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Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	DAI Zihou	-	1%	9%	24%	35%	24%	7%
2	URSU Marcel T.	-	-	-	1%	9%	37%	53%
3	HU Harry	-	-	2%	13%	33%	38%	14%
3	JIA Howard	-	1%	7%	22%	35%	27%	8%
5	TANI tino	-	-	1%	5%	20%	42%	32%
6	LIU Victor	-	-	1%	5%	20%	42%	34%
7	KROON Landon	1%	10%	27%	34%	21%	6%	1%
8	CHAMBERS Miles	-	-	3%	15%	34%	35%	12%
9	ARISTOV Ilya	-	-	1%	6%	25%	42%	26%
10	GREENSTEIN Viktor	1%	11%	29%	34%	20%	5%	1%
11	TAYCHER Aaron	-	1%	8%	27%	39%	22%	3%
12	MARTINSON Torm	-	3%	18%	36%	30%	11%	1%
12	KANG Matthew	-	2%	11%	28%	35%	20%	4%
14	BAI Evan	-	1%	5%	18%	34%	31%	11%
15	YU BOWEN	-	1%	8%	22%	35%	26%	8%
16	CHEN Jack	9%	30%	36%	20%	5%	1%	-
17	HWANG Hagan	-	1%	10%	30%	37%	19%	2%
18	WONG Hawken	-	-	3%	13%	31%	36%	17%
19	XIAO Brayden	-	1%	8%	23%	35%	25%	7%
20	MIAO Heqi	-	5%	21%	37%	28%	9%	1%
21	LIANG Preston	-	4%	21%	37%	28%	9%	1%
22	YANG Phillip	-	1%	9%	26%	36%	23%	5%
23	LIAO Sirui	1%	8%	25%	35%	23%	6%	1%
24	SO Morgan	-	2%	12%	32%	36%	16%	2%
25	BOSITA Brennan	19%	39%	29%	11%	2%	-	-
26	YANG Justin	39%	41%	16%	3%	-	-	-
27	HAO Johnny	5%	21%	34%	27%	11%	2%	-
28	D'AMELJ Edoardo	-	1%	8%	23%	35%	26%	8%
29	KUSHKOV Michael	-	3%	14%	30%	33%	16%	3%
30	ZHANG KAIQI	3%	16%	33%	31%	14%	3%	-
31	KARAVAS Nicholas	11%	32%	34%	17%	4%	1%	-
32	SONG Aidan	19%	48%	26%	6%	1%	-	-
33	BADMUS Joshua	2%	12%	29%	32%	18%	5%	1%
34	KANTIPUDI Srihaas	22%	42%	28%	7%	1%	-	-
35	CROOKS Andrew	3%	16%	33%	31%	14%	3%	-
35	HU Jayden	1%	7%	24%	35%	25%	8%	1%
37	SLAVNOV Anton	-	3%	16%	34%	32%	12%	2%
38	HOLMES Xavier	3%	17%	33%	30%	14%	3%	-
39	TATAR Daniel	1%	7%	22%	33%	26%	10%	2%
40	YU Ian	23%	39%	27%	9%	2%	-	-
41	HAN Kyle	15%	39%	33%	11%	2%	-	-
42	MALEK Zak	-	3%	18%	36%	30%	11%	1%
43	MCCULLOCH Jack	-	2%	10%	26%	34%	22%	5%
44	FU BRANDEN	16%	38%	32%	12%	2%	-	-
45	SO Dylan	7%	26%	35%	23%	8%	1%	-
46	CHANG Joshua	8%	31%	38%	18%	4%	-	-
47	LIUZHANG Ben	47%	41%	11%	1%	-	-	-
47	KOHLER Vaughn	10%	31%	36%	19%	5%	1%	-
49	MAUREL Louis	29%	41%	22%	6%	1%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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