March NAC

Y-10 Women's Foil

Sunday, March 6, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SUN Chloe 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
2 JOO Natalie 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 1%
3 FIELD Elizabeth 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 8%
3 ZOU Ella 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 16%
5 TSIMIKLIS aphrodite 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
6 FENG Grace 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 24%
7 CULLIVAN Sienna 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 34%
8 ORRINGER Lottie 100% 99% 89% 56% 19% 2%
9 LUO Miranda 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
9 ZHANG Soleil C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
11 LIU Enjia sherry 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
12 BROWN Lola 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 46% 7%
13 PARK Zena 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37% 4%
14 HARRIS Julia 100% 100% 95% 76% 44% 15% 2%
15 ZHANG Gwenyth 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
16 OKADA MISAKI 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 10%
17 EYER Brooke 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 9% 1%
18 DUAN Sophie 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36% 4%
19 HAN Gian 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
20 LIN Yunong 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1% -
21 WANG Amabel 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
22 LI savannah 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
23 ZHANG Constance 100% 98% 84% 48% 13% 1% -
24 HUTH Caroline 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 4% -
25 LI Olivia 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 11% 1%
26 MCFARLANE Asha 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% -
27 SHAOOLIAN Maya 100% 61% 18% 2% - -
28 WANG DINA C. 100% 51% 13% 2% - - -
29 BERNDT Camryn 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
30 KIM Sydney 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
30 HAN Mia 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
32 TANG Melody Fujiao 100% 98% 85% 49% 14% 1%
33 RAFFAELE Nancy 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
34 STEIXNER Mia 100% 92% 58% 19% 3% - -
35 MUMMANENI Samyuta 100% 98% 84% 51% 19% 3% -
36 SAIFEE Zahra 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
37 NEWMAN-GILLIGAN Callahan 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% - -
38 SHAOOLIAN Alexa 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% - -
39 MORENO Josefina 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
39 OWEN Alexandra 100% 89% 56% 22% 5% - -
41 BAULIN Zoya 100% 96% 73% 32% 6% - -
42 NAYGAS Alexandra 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
43 FRASER Morgan 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 4% -
44 KIM Sophia 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
45 HAFEZ Sahar 100% 84% 40% 9% 1% -
46 ALLEN Sophia 100% 97% 74% 36% 10% 1% -
47 TEPMAN Zoey 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.