Fairfax Challenge Fall RYC/RJCC & Y8 (Non-Regional)

Y-12 Men's Foil

Saturday, September 10, 2022 at 11:30 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Hall A & B - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TANG Alexander L. - - - 1% 10% 37% 51%
2 ZHAO Adam - - - 1% 8% 46% 46%
3 SHENG Dalton - - 1% 5% 28% 56% 10%
3 PARRISH Evan - 1% 4% 17% 33% 33% 12%
5 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas - 1% 7% 28% 40% 21% 3%
6 TANG Terry - - 2% 13% 35% 39% 11%
7 YOON Aiden - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
8 DOELL Ethan - 1% 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
9 VADEN Oliver - - - 1% 13% 52% 34%
10 JIN Andy - 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
11 ZHANG Lucas - 2% 10% 26% 36% 22% 4%
12 YU William 3% 16% 34% 32% 14% 2% -
13 HUA Aaron - 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 1%
14 LEE SIYUN 1% 8% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
15 SHAW Spencer 10% 45% 33% 10% 1% - -
16 HE Ryan 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
17 LIU Robert 1% 7% 24% 39% 25% 4% -
18 JIANG Bohan 2% 14% 33% 35% 15% 2% -
19 LEE JISUNG 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
20 SUN Andy - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
21 XIE Jayden 11% 32% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
22 CHEN Hendrick 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6% -
23 TSENG Lucas 21% 39% 29% 10% 1% - -
24 GREENE Max 2% 15% 34% 34% 14% 1% -
25 HUANG Anthony 10% 31% 37% 19% 4% - -
26 BABER Shaheer 9% 30% 37% 20% 4% - -
27 LIU Alex 11% 35% 35% 16% 3% - -
28 VERGARA Jace Riley - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 4%
29 HUYNH Matthew 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
30 BOWLES Kevin 3% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
31 GRYDER Gabriel 2% 18% 37% 30% 11% 2% -
32 CHOW Kingsley 48% 39% 11% 1% - - -
33 PARMAR Veer 1% 10% 28% 34% 21% 6% 1%
34 KIM Ethan 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
35 YUN Max 3% 25% 41% 24% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.