Fairfax Challenge Fall RYC/RJCC & Y8 (Non-Regional)

Cadet Men's Saber

Sunday, September 11, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Hall A & B - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SU Landon - - 4% 17% 41% 38%
2 WALKE Devin 3% 21% 40% 29% 7%
3 DECK Tyson - 5% 21% 37% 29% 7%
3 SO Preston 2% 12% 34% 38% 14%
5 GAUVEY Kieran - 5% 23% 43% 29%
6 LIN Felix 6% 27% 40% 23% 4%
7 WANG Max 4% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
8 WEINSTEIN Nate 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
9 OLALIA-NAPIER Gabriel 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
10 HALL Noah 3% 20% 38% 29% 9% 1%
11 KIM Minhyeok 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2%
12 MOL Justin 2% 17% 38% 33% 9%
13 FRUTH Evan 5% 27% 40% 23% 4%
14 MARKOWITZ Jonathan 2% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4%
15 KIM Taeho 20% 40% 29% 9% 1% -
16 SEBASTIAN Nicholas 36% 42% 18% 3% -
17 SHANKAR Karthik 1% 8% 29% 42% 21%
18 LICHTERMAN Jakub 8% 31% 39% 19% 3%
19 MANESCU Miron 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 2%
20 ALPAN Arda 5% 24% 38% 26% 7% 1%
21 CARD Seamus 40% 42% 16% 2% -
22 WANG Henry 6% 29% 40% 20% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.