March NAC

Y-10 Men's Saber

Monday, March 7, 2022 at 11:00 AM

Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DAI Zihou 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 7%
2 URSU Marcel T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53%
3 HU Harry 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 14%
3 JIA Howard 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
5 TANI tino 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 32%
6 LIU Victor 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
7 KROON Landon 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
8 CHAMBERS Miles 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 12%
9 ARISTOV Ilya 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
10 GREENSTEIN Viktor 100% 99% 88% 59% 26% 6% 1%
11 TAYCHER Aaron 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 3%
12 MARTINSON Torm 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 1%
12 KANG Matthew 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
14 BAI Evan 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
15 YU BOWEN 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 34% 8%
16 CHEN Jack 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
17 HWANG Hagan 100% 100% 99% 88% 59% 21% 2%
18 WONG Hawken 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
19 XIAO Brayden 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
20 MIAO Heqi 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 9% 1%
21 LIANG Preston 100% 100% 96% 74% 37% 9% 1%
22 YANG Phillip 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 28% 5%
23 LIAO Sirui 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% 1%
24 SO Morgan 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
25 BOSITA Brennan 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
26 YANG Justin 100% 61% 20% 4% - - -
27 HAO Johnny 100% 95% 74% 40% 14% 2% -
28 D'AMELJ Edoardo 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 34% 8%
29 KUSHKOV Michael 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
30 ZHANG KAIQI 100% 97% 81% 48% 18% 3% -
31 KARAVAS Nicholas 100% 89% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
32 SONG Aidan 100% 81% 32% 6% 1% - -
33 BADMUS Joshua 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 6% 1%
34 KANTIPUDI Srihaas 100% 78% 36% 8% 1% - -
35 CROOKS Andrew 100% 97% 81% 48% 18% 3% -
35 HU Jayden 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
37 SLAVNOV Anton 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 2%
38 HOLMES Xavier 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
39 TATAR Daniel 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 2%
40 YU Ian 100% 77% 38% 11% 2% - -
41 HAN Kyle 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% - -
42 MALEK Zak 100% 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 1%
43 MCCULLOCH Jack 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 5%
44 FU BRANDEN 100% 84% 45% 14% 2% - -
45 SO Dylan 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
46 CHANG Joshua 100% 92% 60% 22% 4% - -
47 LIUZHANG Ben 100% 53% 12% 1% - - -
47 KOHLER Vaughn 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
49 MAUREL Louis 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.