Fairfax Challenge Fall RYC/RJCC & Y8 (Non-Regional)

Y-14 Men's Foil

Sunday, September 11, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Hall A & B - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Brendan 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 28%
2 MAO Lucas 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
3 TANG Albert 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
3 SONG Noel 100% 100% 100% 94% 65% 20%
5 YAO Bradley 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 50%
6 SHEN Mingxuan 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1%
7 SHENG Dalton 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
8 LI Lianhan 100% 99% 81% 44% 14% 2% -
9 CHOI JIAN 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
10 TANG August L. 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 29%
11 TANG Alexander L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 44%
12 HE Kyle 100% 100% 99% 90% 48% 9%
13 MOE Annan 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 11%
14 PARRISH Evan 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 14%
15 ZHANG Lucas 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1%
16 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas 100% 99% 88% 57% 23% 5% -
17 ZHAO Adam 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10%
18 ZHANG Alex 100% 100% 96% 74% 31% 5%
19 JIANG Bowang 100% 100% 99% 88% 49% 11%
20 TANG Terry 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
21 YU William 100% 93% 67% 29% 6% -
22 LU Nathan 100% 78% 39% 11% 2% -
23 SEMP Iain 100% 100% 100% 93% 57% 13%
24 YOON Aiden 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10%
25 HUA Aaron 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 2%
26 BOWLES Kevin 100% 92% 60% 20% 3% -
27 LEE JISUNG 100% 84% 45% 12% 2% -
28 JIN Andy 100% 95% 72% 33% 7% 1%
29 LEE SIYUN 100% 80% 40% 11% 1% -
30 ZAIDI Adil 100% 70% 21% 2% - -
31 VADEN Oliver 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5%
32 TSENG Lucas 100% 71% 25% 4% - -
33 DOELL Ethan 100% 99% 90% 59% 21% 3%
34 BABER Shaheer 100% 65% 17% 1% - -
35 SHAW Spencer 100% 82% 39% 8% 1% -
36 LIU Robert 100% 79% 32% 5% - -
37 SUN Andy 100% 96% 68% 24% 4% -
38 GREENE Max 100% 58% 13% 1% - -
39 POWELL Sean 100% 71% 26% 4% - -
40 NOLAN Tyler 100% 95% 65% 16% 2% -
41 HARPER Wesley 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
42 CHEN Hendrick 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
43 GADIYARAM Madhav 100% 20% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.