March NAC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Saturday, March 5, 2022 at 1:00 PM

Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KIM Shaun M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
2 LEE Aydan J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 40%
3 ATANASSOV Vasil V. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 35%
3 GONZALEZ Emilio A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
5 ZHENG Edward L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 48%
6 HOLZ Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
7 ZHANG Derek 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
8 ZENG Noah 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
9 WANG Nicolas 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 15%
10 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 8%
11 BAE Jason I. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
12 FELDMAN Drew 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 36% 6%
13 BOSITA Carson 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
14 BABAYEV Gabriel A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
15 KWALWASSER Eric 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
16 PENG Bryan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 23%
17 LIN Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41%
18 ANTHONY Devyn V. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
19 QIU Nathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
20 GUFFEY Christopher 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
21 PATIL Aaryan A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
22 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
23 PATEL Rayn 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 4%
24 BROU Inkosi 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 6%
25 CHOI Silas 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
26 CHTERENTAL Alex 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
27 LIM William J. 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 19%
28 SUGIURA Samuel 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 19% 3%
29 TURCK Caspar J. 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
30 DENBROEDER Ronald (Mackie) 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 31% 6%
31 RAMANAN Jaisimh 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2%
32 GOLDIN Lucca 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
33 MICLAUS Justin 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
34 GAO Marcus 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% < 1%
35 HOUTZ Mitchell B. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
35 WU Richard 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 29% 5%
37 PRIMUS Nazir 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
38 HUANG Alex F. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 23%
39 TAO Jeffrey 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 12%
40 GONG Jerry 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 3%
41 KROON Lucas 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
42 KATZ Ryan 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
43 CARRINGTON IV William T. 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 23% 3%
44 SO Preston 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 5% -
45 BYON Adrian 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 21% 3%
46 OH Triton 100% 100% 99% 96% 81% 49% 15%
47 ZHU Yuchen (Kevin) 100% 100% 96% 73% 29% 4%
48 YANG Dylan 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
49 KUMAR Sachit 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 11%
50 ZHANG Yupeng 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
51 ZHANG Ethan W. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
52 KALPATHY Rohit 100% 100% 99% 94% 68% 28% 4%
53 WANG Justin 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5% -
54 SU Landon 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 6%
55 VARUKATTY-GAFOOR Sohil 100% 100% 99% 93% 63% 18%
56 TANG Shu Hon 100% 98% 83% 50% 16% 2%
57 GAO Albert 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
58 NGUYEN Anthony 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
59 KUSHKOV Daniel 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 8%
60 KANG Evan 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
61 LUHAN Zachary 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
62 BYON Julian 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
63 LEE Ashe 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
64 NARDINI Nathanael P. 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 4%
65 COOK Cole 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 41% 8%
66 VAUGHN Jason 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 14% 2%
66 HERNANDEZ Stanton 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
68 SHANKWILER Christopher 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
69 YAP Kah Kai (Cayden) 100% 100% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
70 YAN William 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 2%
71 WANG Robert 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
72 BERA Enzo 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
73 KANG evan 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
74 LI Maxwell 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 16%
75 HWANG Jayden 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7% -
76 JOO Jeein 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 50% 10%
77 ZHOU James Y. 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4% -
78 MEDVINSKY Daniel 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% 1%
79 ANAND Rohan 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 7%
80 ANAND Sahil Z. 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% -
