April Championship and NAC

Div I Men's Foil

Sunday, April 14, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Salt Lake City, UT - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MATHIEU Adam - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
2 BRAVO Kenji U. - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
3 KANESHIGE Brian K. - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
3 ORTS Lucas E. - - 2% 16% 46% 36%
5 OLIVARES Marcello G. - - 2% 8% 26% 40% 25%
6 MITBERG Gregory W. - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
7 PAIK Joon K. - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
8 GASSNER Ethan I. 1% 8% 26% 36% 24% 6%
9 MOELIS Samuel (Sam) D. - - 1% 6% 27% 45% 21%
10 KUMBLA Sidarth - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
11 KNODT Julian P. - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
12 LIU Niles J. 1% 7% 22% 32% 26% 10% 1%
13 WOODS Jack H. - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
14 MARINO Joseph A. 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5%
15 CHEN James P. - - 3% 14% 35% 36% 12%
16 GRIFFITH Jordan - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 10%
17 SHIN Philip D. - 1% 8% 25% 41% 26%
18 WANG Brian S. - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
19 LEVY Jasper - 2% 10% 29% 40% 20%
20 YEE Maxwell J. - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
21 LOUIE Bryce - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 6%
22 LIU Justin 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
23 HOSSFELD Finn E. 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
24 ZHANG Daniel D. 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1%
25 ZHENG Andrew R. 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 4%
26 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
27 CHUNG Andrew N. - - 3% 12% 30% 37% 18%
28 HODGES Carter F. - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 12%
29 EMMER Chase T. - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
30 VOGLER Justin K. 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
31 SONG Lawrence (Larry) - 5% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1%
32 ANDRADE Nicholas H. - - 2% 16% 41% 33% 8%
33 LIAO Jun Heng (James) - - 2% 18% 50% 30%
34 BOURTIS James S. - - - 5% 24% 44% 26%
35 YANG Adam 1% 14% 33% 32% 16% 4% -
36 YU Eric W. - 3% 13% 29% 35% 18% 3%
37 HOLMES Stuart S. 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
38 BARMANN Samuel (Sam) I. - 3% 15% 34% 34% 13%
39 PARKINS Benjamin B. 1% 7% 25% 37% 25% 6%
40 SHAFAIE Kaveh - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
41 HUANG Bin - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 22%
42 KATAYAMA Kevin 1% 7% 21% 33% 27% 11% 1%
42 TIERNEY David A. - 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
44 CANNON Caiden C. 6% 22% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
45 RANADIVE Rishi R. - 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
46 HOOSHI Dylan M. 7% 30% 38% 20% 5% - -
47 DOBBINS Evan W. 26% 43% 25% 6% - -
48 GRUBER Samuel T. 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
49 LU Kerry L. 4% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2%
50 TULYAG Fyze A. 1% 8% 26% 35% 22% 7% 1%
51 JOHNSON Aidan J. - 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 2%
52 BRATTON Jack S. - 6% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
53 DICKSON Farr R. - 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 2%
54 OURSLER Jack 1% 12% 33% 37% 14% 2% -
54 XIAO Ethan J. 3% 17% 35% 30% 13% 3% -
56 HAMILTON Bogdan A. 1% 9% 25% 33% 22% 7% 1%
56 GRIFFIN John O. - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
58 LEVIN Nestor R. - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
59 DAYTON Draper 13% 34% 34% 16% 3% -
60 PAIK Hyun K. 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7%
61 PALAZZOLO William J. 7% 29% 40% 21% 3% -
62 DANIEL Ashton 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
63 DORITY Philip S. - 4% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
64 PELOSKY Ryan F. 3% 15% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
65 BLUTT Emerson B. 24% 40% 26% 9% 1% -
66 SCARPA Ryan N. 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2%
67 JOHNSON Cole B. 18% 38% 31% 12% 2% -
68 NDIAYE Edriss G. 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 4%
69 PRILUTSKY David B. 4% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
70 XIAO Enoch A. 3% 31% 40% 21% 5% 1% -
71 IRVINE Jonathan J. 4% 17% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
72 HERGAN Daniel 20% 38% 28% 11% 2% - -
73 KO Brian J. 11% 35% 35% 16% 4% - -
74 SHAFAIE Ali 7% 29% 41% 20% 3% - -
75 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1%
76 AYUPOV Ilya 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2%
77 BAE Anthony 6% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1%
78 CHENG Thomas C. 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% -
79 UM Ethan A. 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% -
80 MCKENNA Joseph (Owen) O. 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
81 URODOVSKIKH Evan 14% 40% 35% 11% 1% -
82 BARLETTA Joseph 15% 35% 32% 15% 3% - -
83 GILBERT-GOLDSTEIN Avery E. 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
84 SNYTSHEUVEL John Evan (Evan) 1% 5% 17% 31% 29% 14% 3%
85 THAI William 22% 43% 27% 7% 1% - -
86 ROMANOV Michael 10% 34% 37% 16% 3% - -
87 CHIN Jason Y. 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
88 NOVACHENKO Nestor V. 18% 41% 31% 9% 1% - -
88 CHOI Ethan L. 10% 33% 35% 17% 4% 1% -
90 JACKSON Stephen M. 62% 31% 6% 1% - - -
91 LIU Kevin B. 34% 42% 19% 4% 1% - -
92 FIELD Miles 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
93 ZHAO Jason L. 32% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
94 LI Brandon H. 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
95 YU Vinni 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1% -
95 OH Samuel H. 29% 43% 22% 5% 1% - -
97 HU Oliver W. 3% 16% 37% 33% 9% 1%
98 LEE Benjamin H. 2% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
99 RYAN Francis D. 81% 18% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.