Neil Lazar Div1A/Div2/Veteran ROC

Div I-A Men's Saber

Saturday, September 24, 2022 at 11:00 AM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WANG Robert 100% 99% 93% 72% 40% 13% 2%
2 BABAYEV Gabriel A. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
3 KIM Shaun M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
3 ROBINSON William 100% 94% 71% 38% 13% 2% -
5 LASORSA Matthew 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 13%
6 FERNANDEZ Liam 100% 99% 85% 52% 19% 4% -
7 BARTOLO Domenic V. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
8 DOLAN Charles R. 100% 98% 84% 55% 24% 6% 1%
9 BURGUNDER Quinten (Quin) A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 52%
10 TENG MATTHEW 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
11 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 99% 92% 68% 35% 10% 1%
12 LI Minghan 100% 99% 93% 72% 40% 13% 2%
13 KIM-COGAN Ryan 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
14 SHOMAN Zachary 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 12%
15 CHTERENTAL Alex 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
16 PANDEY Neil 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
17 MARGULIES William 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
18 DENG Andrew 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 41% 10%
19 SHOMAN Noah 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 24% 5%
20 PIWOWAR Alex 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 1%
21 RODRIGUEZ Darlin 100% 100% 100% 95% 79% 46% 13%
22 SLASTIN Andrew 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13%
23 MICHELL Bailey 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
24 MEDVEDEV Michail D. 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 7% 1%
25 NG Jeremiah 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 10% 1%
26 CORTEZ Christopher 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
27 GREENE Cameron J. 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12% 1%
28 OH Triton 100% 98% 85% 56% 25% 6% 1%
29 NOBLE Colin 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 4%
30 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
31 SAVOY Luca 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
32 ELIN Adam E. 100% 96% 77% 45% 17% 4% -
33 OKEEFE Mitchell 100% 98% 83% 48% 14% 2% -
34 CHEN Evan P. 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
35 TURCK Caspar J. 100% 99% 90% 64% 31% 8% 1%
36 FIELDS Matthew S. 100% 99% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
37 MICLAUS Justin 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 6%
38 ZENG Noah 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 4%
39 LUTHRA Arjun 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 3%
40 MCCARTHY Devan 100% 78% 39% 12% 2% - -
41 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 9%
41 COLE Alexander 100% 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 1%
43 FORMENTI Giulio 100% 90% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
44 SPOSATO Andrew P. 100% 94% 71% 38% 13% 2% -
45 STAMIS Kyle 100% 72% 31% 8% 1% - -
46 HUANG Alexander C. 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
47 GILSON Lucas B. 100% 100% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
48 GINSBERG Jordan 100% 98% 81% 44% 14% 2% -
49 CHENG Brandon 100% 65% 23% 5% 1% - -
50 DESAUTELS Connor 100% 35% 6% 1% - - -
51 KOVACH Jonah F. 100% 93% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
51 VILLARREAL Mateo 100% 93% 65% 29% 8% 1% -
53 DEKA Tanush 100% 89% 56% 20% 4% - -
54 DIMATTEO Michael 100% 77% 32% 7% 1% - -
55 DUMOULIN Gabriel 100% 70% 27% 5% 1% - -
56 PODDAR Shameek 100% 31% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.