Fortune Fencing Summer RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Saturday, August 27, 2022 at 11:30 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A & B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Howard - - 1% 7% 28% 45% 18%
2 TSE Aiden J - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 14%
3 ANDRES Michael - - - 5% 24% 52% 19%
3 KOVALEV Daniil N. - - - - 6% 31% 63%
5 TANI Tino - - 2% 11% 36% 43% 8%
6 YANG Phillip - 1% 5% 19% 37% 31% 7%
7 GU Andrew - 3% 16% 36% 32% 11% 1%
8 WANG Tiger - 1% 11% 33% 39% 16%
9 CHAN Henry 1% 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
10 CAO Donald - 4% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
11 RONG Jasper 4% 18% 32% 30% 14% 3%
12 LIU Yijin - 3% 15% 35% 36% 12%
13 IYER Neil 7% 30% 39% 20% 3% -
14 HWANG Jayden - - 2% 12% 33% 40% 13%
15 ARISTOV Ilya - - 1% 5% 20% 42% 32%
16 XIAO Brayden - 3% 19% 40% 31% 8%
17 LI Yidong A. 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 4% < 1%
18 BROCK Landon - 1% 5% 22% 43% 29%
19 GREENSTEIN Viktor - 3% 16% 35% 33% 11% 1%
20 DANIELSON Charlie - 3% 13% 31% 34% 16% 3%
21 BURRES kenneth 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
22 ZHANG KAIQI 1% 9% 36% 37% 14% 2%
23 KROON Landon - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
23 AO Christopher 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
25 LI linze - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
26 LEE Nathan Uju - 3% 14% 33% 33% 15% 2%
27 HWANG Hagan - 1% 11% 31% 37% 17% 3%
28 RAJAN Aadyant 1% 7% 21% 33% 27% 10% 1%
29 KANG Jeremy - 1% 7% 28% 43% 22%
30 ROSALES Vincent 14% 46% 31% 8% 1% -
31 DANG Kainoa 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
32 NGO Emerson 1% 15% 36% 33% 13% 2% -
33 HAO Johnny 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
34 KOU Xiaoyi 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% -
35 SANDOVAL-BRIOSO Jakob 4% 22% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
36 CHEN Boaz 3% 25% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
37 IM Tyler - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 27%
38 LIU Daniel - - 3% 12% 30% 37% 17%
39 WANG Kyle 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
40 VENKATRAMAN Sushil 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
41 CHI Everett - 1% 11% 32% 39% 16%
42 ZHAO Aidan 6% 26% 39% 23% 5% -
43 YPHANTIDES Alexander - - 5% 20% 39% 31% 5%
44 WANG Edward 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
45 LIANG Preston - 6% 25% 39% 24% 5% -
46 LEE Alexander 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
47 KOVACHEV Martin 16% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
48 LI Philip 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
49 ZHU Alexander 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
50 LEE Winston 1% 11% 31% 37% 18% 2%
51 YUEN Caleb 12% 34% 34% 16% 3% -
52 WONG Ron 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
53 ZHANG Richard Y. 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
54 FUGATE Logan - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 3%
55 CHEN Cooper 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
56 WANG Haohua 12% 33% 34% 16% 4% - -
57 HAN Kyle 14% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
58 GUO Jonathan 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% - -
59 HIOE Aaron 28% 44% 23% 5% 1% - -
60 TALLARICO Leonardo 2% 19% 43% 30% 6% -
61 BRAUN Oscar 62% 34% 4% - - -
62 HE Jason 2% 16% 36% 33% 12% 1% -
63 TAN Ivan 65% 30% 5% - - - -
64 CHUNG David 29% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
65 BRADY Spencer 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
66 LIU Ryan 4% 19% 35% 29% 12% 2%
67 GRIFFIN Sid 1% 8% 26% 36% 22% 6% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.