Event Results

Cadet Men's Saber

American Challenge South ROC/RJCC/RYCSurprise Map

Sunday, September 4, 2022 at 3:00 PM Orange County Convention Center - Hall WD1 · Orlando, FL, USA

31 finishers

Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

#	Name	Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome		Pool Victories
#	Name	Pool	DE	Exp.	Act.	Diff.
1	LI Minghan	V D V V V	V V V V V	3.6	4	+0.4
2	PAN Alex	V D V V V	V V V V D	4.2	4	-0.2
3	FENG Leo	V V V V V	V V V D	4.2	5	+0.8
3	THORNHILL Kwasi	V V V V V V	V V D	4.3	6	+1.7
5	GUAN Dennis	V V V V V	V V D	3.1	5	+1.9
6	EICHHORN Lukas H.	V V V V D V	V V D	5.0	5	-
7	LIN Steve	V V V D V	V V D	3.7	4	+0.3
8	MCGUIRE Christian	V V V V D	V V D	3.7	4	+0.3
9	LIU Lawrence	V V D V V	V D	3.0	4	+1.0
10	CHEN Samuel	D V V D V V	V D	2.1	4	+1.9
11	FIRSTMAN William B.	D V V V D	V D	2.7	3	+0.3
12	SHANKWILER Christopher	D D V V V	V D	2.8	3	+0.2
13	DECK Tyson	V V D V D	V D	2.9	3	+0.1
14	DUDNICK Christian	V D D D V	V D	2.9	2	-0.9
15	MAHAPATRA SAMARTH	D V V D D	V D	2.1	2	-0.1
16	WANG Justin	V D D D D	V D	2.2	1	-1.2
17	YE Eric	V V V V D	D	2.4	4	+1.6
18	SHI Ivan	V V D V D D	D	4.2	3	-1.2
19	DILLE Jackson K.	D D V V D	D	1.9	2	+0.1
20	KUSANAGI Soshi	D D D V V	D	1.0	2	+1.0
21	ZHAO ERIC	V D D D V	D	2.3	2	-0.3
22	CONTRERAS Ismael	D V D D V	D	2.1	2	-0.1
23	GONG Gavin	D V D D V	D	1.2	2	+0.8
24	FANG Eason	D D V D V D	D	2.6	2	-0.6
25	TIAGI Daniel	D D V D D	D	2.2	1	-1.2
26	DE SOUZA CABRERO Yorrick	D V D D D	D	1.6	1	-0.6
27	TIAGI George	D D D D V D	D	1.7	1	-0.7
28	WANG Michael	D D D D D	D	2.1	0	-2.1
29	SUN Bill	D D D D D D	D	1.2	0	-1.2
30	STORER Julian	D D D D D	D	1.6	0	-1.6
31	XIA Matthew	D D D D D	D	0.4	0	-0.4

Outcome	Difficulty	Win Probability
Victory	Very Hard	0% to 20%
Victory	Hard	20% to 40%
Victory	Roughly Even	40% to 60%
Victory	Easy	60% to 80%
Victory	Very Easy	80% to 100%
Defeat	Very Hard	0% to 20%
Defeat	Hard	20% to 40%
Defeat	Roughly Even	40% to 60%
Defeat	Easy	60% to 80%
Defeat	Very Easy	80% to 100%

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