81 ERMAKOV Semeon 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 4%
82 PASTORE LIU Vince 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 18% 2%
83 GILSHTEYN Jacob 100% 99% 84% 50% 18% 3% -
84 KIM Ethan 100% 100% 96% 81% 52% 20% 3%
85 HRISTOV Kris 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 8% 1%
86 SIMMONS John M. 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
87 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 100% 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
88 ZHENG LEON 100% 98% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
89 LIU Kevin 100% 100% 95% 74% 40% 12% 2%
90 HOTHA Nikhil 100% 100% 95% 72% 36% 9% 1%
91 CLARK Aram 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 22%
92 MEYERSON Jacob 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 8% 1%
93 WANG daniel 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
94 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 1%
95 RAMANAN Govind 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 4% -
96 VAROQUA Nalby 100% 100% 92% 67% 32% 9% 1%
97 ALAVE Kyle 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 20% 3%
98 FRANCOIS Alexander C. 100% 97% 76% 36% 8% 1%
99 XIA Eric 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
100 EYBELMAN Ariel 100% 96% 74% 37% 9% 1%
101 MCGUIRE Christian 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
102 KOVALEV Daniil N. 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 4%
103 BODKIN Jake M. 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% -
104 OH Aster 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% -
105 CLARK Gabriel 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
106 NG Jonathan 100% 83% 46% 16% 3% - -
107 LIN Philip T. 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 14% 1%
108 GAUVEY Kieran 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 6% -
109 LEE Andrew 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% 1%
110 OLARIO Raphael 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% - -
111 HOLZ Lucas 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3% -
112 HERRERA aragon 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
113 OLALIA-NAPIER Gabriel 100% 93% 61% 24% 6% 1% -
114 SHIPITSIN Alexander 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 12% 1%
114 FANG Eason 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
116 PINTO Marcus 100% 100% 95% 71% 28% 5% -
117 WANG HongXi 100% 66% 22% 3% - - -
118 LIN Maxim 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6% -
119 VAID Luke 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
119 MUNGOVAN Matthew 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% -
121 HALL Noah 100% 97% 72% 27% 4% -
122 TUNG Ryan 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
123 CARROLL Charles 100% 80% 37% 9% 1% - -
124 MENDOZA Diwa 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
125 SHINCHUK Daniel 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
126 KUSANAGI Soshi 100% 75% 31% 7% 1% - -
127 KALOUDIS Sean 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
128 WONG Caleb W. 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
129 LIGH Checed 100% 87% 49% 16% 3% - -
130 URSU Marcel T. 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3%
131 CHUNG Connor 100% 94% 56% 16% 2% -
132 RONG Jasper 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% - -
133 ANDRES Michael 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
134 LI linze 100% 96% 76% 38% 10% 1% -
135 DECK Tyson 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
136 HE Bowen 100% 99% 93% 70% 36% 10% 1%
137 PEREIRA Beckham 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
138 HO Anson 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
139 ONG Dylan 100% 93% 57% 16% 2% - -
140 SASSI Ilyas 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
140 SANGSTER Arden 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% - -
142 MCDONALD Finn 100% 66% 24% 5% - -
143 ATWOOD Griffin 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% -
144 NGUYENBA Thaison 100% 85% 46% 14% 2% -
145 GONG Gavin 100% 48% 11% 1% - -
146 REHM Liam 100% 93% 62% 23% 4% -
147 HO Nathaniel 100% 96% 72% 33% 8% 1% -
148 WANG Zhuoyi 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
149 GUREVICH Savely 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
150 TURECK Nathan 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 7% 1%
151 MUNGUIA Nathan 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 3% -
152 WEINSTEIN Nate 100% 97% 81% 47% 17% 3% -
153 WANG Max 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
154 MENON Arjun 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
155 BONETTI Brayden 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
155 SZULIM Lucjan 100% 32% 4% - - - -
157 ZHANG Kaixuan 100% 98% 71% 26% 4% - -
158 BREUER Daniel 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
159 POFF Kainoa 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
160 FTAIHA Ezra 100% 74% 29% 6% 1% - -
161 SINGER Marcus 100% 91% 55% 16% 2% - -
162 KO Zuriel 100% 76% 34% 9% 1% - -
163 KURILO Michael 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2% -
164 PRIEUR Christian F. 100% 67% 24% 5% - -
165 MARGULIAN Grant 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
166 GUREVICH Benjamin 100% 96% 75% 39% 10% 1%
167 ANNUNZIATA Paolo 100% 31% 4% - - -
168 GREMILLION Obadiah 100% 86% 45% 11% 1% - -
169 VILEMAITIS Tadas 100% 81% 39% 10% 1% - -
170 SAMMI Mukul 100% 70% 26% 5% - - -
171 ANNUNZIATA Ciro 100% 46% 11% 1% - - -
172 CHANG Daniel 100% 51% 13% 2% - - -
173 LIM Lincoln 100% 88% 53% 17% 3% - -
173 HUANG Jason 100% 29% 4% - - - -
175 FEI Danny 100% 70% 27% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.