Fairfax Challenge Fall RYC/RJCC & Y8 (Non-Regional)

Y-12 Men's Foil

Saturday, September 10, 2022 at 11:30 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Hall A & B - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TANG Alexander L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 51%
2 ZHAO Adam 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 46%
3 SHENG Dalton 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 66% 10%
3 PARRISH Evan 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 12%
5 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 24% 3%
6 TANG Terry 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 11%
7 YOON Aiden 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
8 DOELL Ethan 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 45% 12%
9 VADEN Oliver 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 34%
10 JIN Andy 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
11 ZHANG Lucas 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 26% 4%
12 YU William 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2% -
13 HUA Aaron 100% 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 1%
14 LEE SIYUN 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 9% 1%
15 SHAW Spencer 100% 90% 45% 11% 1% - -
16 HE Ryan 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1% -
17 LIU Robert 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 4% -
18 JIANG Bohan 100% 98% 84% 52% 17% 2% -
19 LEE JISUNG 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 2% -
20 SUN Andy 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
21 XIE Jayden 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% 1% -
22 CHEN Hendrick 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6% -
23 TSENG Lucas 100% 79% 40% 11% 1% - -
24 GREENE Max 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 1% -
25 HUANG Anthony 100% 90% 59% 23% 4% - -
26 BABER Shaheer 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% - -
27 LIU Alex 100% 89% 54% 19% 3% - -
28 VERGARA Jace Riley 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 4%
29 HUYNH Matthew 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
30 BOWLES Kevin 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2% -
31 GRYDER Gabriel 100% 98% 79% 42% 12% 2% -
32 CHOW Kingsley 100% 52% 13% 2% - - -
33 PARMAR Veer 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% 1%
34 KIM Ethan 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
35 YUN Max 100% 97% 72% 32% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.