April Championship and NAC

Div III Men's Saber

Saturday, April 13, 2019 at 2:00 PM

Salt Lake City, UT - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 COTTER Liam 100% 100% 100% 96% 72% 24%
2 HENNICKE Michael G. 100% 99% 93% 65% 27% 5%
3 KIM Benjamin H. 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 13%
3 MORRIS Samuel A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 56% 13%
5 LEVIN Mark A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 16%
6 TANG Alex Y. 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 40% 10%
7 SUORSA Markus 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 25% 5%
8 CHANG Colin S. 100% 100% 97% 79% 34% 5%
9 HUANG Eric 100% 100% 99% 87% 52% 14%
10 POPE Nico 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 21% 4%
11 NEUHEARDT Peter 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
12 WILDMAN John 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
13 BARBER William S. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 5%
14 ZU Kevin 100% 100% 100% 99% 84% 39%
15 HASNAH Henry 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 7%
16 BRAR Sanjeet 100% 99% 93% 71% 38% 12% 2%
17 BARBER Brendan 100% 97% 80% 49% 19% 4% -
18 LIU kelly 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 5%
19 OWENS William 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 27%
20 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
21 ASHBY Ethan J. 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1%
22 RABINKOV Anthony 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
23 WESLER Logan A. 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
24 BERGER Oliver 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
25 CHEONG Heonjae 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 4%
26 HONG Vincent Q. 100% 100% 95% 65% 25% 4%
27 WUN William 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 5%
28 LE Hayden 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 9% 1%
29 MICHNA Colin P. 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 7% 1%
30 QUAN Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 26%
31 EPSTEIN Henry N. 100% 93% 67% 33% 10% 2% -
32 GREENBAUM Ian L. 100% 96% 76% 41% 14% 2% -
33 GORDON-SAND Spencer 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 10%
34 DESAI Drewv D. 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 10%
35 VILLARREAL Mateo 100% 51% 11% 1% - -
36 RAJA Arnav 100% 100% 99% 92% 56% 13%
37 KOTOV Leonid 100% 98% 83% 51% 20% 4% -
38 BRUSIE Christopher R. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 7%
39 ERACHSHAW Cyrus P. 100% 100% 99% 90% 67% 32% 7%
40 LEITH Jack 100% 72% 30% 6% 1% - -
41 KILBOURNE Lance 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1% -
42 YEN Preston 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
43 FONZO Ian 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 44% 12%
44 SCHERER Max 100% 85% 43% 8% 1% -
45 PLONKA Derek 100% 88% 45% 8% 1% -
46 ESPARZA Hilario 100% 64% 19% 2% - -
47 MAURI Gherardo 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 2%
48 XU Luke 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 2% -
49 ZIPPER Michael E. 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 31% 7%
50 HUANG Zekai 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 6% 1%
51 COVINGTON Max G. 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 14%
52 REED Samuel J. 100% 83% 41% 9% 1% -
53 OWENS Harrison J. 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1%
54 MALDARI Frank 100% 59% 17% 2% - -
55 PEARSON James G. 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
56 REBELLO Derek 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
57 LEUNG Nathan 100% 89% 53% 18% 3% - -
58 SUSANTO Samuel (sammy) 100% 84% 40% 6% - -
59 MADRID Derek 100% 71% 31% 8% 1% - -
60 MEHTA Nalin J. 100% 64% 22% 4% - -
61 ELIN Adam E. 100% 80% 42% 14% 3% - -
62 CAAMANO Leo P. 100% 81% 39% 9% 1% -
62 ROBERTS Sam 100% 87% 44% 9% 1% -
64 LU Evan 100% 85% 43% 12% 2% -
65 TIERNO Thomas J. 100% 55% 16% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.