazir - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
38 HUANG Alex F. - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
39 TAO Jeffrey - - 2% 12% 34% 40% 12%
40 GONG Jerry - 2% 10% 28% 36% 20% 3%
41 KROON Lucas - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 23%
42 KATZ Ryan 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
43 CARRINGTON IV William T. - 1% 8% 29% 39% 20% 3%
44 SO Preston 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 4% -
45 BYON Adrian - 2% 10% 30% 37% 19% 3%
46 OH Triton - - 4% 15% 32% 34% 15%
47 ZHU Yuchen (Kevin) - 4% 23% 44% 25% 4%
48 YANG Dylan - 2% 10% 30% 40% 18%
49 KUMAR Sachit - 2% 14% 36% 36% 11%
50 ZHANG Yupeng - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
51 ZHANG Ethan W. - 2% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
52 KALPATHY Rohit - 1% 6% 25% 40% 24% 4%
53 WANG Justin 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5% -
54 SU Landon - 6% 22% 38% 27% 6%
55 VARUKATTY-GAFOOR Sohil - 1% 7% 30% 45% 18%
56 TANG Shu Hon 2% 14% 34% 33% 14% 2%
57 GAO Albert - 5% 20% 37% 30% 9%
58 NGUYEN Anthony - 2% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
59 KUSHKOV Daniel - - 4% 19% 39% 31% 8%
60 KANG Evan - 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
61 LUHAN Zachary 10% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
62 BYON Julian 1% 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1%
63 LEE Ashe - 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
64 NARDINI Nathanael P. 1% 7% 27% 39% 22% 4%
65 COOK Cole - 1% 5% 18% 36% 32% 8%
66 VAUGHN Jason - 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
66 HERNANDEZ Stanton 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
68 SHANKWILER Christopher 2% 10% 26% 33% 21% 7% 1%
69 YAP Kah Kai (Cayden) - 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
70 YAN William - 3% 14% 32% 33% 16% 2%
71 WANG Robert - 2% 14% 33% 36% 14%
72 BERA Enzo - - 4% 18% 37% 33% 9%
73 KANG evan - 3% 14% 32% 33% 15% 2%
74 LI Maxwell - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 16%
75 HWANG Jayden 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 7% -
76 JOO Jeein - - 1% 12% 37% 40% 10%
77 ZHOU James Y. 1% 9% 29% 37% 19% 4% -
78 MEDVINSKY Daniel 7% 28% 37% 21% 6% 1%
79 ANAND Rohan - 6% 22% 38% 27% 7%
80 ANAND Sahil Z. 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% -
81 ERMAKOV Semeon - 1% 7% 24% 38% 26% 4%
82 PASTORE LIU Vince - 2% 12% 32% 37% 16% 2%
83 GILSHTEYN Jacob 1% 15% 34% 32% 15% 3% -
84 KIM Ethan - 4% 15% 30% 32% 17% 3%
85 HRISTOV Kris - 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
86 SIMMONS John M. - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
87 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. - 4% 20% 36% 29% 9% 1%
88 ZHENG LEON 2% 16% 34% 31% 14% 3% -
89 LIU Kevin - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
90 HOTHA Nikhil - 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
91 CLARK Aram - - 1% 7% 28% 43% 22%
92 MEYERSON Jacob 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
93 WANG daniel 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
94 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. - 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 1%
95 RAMANAN Govind 1% 11% 32% 35% 17% 3% -
96 VAROQUA Nalby - 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1%
97 ALAVE Kyle - 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
98 FRANCOIS Alexander C. 3% 22% 40% 28% 8% 1%
99 XIA Eric 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% -
100 EYBELMAN Ariel 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1%
101 MCGUIRE Christian - 4% 19% 36% 30% 9%
102 KOVALEV Daniil N. 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
103 BODKIN Jake M. 8% 31% 37% 19% 4% -
104 OH Aster 18% 40% 30% 10% 2% -
105 CLARK Gabriel - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
106 NG Jonathan 17% 36% 30% 13% 3% - -
