March NAC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Sunday, March 6, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HUANG Alex F. - - - 2% 11% 38% 49%
2 MUNGUIA Nathan - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
3 PASTORE LIU Vince - - 5% 21% 37% 28% 8%
3 HWANG Jayden - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
5 MEHAN Nicholas - - - - 4% 27% 69%
6 KANG evan - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 17%
7 BONETTI Brayden - 1% 6% 19% 33% 30% 11%
8 PEREIRA Beckham - 1% 5% 20% 37% 29% 8%
9 ALAVE Kyle - 1% 6% 19% 33% 30% 11%
10 PATEL Rayn - - 1% 6% 24% 41% 28%
11 JOO Jeein - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 23%
12 LIN Maxim - 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 7%
13 HOLZ Lucas - 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
14 CLARK Aram - - - 4% 23% 52% 22%
15 NGUYEN Anthony - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
16 MEDVINSKY Daniel - 2% 11% 26% 33% 22% 6%
17 ANTHONY Devyn V. - - - 1% 8% 40% 52%
18 YAP Kah Kai (Cayden) - - 5% 26% 45% 24%
19 FANG Eason - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
19 WANG daniel - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
21 GUREVICH Benjamin - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9%
22 WANG Justin - 2% 11% 32% 38% 15% 2%
23 CARRINGTON IV William T. - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 31%
24 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. - 1% 8% 22% 34% 27% 8%
25 OH Aster - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
26 KOVALEV Daniil N. - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
27 WANG Max 10% 30% 35% 20% 5% 1% -
28 ERMAKOV Semeon - - 5% 23% 43% 28%
29 LEE Andrew - 1% 8% 32% 43% 17%
30 KIM Ethan - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
31 PINTO Marcus - 6% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1%
32 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. - 1% 8% 24% 37% 25% 5%
33 SALDARINI Glenn - 2% 13% 34% 38% 14%
34 LIU Kevin - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 20%
35 VAID Luke - - 3% 18% 42% 32% 4%
36 VUONG Kyle Ka-Him - - 1% 9% 28% 42% 21%
37 URSU Marcel T. - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 25%
38 ARISTOV Ilya - 3% 12% 28% 33% 19% 4%
39 NARDINI Nathanael P. - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 6%
40 TANI tino - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
41 KIETLINSKI Samuel - - 3% 17% 43% 32% 4%
42 SO Preston - 3% 12% 28% 34% 19% 4%
43 ONG Dylan 4% 22% 39% 27% 7% 1% -
44 LIU Aaron 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
45 WANG Tiger - 1% 9% 34% 40% 15%
46 WANG Zhuoyi 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 13% 2%
47 LI linze 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
48 NG Jonathan 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3% -
49 MEYERSON Jacob - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
50 JIA Howard 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
51 LI Yidong 22% 40% 27% 9% 2% - -
52 PAUL James 2% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
53 SANGSTER Arden 2% 12% 33% 36% 15% 2% -
54 YOOK Isaac 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
55 DEELY Hartigan 3% 20% 39% 29% 9% 1%
56 RONG Jasper 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
57 CHUNG Connor - 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
58 MCDONALD Finn 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
59 MORGAN Abrahm H. - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
60 KIM Kendrick 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 2%
61 TURECK Nathan 4% 19% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
62 NOVOSYOLOK Zachary - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
63 HO Anson 7% 27% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
64 GONG Gavin 22% 43% 27% 7% 1% -
65 LI Maxwell - 1% 5% 20% 36% 29% 9%
66 HALL Noah - 4% 17% 33% 31% 14% 2%
67 ANAND Rishab 2% 13% 29% 32% 19% 5% 1%
68 SOKOLOV Arseniy 13% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
69 KURILO Michael - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
70 LIU Victor - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
71 CHANG Daniel 15% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
72 LI AYDEN 4% 18% 34% 29% 13% 3% -
73 BREUER Daniel 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
74 KROON Landon 9% 31% 36% 18% 4% 1% -
75 FEI Danny 4% 23% 42% 26% 6% - -
76 SARWAHI Viraat 7% 25% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
77 SAMMI Mukul 6% 25% 37% 24% 8% 1% -
78 HU Jayden 1% 12% 30% 33% 18% 5% -
79 KANG Matthew 1% 7% 26% 39% 23% 5%
80 CHAWLA Abhishek 11% 39% 37% 11% 1% -
81 HU Harry - 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
82 GREMILLION Obadiah 18% 37% 30% 12% 3% - -
83 YANG Phillip 2% 11% 27% 32% 20% 7% 1%
84 BAI Evan - 5% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
85 SASSI Ilyas 13% 34% 33% 15% 4% - -
86 LIN Philip T. - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
87 KIM Samuel 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
88 XIAO Brayden - 4% 17% 37% 33% 9% 1%
89 KUSHKOV Michael 3% 16% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
90 HWANG Hagan 2% 13% 34% 36% 14% 2% -
91 GORDON Samuel 16% 42% 34% 8% 1% -
92 SHAPIRO Simon 22% 43% 27% 7% 1% -
93 YU BOWEN 2% 11% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1%
94 DAI Zihou - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
95 ZHANG Kaixuan 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
96 FENG Brendan 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
96 ANNUNZIATA Paolo 33% 44% 19% 3% - - -
98 HUANG Jason 33% 43% 20% 4% - - -
99 LUO Leonard 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
100 CHEN Cooper 9% 33% 37% 17% 3% - -
101 HARDRICK Noah 14% 33% 33% 16% 4% 1% -
102 LIANG Preston 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
103 MARTINSON Torm 7% 32% 38% 19% 4% - -
104 LEE Gordon 63% 32% 5% - - - -
105 CHEN Jack 15% 47% 29% 8% 1% - -
106 BOSITA Brennan 48% 39% 12% 2% - - -
107 TAYCHER Aaron 1% 11% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
108 SONG Aidan 31% 46% 20% 3% - -
109 LOO Jason 12% 33% 34% 16% 4% - -
110 TUNIK Joshuah 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
111 CHAMBERS Miles 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
112 GREENSTEIN Viktor 9% 42% 35% 12% 2% - -
113 EPLETT Nicholas 13% 39% 34% 12% 2% - -
114 YANG Justin 48% 38% 12% 2% - - -
114 HAO Johnny 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
116 TATAR Daniel 1% 9% 24% 33% 23% 8% 1%
117 RINALDI Savio 53% 38% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.