April Championship and NAC

Div II Men's Foil

Monday, April 15, 2019 at 1:00 PM

Salt Lake City, UT - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ROJAS Jorge 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 44%
2 ORTIZ Zachary M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
3 GRISWOLD Abel B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
3 LIU Kevin B. 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
5 KONG Kenneth 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 61% 18%
6 WU Michael 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
8 ZHOU TIMMY 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 23% 3%
9 CHOI Ethan L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
10 LEE Connor C. 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6%
10 DROUTMAN Ryan 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
12 KASI Sanjay 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 31%
13 ZHENG Alan H. 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 15%
14 KLEIN Caleb R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
15 CLAY Jacob M. 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
16 BALL James T. 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 26% 5%
17 MILLER Braeden G. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 10%
18 BAE Kevin 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4%
19 OTAKE Jared K. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 15%
20 HAN Andersen Y. 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 18% 2%
21 MANGE Nathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 27%
22 TRAUGOT Braden (Brady) C. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
23 TSAI Philip W. 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 12% 1%
24 KIM Aaron J. 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
25 WANG Andrew 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 36% 6%
26 CHIN Jason Y. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 11%
28 SELENDY Maximilian (Max) A. 100% 99% 86% 48% 14% 1%
29 DAVIS Christopher M. 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 21% 4%
30 CURLEY Sebastian D. 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 12% 1%
31 BERK Theodore 100% 100% 99% 90% 51% 14% 1%
32 FEDONCHIK Henry J. 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
33 CARTER Lucas M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
34 WONG NICHOLAS A. 100% 100% 96% 75% 34% 6%
35 LI Nicholas X 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
36 DIERKS Kian 100% 100% 94% 76% 43% 15% 2%
37 YI Stephen K. 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6%
38 XIAO EDWARD 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6%
39 RYAN Francis D. 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
40 AVRON Case B. 100% 94% 69% 35% 10% 2% -
41 UM Christian J. 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
42 TSAI Max W. 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 16% 2%
43 SWEENEY Quinn 100% 98% 80% 37% 8% 1% -
44 MURATA Akitoshi D. 100% 91% 42% 9% 1% - -
44 ANTONIO Marcky C. 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
46 FRITZ Ayden R. 100% 97% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
47 VLACK Felix 100% 88% 47% 8% 1% - -
48 QUINONES Diego A. 100% 94% 66% 25% 4% - -
49 SHAJI Karthik 100% 88% 46% 11% 1% - -
50 TSUEI Marcus 100% 79% 33% 5% - - -
51 HSIUNG Richie 100% 98% 84% 53% 22% 5% -
52 DURAND Leandro M. 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% -
53 WOMACH Tristan 100% 59% 14% 1% - -
54 TOMINO rafael 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 10% 1%
55 HUDSON Jonathan R. 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 3% -
56 JIN Honggu 100% 99% 88% 51% 16% 2% -
57 DUBOEF Mason 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
58 LIZARRAGA Sebastian 100% 82% 33% 6% - - -
59 SMITH Brandon J. 100% 78% 32% 6% 1% -
60 SHEIKH Arham 100% 77% 35% 9% 1% -
61 KIM Eui Seok 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
63 AMRANI David 100% 61% 21% 4% - - -
63 CHUANG Kian J. 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
65 JEFFERY Jakob 100% 58% 16% 2% - - -
65 WEIMER Grant 100% 26% 2% - - - -
67 MASON Zachary A. 100% 62% 20% 4% - - -
68 PEREZ Joseph 100% 69% 22% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.