March NAC

Y-14 Women's Saber

Monday, March 7, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIU Sophie 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
2 KIM Marley I. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
3 LU Elaine 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
3 WEI JoyAnn 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 6%
5 JUNG Irene 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
6 NATH Trisha 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 24%
7 MAKLIN Sofia 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 44%
8 CHEN Kevy 100% 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 2%
9 LEE Hannah 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
10 SO Catelyn 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
11 ZHANG Sophie 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 26% 4%
12 PAUL Lila 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53%
13 JEONG Katie 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6%
14 SCHIMINOVICH Sophia I. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
15 DONG Angel 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
16 KHAN Alissa 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
17 JOHNSON Dagny L. 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 23%
18 FEIG Sela 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 5%
19 NGUYEN Siena 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 20% 3%
20 RAMIREZ Mirka A. 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
21 ZHANG XUANYI 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
22 DHAR Layla 100% 94% 65% 26% 5% -
23 HU Michelle 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
24 MUND Ruth 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 3%
25 ZENG Sarah 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 27% 4%
26 HENRY Soraya S. 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
27 TSUI Natalie 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
28 BERMAN greta 100% 99% 92% 64% 25% 4%
29 MARGULIAN Maria 100% 94% 62% 22% 4% -
30 XU Emily T. 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 7%
31 DAI Olivia 100% 100% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
32 SHI Julia 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 6% -
33 NAYAK Esha 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% 1%
34 LEMUS-IAKOVIDOU ALEXANDRA 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4%
35 CHRISTOTHOULOU Olympia C. 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
36 MCKEE Brynnley 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 18%
37 LIM Jaslene 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 1%
38 HUANG Rachael 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 5%
39 MEDVINSKY Alexandra 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 3%
40 YANG Lea 100% 100% 97% 83% 46% 10%
41 HWANG Gabriela M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
42 LIN Nicole 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
43 FESTA Carina 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 14%
44 WU Helen 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
45 CHIARELLI Valentina 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
46 TABANGAY Heartlyn 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
47 GOMES Diana C. 100% 99% 88% 61% 26% 5%
48 ZHANG Chenfei 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
49 NICHOLAS Eva 100% 97% 78% 39% 9% 1%
50 ANTHONY Alexia B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 17%
51 FERNANDEZ Martina 100% 89% 58% 24% 5% 1% -
52 VINOGOROVA Sofiia 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 2%
53 ARNOLD Hali 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 9%
54 MYAT Chloe 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 9% 1%
55 HAMBAZAZA Liisa 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 16%
56 HUAI Delilah 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 8%
57 STONE Coral 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% -
58 MARYASH Samantha 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 8%
59 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 22% 3%
60 LATYSHAVA Stephanie 100% 95% 72% 35% 10% 1% -
61 LIU Yifei 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 9% 1%
62 HAMMERSTROM Aria 100% 98% 80% 40% 10% 1% -
63 FAVO Isabella 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% -
64 LOO Kaitlyn 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 1%
65 YOUNG Charlotte G. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 29% 4%
66 CHO Michelle 100% 99% 83% 47% 16% 3% -
67 ALTIRS Kate 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
68 SHEARER Alena 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% 1%
68 GOLDIN Nina 100% 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% -
70 MERCHANT Aishwarya 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
71 YU Zhiang 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 11% 1%
72 KONDEV Elizabeth 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
73 WANG Zidan 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
73 KINKADE Ellie 100% 99% 87% 55% 18% 2%
75 SPEARS Mya B 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 9%
76 SENOGLU Irmak 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
77 YOUNG Audrey 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 5%
78 LI Alexis 100% 83% 45% 14% 3% - -
79 PANTALEON-MAZOLA Amari 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 4% -
80 KURAEVA Vasilisa 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 15% 2%
81 GAUTAM Sahana 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 4%
82 GARRETT Madrid 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 6% -
83 ELNATAN Mica A. 100% 96% 73% 36% 9% 1%
84 HSU leah 100% 95% 67% 27% 5% -
85 CANSECO Carly 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6%
86 CHAN Jolene 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
86 DANTULURI Shalini 100% 97% 75% 37% 10% 1%
88 LIU Kelly 100% 98% 83% 46% 12% 1%
89 HU Anna 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% -
90 BERNARD Kathryn 100% 98% 84% 49% 16% 2%
91 KHOST Maeve 100% 85% 51% 18% 4% -
91 BERRIOS Catalina 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1%
93 CHIANG Melissa 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1%
94 SCHOEW Margot 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% 1%
95 MALEK Zolie 100% 95% 73% 34% 8% 1%
96 WANG Jiayi 100% 59% 17% 2% - -
97 MUNGUIA Mila 100% 98% 65% 24% 5% - -
98 HAN Emma 100% 65% 22% 4% - - -
99 TENG EMMA 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
100 WANG Callie 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
101 TURIANO Nadelle 100% 79% 41% 13% 2% - -
102 CAO Sophie 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% -
103 BROWN Olivia 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 6%
104 ZHANG Emily 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% -
105 ARMSTRONG Katherine 100% 95% 69% 27% 5% -
106 CHAVAN Arya 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% -
107 ATTIA Jasmine 100% 60% 19% 3% - -
108 BORGUETA Madison 100% 90% 53% 16% 2% -
109 PADANILAM Lily 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% -
110 NEUMAN Ella 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% -
111 BLAKE Anna 100% 93% 65% 28% 7% 1%
112 BELEV Christa 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
113 DEHON Inès 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 4% -
114 CHI Claire 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
115 RANDALL-COLLINS Shea M. 100% 95% 69% 30% 7% 1% -
116 BAO Jingxuan 100% 26% 3% - - - -
117 DANTULURI Shivani 100% 91% 58% 21% 4% - -
118 CHO Kaeli M. 100% 92% 53% 15% 2% - -
119 ZHENG Ziqi (Jessie) 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 15% 2%
120 ZHOU Ruoxi ( Jasmine) 100% 99% 86% 54% 20% 4% -
121 CHAN Madeleine V. 100% 83% 43% 12% 1% -
122 MANSPERGER Gia 100% 66% 24% 5% - - -
122 POLSTON Ella 100% 92% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
124 WENG Amber 100% 46% 9% 1% - -
125 PROZUMENT Elizabeth 100% 53% 13% 1% - -
125 LEE Tammy 100% 43% 9% 1% - -
127 ROUIS Nina 100% 12% - - - - -
128 KRASOWITZ Lucy 100% 77% 35% 9% 1% - -
129 HO Sophia 100% 32% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.