Fairfax Challenge Fall RYC/RJCC & Y8 (Non-Regional)

Junior Women's Saber

Sunday, September 11, 2022 at 3:00 PM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Hall A & B - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 OLSEN Natalie J. - - - - 3% 25% 72%
2 LU Amy - - 2% 14% 40% 45%
3 LIAO Siwen - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
3 SCOTT Eve 6% 24% 37% 26% 8% 1%
5 WEI Vivian W. - 1% 8% 28% 41% 22%
6 HENRY Soraya S. - 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
7 SHI Cathleen - - 4% 21% 43% 31%
8 BOYNTON Ainsley 12% 33% 35% 16% 3% -
9 FAN Grace 1% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3%
10 D'ORAZIO Sofia V. 3% 29% 41% 22% 5% -
11 WEI JoyAnn - 9% 31% 38% 18% 3%
12 FESTA Carina - 1% 12% 34% 39% 14%
13 XU Emily T. 1% 13% 36% 35% 13% 2%
14 BARROSO Isabela 49% 38% 11% 2% - - -
15 CANSECO Carly 1% 10% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
16 CARTER Keely 34% 42% 19% 4% - -
17 REN Xinling 1% 10% 28% 37% 21% 3%
18 FLATT Sophia 3% 17% 36% 32% 12% 2%
19 PAL Anjali G. - 2% 11% 29% 37% 19% 2%
20 ZHAO Emily W. - 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
21 TODD Phoebe 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 2%
22 DHAR Layla 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% -
23 WUNNAVA Elina 6% 28% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
24 GERASIMOVA Valeria 75% 23% 2% - - -
25 COLBY Mercer 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.