Arnold Mercado Classic 2022

Div II Mixed Saber

Sunday, September 11, 2022 at 2:00 PM

Phoenix Fencing Academy - Tempe, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 RADY-PENTEK Charles - - - 5% 23% 44% 27%
2 HICHA Paul R. - - 2% 11% 34% 39% 14%
3 BOLTON Eleksi M. - 5% 23% 41% 25% 5%
3 REBELLO Derek - 1% 9% 44% 46%
5 KAUFMAN Josh B. 1% 8% 32% 43% 17%
6 LABRECQUE Savannah 5% 26% 40% 22% 5% 1% -
7 CONTRACTOR Cyrus - 3% 17% 43% 32% 6% -
8 FREY Sarah 1% 10% 34% 42% 13% -
9 GIL Ricardo - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 11%
10 THORNE Casey 6% 41% 41% 11% 1%
11 POLEYUMPTEWA Connor - 3% 22% 48% 23% 4% -
12 JOHNSON Kai 27% 48% 22% 3% -
13 CHAPMAN Connor - - 8% 30% 42% 20%
14 ENRIGHT Isaac - 1% 7% 29% 43% 18% 2%
15 LYMAN Lily 28% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
16 WEINBERG Nicanor 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2%
17 WILSON Eva 7% 37% 37% 16% 3% - -
18 THRASHER Ted - 4% 18% 37% 30% 10% 1%
19 HETTIWATTE Yehansa 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
20 SPIELVOGEL Lauren 8% 34% 41% 15% 2% -
21 KIM Tae - 2% 10% 25% 33% 22% 6%
22 QIN Ningnie 12% 46% 36% 6% -
24 VELASCO Manuela L. 1% 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% -
26 CHERUVU Niyati < 1% 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.