107 LIN Philip T. - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 1%
108 GAUVEY Kieran 1% 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% -
109 LEE Andrew 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
110 OLARIO Raphael 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
111 HOLZ Lucas 2% 13% 33% 34% 15% 3% -
112 HERRERA aragon 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
113 OLALIA-NAPIER Gabriel 7% 32% 37% 19% 5% 1% -
114 SHIPITSIN Alexander 1% 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
114 FANG Eason 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
116 PINTO Marcus - 5% 24% 43% 23% 4% -
117 WANG HongXi 34% 45% 19% 3% - - -
118 LIN Maxim 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6% -
119 VAID Luke 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
119 MUNGOVAN Matthew 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
121 HALL Noah 3% 26% 45% 23% 4% -
122 TUNG Ryan 6% 25% 37% 24% 8% 1% -
123 CARROLL Charles 20% 43% 28% 8% 1% - -
124 MENDOZA Diwa 7% 27% 37% 22% 7% 1% -
125 SHINCHUK Daniel - 3% 16% 32% 32% 15% 2%
126 KUSANAGI Soshi 25% 44% 24% 6% 1% - -
127 KALOUDIS Sean 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% 1% -
128 WONG Caleb W. 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
129 LIGH Checed 13% 38% 33% 13% 3% - -
130 URSU Marcel T. 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 3%
131 CHUNG Connor 6% 38% 40% 14% 2% -
132 RONG Jasper 12% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
133 ANDRES Michael - 3% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
134 LI linze 4% 20% 38% 28% 9% 1% -
135 DECK Tyson 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
136 HE Bowen 1% 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1%
137 PEREIRA Beckham 4% 17% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
138 HO Anson 14% 35% 33% 15% 4% - -
139 ONG Dylan 7% 36% 40% 14% 2% - -
140 SASSI Ilyas 38% 42% 17% 3% - - -
140 SANGSTER Arden 8% 31% 38% 19% 4% - -
142 MCDONALD Finn 34% 42% 19% 4% - -
143 ATWOOD Griffin 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
144 NGUYENBA Thaison 15% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
145 GONG Gavin 52% 38% 10% 1% - -
146 REHM Liam 7% 31% 39% 19% 4% -
147 HO Nathaniel 4% 23% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
148 WANG Zhuoyi 3% 18% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
149 GUREVICH Savely 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
150 TURECK Nathan 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1%
151 MUNGUIA Nathan 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
152 WEINSTEIN Nate 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
153 WANG Max 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
154 MENON Arjun 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
155 BONETTI Brayden - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
155 SZULIM Lucjan 68% 29% 3% - - - -
157 ZHANG Kaixuan 2% 27% 45% 22% 4% - -
158 BREUER Daniel 34% 42% 19% 4% - - -
159 POFF Kainoa 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
160 FTAIHA Ezra 26% 44% 23% 6% 1% - -
161 SINGER Marcus 9% 35% 39% 14% 2% - -
162 KO Zuriel 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
163 KURILO Michael 4% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
164 PRIEUR Christian F. 33% 42% 20% 4% - -
165 MARGULIAN Grant 7% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
166 GUREVICH Benjamin 4% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
167 ANNUNZIATA Paolo 69% 27% 4% - - -
168 GREMILLION Obadiah 14% 41% 34% 10% 1% - -
169 VILEMAITIS Tadas 19% 42% 30% 9% 1% - -
170 SAMMI Mukul 30% 44% 21% 4% - - -
171 ANNUNZIATA Ciro 54% 35% 9% 1% - - -
172 CHANG Daniel 49% 38% 11% 2% - - -
173 LIM Lincoln 12% 35% 36% 15% 3% - -
173 HUANG Jason 71% 25% 3% - - - -
175 FEI Danny 30% 43% 22% 5% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.