The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Neil Lazar Div1A/Div2/Veteran ROC

Div II Women's Épée

Sunday, September 25, 2022 at 1:00 PM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Zhenni (Jenny) - - 2% 22% 42% 28% 6%
2 WESER Veronica U. - - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
3 KRUMHOLZ Nicole - - 4% 18% 37% 32% 9%
3 HONG Elaine - - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
5 CAFASSO Natalya - - 1% 8% 27% 42% 23%
6 AZMEH Nour - - 1% 13% 36% 37% 13%
7 LORENTSON Dawn M. - - 2% 15% 44% 40%
8 FAN Elizabeth - - 2% 10% 31% 40% 17%
9 LI Fei - 1% 13% 41% 36% 9%
10 ABRAMSON Mariela R. - 3% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
11 SHU Youshan - - 3% 17% 43% 37%
12 YANG Charlotte 5% 25% 41% 23% 5% -
13 GUJJA Misha - - - 6% 27% 43% 24%
14 ETZEL Rowan - 4% 22% 41% 28% 6%
15 PRIHODKO Nina - 2% 10% 30% 40% 18%
16 CASHMAN Amanda 8% 36% 41% 13% 2% -
17 KANEVSKY Samantha - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
18 DEPOMMIER Isabelle - 1% 12% 36% 39% 12%
19 SU Evelyn - - 3% 13% 30% 37% 18%
20 TAUBLER Michelle - - 4% 23% 41% 27% 6%
21 PARSONS Leada - 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
22 BALSKUS Sophia - 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 6%
23 SAAL Anna - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 19%
24 MISHIMA Audrey - 3% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3%
25 SANTANA Mia 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
26 BYK Laura - 1% 9% 35% 42% 13%
27 JOHN Venus 2% 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% -
28 HOPKINS Leila - 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
29 SIU Maple - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
30 SIU Hazel 1% 14% 40% 34% 11% 1%
31 SANLIKOL Suzan 6% 28% 37% 22% 7% 1% -
32 ABRAHAM Layna 10% 44% 35% 10% 1% -
33 MONOVA Lilyana 1% 6% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
34 NGUYEN Ashley L. 2% 16% 33% 31% 15% 3% -
35 CHANG Ella - 1% 10% 32% 37% 17% 3%
36 KENNON Katherine - 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
37 THOMAS Meagan R. - 1% 7% 27% 39% 22% 4%
38 MORIN Jenna - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
39 MESSINA Sophia - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
40 RYDMAN Grace 9% 35% 37% 16% 3% -
41 SONG Jaeyi 7% 29% 40% 20% 4% - -
42 MITCHELL Erica 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
43 BECK Sara 13% 39% 34% 12% 2% - -
44 CHANG Chloe 49% 38% 12% 2% - - -
45 BURNHAM Sarah 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 7% 1%
46 COVINO Mila 23% 45% 25% 6% 1% - -
47 SUMMERER Jordan 39% 46% 14% 1% - - -
48 ANAR Yesugen 10% 40% 38% 11% 1% -
49 BANOTA Tanvi 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% -
50 ANAR Yesui 24% 60% 14% 1% - - -
51 CHACE-ORTIZ Naneen 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
52 SHELDON Samantha 35% 43% 18% 3% - - -
53 HUANG Ziyan 6% 30% 38% 20% 5% 1% -
54 SIZER Courtney 34% 44% 19% 3% - - -
55 KING Miranda 3% 33% 50% 13% 1% - -
56 WEED Riley 47% 41% 11% 1% - -
57 LOFTIS Hunter 36% 42% 18% 4% - - -
58 MAY Courtney 68% 29% 3% - - -
59 HERRERA Megan 5% 27% 39% 22% 5% 1% -
60 DUNNE Jessica 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.