The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Fortune Fencing Summer RYC/RJCC

Cadet Women's Saber

Sunday, August 28, 2022 at 11:30 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A & B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHRISTOTHOULOU Olympia C. - - 1% 6% 26% 43% 24%
2 XIAO julie - - 5% 22% 37% 28% 7%
3 KRASTEV Minna - - - - 4% 29% 67%
3 YU Zhiang - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
5 CHIN Sophia J. - - - 2% 16% 45% 37%
6 HU Michelle - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 33%
7 CHANG Audrey - - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
8 TAN Adelyn 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% -
9 ZHANG XUANYI - - - 2% 12% 38% 48%
10 SCHMIDT Isabel - - 3% 16% 35% 33% 12%
11 YAO Rainie 1% 7% 28% 39% 21% 4% -
12 MANN Sophia J. - 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 2%
13 ARMSTRONG Katherine 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
14 TUNG Renee - 2% 11% 27% 35% 21% 4%
15 RAMIREZ Mirka A. - - 4% 20% 39% 30% 7%
16 KUANG TongFei - 1% 12% 37% 35% 13% 2%
17 BROCK Sydney - 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
18 LEE Lauren - - 3% 17% 38% 35% 7%
19 NGUYEN Siena - - 1% 5% 20% 40% 34%
19 HUAI Delilah - - 6% 23% 38% 26% 7%
21 PANIGRAHI Kingsley 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 4% -
22 BUCKHOUSE Talia 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
23 LO Chloe 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6% 1%
24 IYER Arushi 5% 27% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
25 CHO Michelle 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
26 STONE Coral - 2% 13% 34% 36% 13% 1%
27 BUHAY Kirsten M. - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 6%
28 DUDNICK Morgan 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 7% 1%
29 ZOLLER Noelle - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
30 JEFFORDS Sophia 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
31 HITOMI Nadya - 4% 15% 31% 32% 15% 3%
32 LOMOTAN Addison 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
33 JIANG Mu Jia (Michelle) 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
34 ZHOU Ruoxi ( Jasmine) 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
35 CHEN Elaine 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
36 YANG JIAQI KIKI 14% 34% 32% 15% 4% - -
37 WANG Peijia 5% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
38 GOSAVI Aabolee 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
39 YAM Danika - - 4% 17% 38% 34% 6%
40 SAAD Alia 29% 46% 21% 3% - - -
41 LI Sonia 2% 14% 33% 33% 14% 2% -
42 KIM Caitlin 3% 20% 36% 28% 11% 2% -
43 SAWANT Asmi 15% 43% 31% 9% 1% - -
44 FENG Alicia G. - 6% 22% 37% 27% 7% -
45 LI Esther - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
46 WANG Jingming 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
47 GOLOVITSER Maya 2% 13% 33% 34% 16% 3% -
48 MUNGUIA Mila 12% 33% 33% 16% 4% 1% -
49 BAO Jingxuan 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
50 KIM Elyssa 29% 46% 20% 4% - - -
51 HAN Emma 44% 40% 13% 2% - - -
52 GOURNEAU Sophie L. 25% 44% 25% 5% 1% - -
53 OLKO Sophie 39% 41% 17% 3% - - -
53 KIM Olive 32% 41% 21% 5% 1% - -
53 WONG Christine 4% 22% 39% 27% 6% 1% -
56 LEE Rachel 4% 27% 40% 23% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.