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American Challenge South ROC/RJCC/RYC

Cadet Men's Saber

Sunday, September 4, 2022 at 3:00 PM

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Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Minghan - 2% 11% 29% 38% 20%
2 PAN Alex - - 3% 16% 41% 39%
3 FENG Leo - - 2% 15% 43% 39%
3 THORNHILL Kwasi - - 3% 15% 37% 36% 9%
5 GUAN Dennis - 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
6 EICHHORN Lukas H. - - - 3% 22% 48% 27%
7 LIN Steve - 1% 10% 29% 40% 21%
8 MCGUIRE Christian - 1% 8% 31% 43% 16%
9 LIU Lawrence 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
10 CHEN Samuel 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
11 FIRSTMAN William B. 1% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
12 SHANKWILER Christopher - 7% 30% 41% 19% 3%
13 DECK Tyson 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5%
14 DUDNICK Christian 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
15 MAHAPATRA SAMARTH 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
16 WANG Justin 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
17 YE Eric 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 1%
18 SHI Ivan - 1% 5% 19% 36% 30% 8%
19 DILLE Jackson K. 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1%
20 KUSANAGI Soshi 31% 43% 21% 5% - -
21 ZHAO ERIC 2% 18% 41% 30% 8% 1%
22 CONTRERAS Ismael 6% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
23 GONG Gavin 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% -
24 FANG Eason 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3% -
25 TIAGI Daniel 4% 20% 37% 28% 10% 1%
26 DE SOUZA CABRERO Yorrick 8% 38% 38% 14% 2% -
27 TIAGI George 11% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
28 WANG Michael 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1%
29 SUN Bill 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
30 STORER Julian 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
31 XIA Matthew 63% 32% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.