Orange County Convention Center - Hall WD1 - Orlando, FL, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | LI Minghan | V V D D V D | V V V V V | 4.0 | 3 | -1.0 |
| 2 | MARGULIES William | V D V V V V | V V V V D | 4.9 | 5 | +0.1 |
| 3 | CHAVES Matthew J. | V V V V D | V V V D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 3 | FENG Leo | D V V V V | V V V D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 5 | GUAN Luke | V V V V V | V V D | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| 6 | XUE ALEXANDER | V V D V V V | V V D | 5.2 | 5 | -0.2 |
| 7 | LINDHOLM Oliver S. | D V V D V | V V D | 3.8 | 3 | -0.8 |
| 8 | BONSELL Vance | D D V V D V | V V D | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| 9 | HONG Steven | V V V V V | V D | 3.8 | 5 | +1.2 |
| 10 | EICHHORN Lukas H. | V V D V V | V D | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| 11 | GRAINGER Graeme | V D V V V D | V D | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| 12 | LIN Steve | V V V V D D | V D | 2.5 | 4 | +1.5 |
| 13 | ZHANG Ethan W. | V D V D V D | V D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 14 | DUPREE Thomas | D D V V D V | V D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 15 | MAHAPATRA SAMARTH | V D D D D V | V V D | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| 16 | TIAGI Daniel | D D D D D | V V D | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| 17 | PAN Alex | V V V V D V | D | 4.6 | 5 | +0.4 |
| 18 | TONG ZACHARY | V V V D V V | D | 4.8 | 5 | +0.2 |
| 19 | DUDNICK Christian | V D V V V | D | 2.0 | 4 | +2.0 |
| 20 | HOTHA Nikhil | V V D V V D | D | 2.5 | 4 | +1.5 |
| 21 | SHANKWILER Christopher | V V V D V D | D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| 22 | SHI Jeremy | D V V V V D | D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 23 | THORNHILL Kwasi | V D V V D | D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 24 | WU Richard | D D V V V | D | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 25 | GUAN Dennis | V V V D D | D | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
| 26 | BALLOU Johnathan | V V D D V D | D | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
| 27 | LANNAMAN Connor | D V D D V | D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 28 | LIU Lawrence | V D D D V | V D | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| 29 | ZHANG Derek | D D D V V D | V D | 3.8 | 2 | -1.8 |
| 30 | DECK Tyson | D D D V D | V D | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| 31 | CHEN Samuel | V D D D D | V D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 32 | KUSANAGI Soshi | D V D D D | V D | 0.4 | 1 | +0.6 |
| 33 | FANG Eason | D D V D D V | D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| 34 | SUN Bill | D D D D V D | D | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| 35 | STORER Julian | D D D D D V | D | 0.6 | 1 | +0.4 |
| 36 | ZHAO ERIC | D D D D D | D | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
| 37 | EMILIANI Andres | D D D D D D | D | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| 38 | CONTRERAS Ismael | D D D D D | D | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| 39 | DE SOUZA CABRERO Yorrick | D D D D D D | D | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.