April Championship and NAC

Div III Men's Saber

Saturday, April 13, 2019 at 2:00 PM

Salt Lake City, UT - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 COTTER Liam - - 4% 24% 48% 24%
2 HENNICKE Michael G. 1% 7% 27% 38% 22% 5%
3 KIM Benjamin H. - 2% 15% 35% 35% 13%
3 MORRIS Samuel A. - 1% 8% 36% 42% 13%
5 LEVIN Mark A. - - 1% 10% 32% 41% 16%
6 TANG Alex Y. - 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 10%
7 SUORSA Markus - 2% 12% 27% 34% 20% 5%
8 CHANG Colin S. - 3% 18% 45% 29% 5%
9 HUANG Eric - 1% 12% 35% 38% 14%
10 POPE Nico - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
11 NEUHEARDT Peter 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
12 WILDMAN John - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
13 BARBER William S. - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 5%
14 ZU Kevin - - 1% 15% 45% 39%
15 HASNAH Henry - 6% 23% 37% 27% 7%
16 BRAR Sanjeet 1% 6% 21% 33% 26% 10% 2%
17 BARBER Brendan 3% 17% 31% 29% 15% 4% -
18 LIU kelly - 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5%
19 OWENS William - - 5% 24% 44% 27%
20 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. - 2% 11% 31% 38% 18%
21 ASHBY Ethan J. 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1%
22 RABINKOV Anthony - 3% 15% 30% 32% 17% 3%
23 WESLER Logan A. 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
24 BERGER Oliver - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
25 CHEONG Heonjae 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
26 HONG Vincent Q. - 5% 29% 40% 21% 4%
27 WUN William - 2% 9% 25% 35% 23% 5%
28 LE Hayden 1% 8% 24% 34% 25% 8% 1%
29 MICHNA Colin P. 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
30 QUAN Nicholas - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 26%
31 EPSTEIN Henry N. 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
32 GREENBAUM Ian L. 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
33 GORDON-SAND Spencer - 1% 5% 18% 35% 32% 10%
34 DESAI Drewv D. - 3% 18% 37% 32% 10%
35 VILLARREAL Mateo 49% 40% 10% 1% - -
36 RAJA Arnav - 1% 8% 36% 42% 13%
37 KOTOV Leonid 2% 15% 32% 31% 15% 4% -
38 BRUSIE Christopher R. - - 4% 19% 39% 30% 7%
39 ERACHSHAW Cyrus P. - 1% 8% 24% 34% 25% 7%
40 LEITH Jack 28% 43% 24% 6% 1% - -
41 KILBOURNE Lance 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
42 YEN Preston - 3% 13% 29% 33% 19% 4%
43 FONZO Ian - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 12%
44 SCHERER Max 15% 43% 34% 8% 1% -
45 PLONKA Derek 12% 43% 37% 8% 1% -
46 ESPARZA Hilario 36% 45% 17% 2% - -
47 MAURI Gherardo 1% 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
48 XU Luke 2% 16% 35% 33% 12% 2% -
49 ZIPPER Michael E. - 2% 9% 24% 34% 24% 7%
50 HUANG Zekai 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 5% 1%
51 COVINGTON Max G. - 2% 13% 35% 37% 14%
52 REED Samuel J. 17% 42% 32% 8% 1% -
53 OWENS Harrison J. 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1%
54 MALDARI Frank 41% 42% 14% 2% - -
55 PEARSON James G. 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
56 REBELLO Derek 6% 25% 35% 24% 8% 2% -
57 LEUNG Nathan 11% 36% 36% 15% 3% - -
58 SUSANTO Samuel (sammy) 16% 44% 34% 5% - -
59 MADRID Derek 29% 40% 23% 7% 1% - -
60 MEHTA Nalin J. 36% 42% 18% 4% - -
61 ELIN Adam E. 20% 38% 28% 11% 2% - -
62 CAAMANO Leo P. 19% 42% 30% 8% 1% -
62 ROBERTS Sam 13% 43% 36% 8% 1% -
64 LU Evan 15% 42% 32% 10% 1% -
65 TIERNO Thomas J. 45% 39% 13% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.