Fortune Fencing Summer RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Saturday, August 27, 2022 at 11:30 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A & B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Howard 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 18%
2 TSE Aiden J 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
3 ANDRES Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 19%
3 KOVALEV Daniil N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
5 TANI Tino 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 51% 8%
6 YANG Phillip 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 38% 7%
7 GU Andrew 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 13% 1%
8 WANG Tiger 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 16%
9 CHAN Henry 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 12% 1%
10 CAO Donald 100% 100% 96% 77% 44% 14% 2%
11 RONG Jasper 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 3%
12 LIU Yijin 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 12%
13 IYER Neil 100% 93% 62% 23% 4% -
14 HWANG Jayden 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 13%
15 ARISTOV Ilya 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 32%
16 XIAO Brayden 100% 100% 97% 78% 39% 8%
17 LI Yidong A. 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% < 1%
18 BROCK Landon 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
19 GREENSTEIN Viktor 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 12% 1%
20 DANIELSON Charlie 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 3%
21 BURRES kenneth 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 1%
22 ZHANG KAIQI 100% 99% 90% 54% 16% 2%
23 KROON Landon 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
23 AO Christopher 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
25 LI linze 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
26 LEE Nathan Uju 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 17% 2%
27 HWANG Hagan 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 20% 3%
28 RAJAN Aadyant 100% 99% 93% 71% 39% 12% 1%
29 KANG Jeremy 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
30 ROSALES Vincent 100% 86% 40% 9% 1% -
31 DANG Kainoa 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
32 NGO Emerson 100% 99% 84% 48% 15% 2% -
33 HAO Johnny 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
34 KOU Xiaoyi 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
35 SANDOVAL-BRIOSO Jakob 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
36 CHEN Boaz 100% 97% 72% 33% 8% 1% -
37 IM Tyler 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
38 LIU Daniel 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
39 WANG Kyle 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
40 VENKATRAMAN Sushil 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% - -
41 CHI Everett 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 16%
42 ZHAO Aidan 100% 94% 68% 29% 6% -
43 YPHANTIDES Alexander 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 5%
44 WANG Edward 100% 99% 88% 62% 28% 7% 1%
45 LIANG Preston 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 6% -
46 LEE Alexander 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
47 KOVACHEV Martin 100% 84% 49% 17% 3% - -
48 LI Philip 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
49 ZHU Alexander 100% 82% 43% 14% 2% - -
50 LEE Winston 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 2%
51 YUEN Caleb 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% -
52 WONG Ron 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 2% -
53 ZHANG Richard Y. 100% 99% 91% 68% 36% 11% 1%
54 FUGATE Logan 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
55 CHEN Cooper 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
56 WANG Haohua 100% 88% 55% 21% 5% 1% -
57 HAN Kyle 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
58 GUO Jonathan 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% - -
59 HIOE Aaron 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
60 TALLARICO Leonardo 100% 98% 80% 36% 6% -
61 BRAUN Oscar 100% 38% 4% - - -
62 HE Jason 100% 98% 83% 47% 13% 1% -
63 TAN Ivan 100% 35% 5% - - - -
64 CHUNG David 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% - -
65 BRADY Spencer 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
66 LIU Ryan 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2%
67 GRIFFIN Sid 100% 99% 91% 64% 29% 7% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.