Fairfax Challenge Fall RYC/RJCC & Y8 (Non-Regional)

Junior Women's Saber

Sunday, September 11, 2022 at 3:00 PM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Hall A & B - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 OLSEN Natalie J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
2 LU Amy 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 45%
3 LIAO Siwen 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
3 SCOTT Eve 100% 94% 71% 34% 8% 1%
5 WEI Vivian W. 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
6 HENRY Soraya S. 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 9% 1%
7 SHI Cathleen 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 31%
8 BOYNTON Ainsley 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% -
9 FAN Grace 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3%
10 D'ORAZIO Sofia V. 100% 97% 68% 26% 5% -
11 WEI JoyAnn 100% 100% 90% 59% 21% 3%
12 FESTA Carina 100% 100% 99% 87% 53% 14%
13 XU Emily T. 100% 99% 86% 50% 15% 2%
14 BARROSO Isabela 100% 51% 13% 2% - - -
15 CANSECO Carly 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4% -
16 CARTER Keely 100% 66% 23% 4% - -
17 REN Xinling 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 3%
18 FLATT Sophia 100% 97% 81% 45% 14% 2%
19 PAL Anjali G. 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 21% 2%
20 ZHAO Emily W. 100% 100% 95% 73% 37% 9% 1%
21 TODD Phoebe 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 2%
22 DHAR Layla 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% -
23 WUNNAVA Elina 100% 94% 66% 28% 7% 1% -
24 GERASIMOVA Valeria 100% 25% 3% - - -
25 COLBY Mercer 100% 87% 53% 19% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.