Neil Lazar Div1A/Div2/Veteran ROC

Div II Women's Épée

Sunday, September 25, 2022 at 1:00 PM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Zhenni (Jenny) 100% 100% 100% 98% 76% 34% 6%
2 WESER Veronica U. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
3 KRUMHOLZ Nicole 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
3 HONG Elaine 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
5 CAFASSO Natalya 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
6 AZMEH Nour 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 50% 13%
7 LORENTSON Dawn M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 40%
8 FAN Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
9 LI Fei 100% 100% 99% 86% 45% 9%
10 ABRAMSON Mariela R. 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
11 SHU Youshan 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
12 YANG Charlotte 100% 95% 70% 28% 5% -
13 GUJJA Misha 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 67% 24%
14 ETZEL Rowan 100% 100% 96% 75% 33% 6%
15 PRIHODKO Nina 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
16 CASHMAN Amanda 100% 92% 56% 15% 2% -
17 KANEVSKY Samantha 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
18 DEPOMMIER Isabelle 100% 100% 99% 87% 51% 12%
19 SU Evelyn 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 18%
20 TAUBLER Michelle 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 33% 6%
21 PARSONS Leada 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
22 BALSKUS Sophia 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 33% 6%
23 SAAL Anna 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 19%
24 MISHIMA Audrey 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 3%
25 SANTANA Mia 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 3%
26 BYK Laura 100% 100% 99% 90% 55% 13%
27 JOHN Venus 100% 98% 84% 49% 16% 3% -
28 HOPKINS Leila 100% 100% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
29 SIU Maple 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
30 SIU Hazel 100% 99% 85% 45% 12% 1%
31 SANLIKOL Suzan 100% 94% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
32 ABRAHAM Layna 100% 90% 46% 11% 1% -
33 MONOVA Lilyana 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8% 1%
34 NGUYEN Ashley L. 100% 98% 83% 50% 19% 4% -
35 CHANG Ella 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 20% 3%
36 KENNON Katherine 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 29% 6%
37 THOMAS Meagan R. 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 4%
38 MORIN Jenna 100% 100% 96% 79% 48% 17% 3%
39 MESSINA Sophia 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 12%
40 RYDMAN Grace 100% 91% 57% 20% 3% -
41 SONG Jaeyi 100% 93% 64% 25% 5% - -
42 MITCHELL Erica 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 9% 1%
43 BECK Sara 100% 87% 48% 14% 2% - -
44 CHANG Chloe 100% 51% 14% 2% - - -
45 BURNHAM Sarah 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 8% 1%
46 COVINO Mila 100% 77% 32% 7% 1% - -
47 SUMMERER Jordan 100% 61% 15% 1% - - -
48 ANAR Yesugen 100% 90% 50% 12% 1% -
49 BANOTA Tanvi 100% 90% 57% 22% 4% -
50 ANAR Yesui 100% 76% 16% 1% - - -
51 CHACE-ORTIZ Naneen 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 3% -
52 SHELDON Samantha 100% 65% 22% 4% - - -
53 HUANG Ziyan 100% 94% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
54 SIZER Courtney 100% 66% 22% 3% - - -
55 KING Miranda 100% 97% 64% 14% 1% - -
56 WEED Riley 100% 53% 12% 1% - -
57 LOFTIS Hunter 100% 64% 23% 4% - - -
58 MAY Courtney 100% 32% 3% - - -
59 HERRERA Megan 100% 95% 68% 28% 6% 1% -
60 DUNNE Jessica 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.