Fairfax Challenge Fall RYC/RJCC & Y8 (Non-Regional)

Cadet Men's Saber

Sunday, September 11, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Hall A & B - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SU Landon 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
2 WALKE Devin 100% 97% 76% 36% 7%
3 DECK Tyson 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 7%
3 SO Preston 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
5 GAUVEY Kieran 100% 100% 95% 72% 29%
6 LIN Felix 100% 94% 67% 27% 4%
7 WANG Max 100% 96% 75% 39% 10% 1%
8 WEINSTEIN Nate 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 5%
9 OLALIA-NAPIER Gabriel 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
10 HALL Noah 100% 97% 77% 40% 10% 1%
11 KIM Minhyeok 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2%
12 MOL Justin 100% 98% 81% 43% 9%
13 FRUTH Evan 100% 95% 68% 27% 4%
14 MARKOWITZ Jonathan 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 4%
15 KIM Taeho 100% 80% 40% 11% 1% -
16 SEBASTIAN Nicholas 100% 64% 21% 4% -
17 SHANKAR Karthik 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
18 LICHTERMAN Jakub 100% 92% 61% 22% 3%
19 MANESCU Miron 100% 96% 78% 42% 13% 2%
20 ALPAN Arda 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1%
21 CARD Seamus 100% 60% 18% 3% -
22 WANG Henry 100% 94% 65% 25% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.