Richmond, VA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | WATRALL Rick | D D V D D | V V V V V V | 3.8 | 1 | -2.8 |
| 2 | RICHARDS Dick | V V V V V D | V V V V D | 4.9 | 5 | +0.1 |
| 3 | DRAGONETTI Walter E. | V D V V V V | V V V D | 5.1 | 5 | -0.1 |
| 3 | MCGOVERN Vincent J. | D D D V D | V V V V D | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| 5 | SCHINDLER Sergey M. | V V V V D | V V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 6 | VARNEY John R. | V D D V V | V V D | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| 7 | SZOKOLAY Robert E. | D V D V D | V V V D | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| 8 | DOWNEY Gerard C. | V V D D D | V V V D | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| 9 | HAYENGA Gary M. | V V V D V V | V D | 4.8 | 5 | +0.2 |
| 10 | HENZLER Thomas A. | V V D V V | V D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 11 | O'DOWD Andrew J. | V D V V V | V D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 12 | RANES Evan | V V V V D | V D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 13 | MARIANI Lou | D V V D V | V D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 14 | GLASS Timothy C. | V V V D D | V D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 15 | ALEXANDER Chuck | V V D D V | V D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 16 | POPOVICI Alexander M. | V D D V V | V V D | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
| 17 | HUGHES Michael D. | V V V V V | D | 3.0 | 5 | +2.0 |
| 18 | MARSHALL William L. | V V V D V V | D | 2.9 | 5 | +2.1 |
| 19 | HANAHAN Thomas M. | D V V V V | D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 20 | SMITH Herman E. | V V V V D | D | 2.0 | 4 | +2.0 |
| 21 | PERKA Michael | D V V V V | D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 22 | KAROLAK Dale W. | V V D V V | D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 23 | JENSEN David | V V D V V D | D | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
| 24 | SIMMONS Matthew C. | D V V V D V | D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 25 | FANGMAN Daniel L. | D D V V V V | D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 26 | DELGADO Jr. Eli M. | D D V V V | V D | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
| 27 | SWANSON Dave | V D V V D | V D | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 28 | BENNETT Craig | D V D V D V | V D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 29 | LIPTON Michael D. | V D V D D D | V D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 30 | NEALE James H. | D V D D D V | V D | 3.9 | 2 | -1.9 |
| 31 | KLEIN Johannes | D V D D V D | V D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 32 | TKACH Robert W. | D D V D D | V D | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
| 33 | MAHMOUD Hossam | V V D D D | D | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 34 | CHUNG Henry | D V D D V | D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 35 | EVANS Allen L. | D D D D V | D | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| 36 | ERDEK Michael | D D D D V | D | 0.4 | 1 | +0.6 |
| 37 | LUTTON Thomas (Tom) W. | D D V D D | D | 3.2 | 1 | -2.2 |
| 38 | LANDIS Geoffrey A. | V D D D D | D | 0.6 | 1 | +0.4 |
| 39 | FRANZ Alfred M. | D D D D V | D | 0.6 | 1 | +0.4 |
| 40 | MISCIAGNA Martin A. | D D V D D | D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| 41 | SIEDOW Jeffrey | D D V D D D | D | 1.0 | 1 | - |
| 42 | PIERRO Roger | D D D D D | D | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
| 43 | O'REILLY Robert | D D D D D D | D | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| 44 | KLUCZYNSKI Mike k. | D D D D D D | D | 0.5 | 0 | -0.5 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.