Event Results
Arnold Mercado Classic 2022Surprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | RADY-PENTEK Charles | V V V V V V | V V V V | 4.9 | 6 | +1.1 |
| 2 | HICHA Paul R. | V V V V V V | V V V D | 4.5 | 6 | +1.5 |
| 3 | BOLTON Eleksi M. | V V V V V | V V D | 3.0 | 5 | +2.0 |
| 3 | REBELLO Derek | V V V V | V V D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 5 | KAUFMAN Josh B. | V V D V | V D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 6 | LABRECQUE Savannah | V V V V D V | V V D | 2.0 | 5 | +3.0 |
| 7 | CONTRACTOR Cyrus | V V D V D V | V D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 8 | FREY Sarah | V V V D D | V V D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 9 | GIL Ricardo | V V V V V D | V D | 4.3 | 5 | +0.7 |
| 10 | THORNE Casey | D D V V | V D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 11 | POLEYUMPTEWA Connor | D V V D V V | D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 12 | JOHNSON Kai | V D D D | V D | 1.0 | 1 | - |
| 13 | CHAPMAN Connor | V D D D V | V D | 3.7 | 2 | -1.7 |
| 14 | ENRIGHT Isaac | V D D V D D | V D | 3.8 | 2 | -1.8 |
| 15 | LYMAN Lily | V D D D D V | V D | 1.1 | 2 | +0.9 |
| 16 | WEINBERG Nicanor | D D D D V | V D | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| 17 | WILSON Eva | D V D D V V | D | 1.7 | 3 | +1.3 |
| 18 | THRASHER Ted | D D V V V D | D | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| 19 | HETTIWATTE Yehansa | D V D V D | D | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 20 | SPIELVOGEL Lauren | D D V V D | D | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 21 | KIM Tae | D D D D V D | D | 3.8 | 1 | -2.8 |
| 22 | QIN Ningnie | D D D D | D | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| 23 | SUMANTH Vanantha Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 24 | VELASCO Manuela L. | D D V D D D | D | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| 25 | CARLSON Keegan Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 26 | ORICCHIO Madeleine | D D D D D D | D | 0.5 | 0 | -0.5 |
| 26 | CHERUVU Niyati | D D D D D D | D | 3.1 | 0 | -3.1 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |