March NAC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Sunday, March 6, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HUANG Alex F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
2 MUNGUIA Nathan 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 5%
3 PASTORE LIU Vince 100% 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 8%
3 HWANG Jayden 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 8%
5 MEHAN Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
6 KANG evan 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
7 BONETTI Brayden 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 11%
8 PEREIRA Beckham 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
9 ALAVE Kyle 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 41% 11%
10 PATEL Rayn 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
11 JOO Jeein 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
12 LIN Maxim 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
13 HOLZ Lucas 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
14 CLARK Aram 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 22%
15 NGUYEN Anthony 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
16 MEDVINSKY Daniel 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 28% 6%
17 ANTHONY Devyn V. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 52%
18 YAP Kah Kai (Cayden) 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 24%
19 FANG Eason 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
19 WANG daniel 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 12%
21 GUREVICH Benjamin 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 9%
22 WANG Justin 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17% 2%
23 CARRINGTON IV William T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
24 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 100% 100% 98% 91% 69% 35% 8%
25 OH Aster 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 4%
26 KOVALEV Daniil N. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
27 WANG Max 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
28 ERMAKOV Semeon 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
29 LEE Andrew 100% 100% 99% 92% 60% 17%
30 KIM Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
31 PINTO Marcus 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 9% 1%
32 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 5%
33 SALDARINI Glenn 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
34 LIU Kevin 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
35 VAID Luke 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36% 4%
36 VUONG Kyle Ka-Him 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
37 URSU Marcel T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25%
38 ARISTOV Ilya 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 23% 4%
39 NARDINI Nathanael P. 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 6%
40 TANI tino 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 11%
41 KIETLINSKI Samuel 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 36% 4%
42 SO Preston 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
43 ONG Dylan 100% 96% 74% 35% 8% 1% -
44 LIU Aaron 100% 93% 68% 35% 11% 2% -
45 WANG Tiger 100% 100% 99% 90% 56% 15%
46 WANG Zhuoyi 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 16% 2%
47 LI linze 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
48 NG Jonathan 100% 99% 88% 56% 21% 4% -
49 MEYERSON Jacob 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 17% 2%
50 JIA Howard 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
51 LI Yidong 100% 78% 37% 10% 2% - -
52 PAUL James 100% 98% 81% 46% 16% 3% -
53 SANGSTER Arden 100% 98% 86% 54% 17% 2% -
54 YOOK Isaac 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
55 DEELY Hartigan 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1%
56 RONG Jasper 100% 92% 64% 30% 8% 1% -
57 CHUNG Connor 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
58 MCDONALD Finn 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
59 MORGAN Abrahm H. 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 14% 2%
60 KIM Kendrick 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 12% 2%
61 TURECK Nathan 100% 96% 77% 45% 17% 4% -
62 NOVOSYOLOK Zachary 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 2%
63 HO Anson 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
64 GONG Gavin 100% 78% 36% 8% 1% -
65 LI Maxwell 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
66 HALL Noah 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
67 ANAND Rishab 100% 98% 85% 57% 25% 6% 1%
68 SOKOLOV Arseniy 100% 87% 51% 18% 3% - -
69 KURILO Michael 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
70 LIU Victor 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
71 CHANG Daniel 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
72 LI AYDEN 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
73 BREUER Daniel 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
74 KROON Landon 100% 91% 59% 23% 5% 1% -
75 FEI Danny 100% 96% 74% 32% 6% - -
76 SARWAHI Viraat 100% 93% 68% 34% 11% 2% -
77 SAMMI Mukul 100% 94% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
78 HU Jayden 100% 99% 87% 57% 24% 5% -
79 KANG Matthew 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 5%
80 CHAWLA Abhishek 100% 89% 50% 13% 1% -
81 HU Harry 100% 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
82 GREMILLION Obadiah 100% 82% 45% 16% 3% - -
83 YANG Phillip 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 7% 1%
84 BAI Evan 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
85 SASSI Ilyas 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
86 LIN Philip T. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
87 KIM Samuel 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
88 XIAO Brayden 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 9% 1%
89 KUSHKOV Michael 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
90 HWANG Hagan 100% 98% 86% 51% 16% 2% -
91 GORDON Samuel 100% 84% 43% 9% 1% -
92 SHAPIRO Simon 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% -
93 YU BOWEN 100% 98% 88% 61% 29% 8% 1%
94 DAI Zihou 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
95 ZHANG Kaixuan 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
96 FENG Brendan 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
96 ANNUNZIATA Paolo 100% 67% 23% 4% - - -
98 HUANG Jason 100% 67% 24% 4% - - -
99 LUO Leonard 100% 95% 74% 39% 13% 2% -
100 CHEN Cooper 100% 91% 58% 20% 3% - -
101 HARDRICK Noah 100% 86% 53% 20% 5% 1% -
102 LIANG Preston 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
103 MARTINSON Torm 100% 93% 61% 24% 5% - -
104 LEE Gordon 100% 37% 5% - - - -
105 CHEN Jack 100% 85% 38% 9% 1% - -
106 BOSITA Brennan 100% 52% 14% 2% - - -
107 TAYCHER Aaron 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 5% -
108 SONG Aidan 100% 69% 23% 3% - -
109 LOO Jason 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
110 TUNIK Joshuah 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
111 CHAMBERS Miles 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
112 GREENSTEIN Viktor 100% 91% 49% 14% 2% - -
113 EPLETT Nicholas 100% 87% 48% 14% 2% - -
114 YANG Justin 100% 52% 13% 2% - - -
114 HAO Johnny 100% 92% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
116 TATAR Daniel 100% 99% 90% 65% 33% 9% 1%
117 RINALDI Savio 100% 47% 9% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.