April Championship and NAC

Div I Men's Foil

Sunday, April 14, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Salt Lake City, UT - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MATHIEU Adam 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
2 BRAVO Kenji U. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
3 KANESHIGE Brian K. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
3 ORTS Lucas E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 36%
5 OLIVARES Marcello G. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 25%
6 MITBERG Gregory W. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
7 PAIK Joon K. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
8 GASSNER Ethan I. 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6%
9 MOELIS Samuel (Sam) D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 21%
10 KUMBLA Sidarth 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
11 KNODT Julian P. 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
12 LIU Niles J. 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 12% 1%
13 WOODS Jack H. 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 12% 1%
14 MARINO Joseph A. 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 5%
15 CHEN James P. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 12%
16 GRIFFITH Jordan 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10%
17 SHIN Philip D. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
18 WANG Brian S. 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 22% 4%
19 LEVY Jasper 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
20 YEE Maxwell J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
21 LOUIE Bryce 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 6%
22 LIU Justin 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
23 HOSSFELD Finn E. 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 7%
24 ZHANG Daniel D. 100% 95% 72% 37% 10% 1%
25 ZHENG Andrew R. 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 4%
26 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 23% 4%
27 CHUNG Andrew N. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
28 HODGES Carter F. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
29 EMMER Chase T. 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
30 VOGLER Justin K. 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 2% -
31 SONG Lawrence (Larry) 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 11% 1%
32 ANDRADE Nicholas H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 41% 8%
33 LIAO Jun Heng (James) 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 30%
34 BOURTIS James S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 26%
35 YANG Adam 100% 99% 85% 53% 21% 4% -
36 YU Eric W. 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 3%
37 HOLMES Stuart S. 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
38 BARMANN Samuel (Sam) I. 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
39 PARKINS Benjamin B. 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
40 SHAFAIE Kaveh 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 28% 5%
41 HUANG Bin 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 22%
42 KATAYAMA Kevin 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 1%
42 TIERNEY David A. 100% 100% 94% 73% 39% 12% 1%
44 CANNON Caiden C. 100% 94% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
45 RANADIVE Rishi R. 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2%
46 HOOSHI Dylan M. 100% 93% 63% 25% 5% 1% -
47 DOBBINS Evan W. 100% 74% 32% 6% - -
48 GRUBER Samuel T. 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1%
49 LU Kerry L. 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2%
50 TULYAG Fyze A. 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 8% 1%
51 JOHNSON Aidan J. 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 2%
52 BRATTON Jack S. 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
53 DICKSON Farr R. 100% 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
54 OURSLER Jack 100% 99% 87% 54% 17% 2% -
54 XIAO Ethan J. 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 3% -
56 HAMILTON Bogdan A. 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 8% 1%
56 GRIFFIN John O. 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 18% 3%
58 LEVIN Nestor R. 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
59 DAYTON Draper 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% -
60 PAIK Hyun K. 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
61 PALAZZOLO William J. 100% 93% 65% 24% 4% -
62 DANIEL Ashton 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
63 DORITY Philip S. 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
64 PELOSKY Ryan F. 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
65 BLUTT Emerson B. 100% 76% 36% 10% 1% -
66 SCARPA Ryan N. 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2%
67 JOHNSON Cole B. 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% -
68 NDIAYE Edriss G. 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
69 PRILUTSKY David B. 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 1%
70 XIAO Enoch A. 100% 97% 66% 26% 6% 1% -
71 IRVINE Jonathan J. 100% 96% 80% 48% 19% 4% -
72 HERGAN Daniel 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
73 KO Brian J. 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
74 SHAFAIE Ali 100% 93% 65% 24% 4% - -
75 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. 100% 92% 64% 28% 6% 1%
76 AYUPOV Ilya 100% 97% 78% 44% 14% 2%
77 BAE Anthony 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
78 CHENG Thomas C. 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% -
79 UM Ethan A. 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% -
80 MCKENNA Joseph (Owen) O. 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
81 URODOVSKIKH Evan 100% 86% 47% 12% 1% -
82 BARLETTA Joseph 100% 85% 51% 18% 4% - -
83 GILBERT-GOLDSTEIN Avery E. 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
84 SNYTSHEUVEL John Evan (Evan) 100% 99% 94% 77% 46% 17% 3%
85 THAI William 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% - -
86 ROMANOV Michael 100% 90% 56% 20% 4% - -
87 CHIN Jason Y. 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
88 NOVACHENKO Nestor V. 100% 82% 41% 10% 1% - -
88 CHOI Ethan L. 100% 90% 58% 22% 5% 1% -
90 JACKSON Stephen M. 100% 38% 7% 1% - - -
91 LIU Kevin B. 100% 66% 24% 5% 1% - -
92 FIELD Miles 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
93 ZHAO Jason L. 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% - -
94 LI Brandon H. 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
95 YU Vinni 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
95 OH Samuel H. 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% - -
97 HU Oliver W. 100% 97% 81% 44% 10% 1%
98 LEE Benjamin H. 100% 98% 83% 52% 19% 3%
99 RYAN Francis D. 100% 19% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.