Neil Lazar Div1A/Div2/Veteran ROC

Div I-A Men's Saber

Saturday, September 24, 2022 at 11:00 AM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WANG Robert 1% 6% 20% 32% 27% 11% 2%
2 BABAYEV Gabriel A. - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
3 KIM Shaun M. - - 1% 6% 22% 42% 30%
3 ROBINSON William 6% 23% 33% 25% 10% 2% -
5 LASORSA Matthew - - 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
6 FERNANDEZ Liam 1% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
7 BARTOLO Domenic V. - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 20%
8 DOLAN Charles R. 2% 14% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
9 BURGUNDER Quinten (Quin) A. - - - - 7% 41% 52%
10 TENG MATTHEW 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
11 MCCARTHY Gabriel 1% 8% 24% 34% 25% 9% 1%
12 LI Minghan 1% 7% 21% 32% 27% 11% 2%
13 KIM-COGAN Ryan - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
14 SHOMAN Zachary - 1% 5% 18% 33% 31% 12%
15 CHTERENTAL Alex 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 10% 1%
16 PANDEY Neil - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
17 MARGULIES William - 1% 6% 23% 37% 27% 6%
18 DENG Andrew - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
19 SHOMAN Noah - 3% 13% 28% 32% 19% 5%
20 PIWOWAR Alex 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
21 RODRIGUEZ Darlin - - 4% 17% 33% 33% 13%
22 SLASTIN Andrew - - 2% 13% 33% 38% 13%
23 MICHELL Bailey - - 2% 12% 30% 38% 18%
24 MEDVEDEV Michail D. 1% 10% 28% 34% 20% 6% 1%
25 NG Jeremiah 1% 9% 24% 33% 23% 9% 1%
26 CORTEZ Christopher - 2% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
27 GREENE Cameron J. - 3% 16% 35% 33% 11% 1%
28 OH Triton 2% 13% 29% 32% 19% 5% 1%
29 NOBLE Colin - 2% 12% 29% 34% 18% 4%
30 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. - 5% 17% 31% 30% 15% 3%
31 SAVOY Luca 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
32 ELIN Adam E. 4% 18% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
33 OKEEFE Mitchell 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2% -
34 CHEN Evan P. - 4% 16% 33% 31% 14% 2%
35 TURCK Caspar J. 1% 9% 25% 33% 22% 7% 1%
36 FIELDS Matthew S. 1% 12% 31% 33% 18% 5% -
37 MICLAUS Justin - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
38 ZENG Noah - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 4%
39 LUTHRA Arjun - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
40 MCCARTHY Devan 22% 39% 27% 10% 2% - -
41 HUANG Ethan F. - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
41 COLE Alexander - 6% 22% 34% 27% 10% 1%
43 FORMENTI Giulio 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
44 SPOSATO Andrew P. 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
45 STAMIS Kyle 28% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
46 HUANG Alexander C. 1% 10% 28% 34% 20% 5% 1%
47 GILSON Lucas B. - 8% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
48 GINSBERG Jordan 2% 18% 37% 30% 12% 2% -
49 CHENG Brandon 35% 41% 19% 4% - - -
50 DESAUTELS Connor 65% 30% 5% 1% - - -
51 KOVACH Jonah F. 7% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
51 VILLARREAL Mateo 7% 28% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
53 DEKA Tanush 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
54 DIMATTEO Michael 23% 45% 25% 6% 1% - -
55 DUMOULIN Gabriel 30% 43% 22% 5% - - -
56 PODDAR Shameek 69% 27% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.