Boston Fencing Club SYC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Monday, September 2, 2019 at 1:00 PM

Boston, MA - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SO Hananiah - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
2 LINSKY Matthew - - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
3 KEEFE Duncan - - - 5% 26% 46% 22%
3 CHAN Matthew - - 1% 4% 19% 42% 34%
5 SKINNER Graham B. - - 2% 16% 46% 36%
6 GINIS Nathan - - 2% 9% 26% 40% 24%
7 FENG Leo - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
8 KILGALLEN William 1% 7% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
9 MAKLIN Edward P. - - 2% 11% 32% 39% 16%
10 BERMAN Luca - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
11 KOGAN Benjamin - - 5% 21% 43% 31%
12 KIM Shaun M. - - 1% 10% 30% 40% 18%
13 KIM-COGAN Ryan - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
14 WILSON Jude - - - 2% 13% 41% 45%
15 DENG Andrew 2% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
16 CHIN Matthew W. - - - 4% 22% 46% 28%
17 NOBLE Colin - 1% 9% 30% 40% 18% 3%
18 WU Richard 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
19 HUANG Ethan F. - - 5% 26% 46% 22%
20 LEE Justin - - 6% 28% 41% 21% 3%
21 BABAYEV Gabriel A. - - - 4% 21% 45% 30%
22 LI Minghan - 1% 10% 35% 38% 15% 2%
23 FIELDS Matthew S. - 4% 16% 33% 32% 13% 1%
24 DOLAN Charles R. 35% 41% 19% 5% 1% - -
25 CHANG Yufeng 1% 9% 36% 38% 15% 2% -
26 GREENBAUM Ian L. 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
27 TURCK Caspar J. - 1% 7% 21% 36% 28% 7%
28 HONG Vincent Q. - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 3%
29 ZENG Noah 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% -
30 ZHENG Edward L. - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
31 LIU Mingyang Ryan 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
32 MCCARTHY Gabriel 2% 12% 32% 36% 16% 3%
33 BUCHMANN Finn D. - - 3% 17% 38% 34% 9%
34 SHTEYN Mark - 1% 7% 26% 40% 22% 4%
35 BAE Jason I. - - - 4% 22% 46% 27%
36 VARUKATTY-GAFOOR Sohil - 2% 11% 30% 36% 19% 3%
37 STURN Oliver - 3% 15% 35% 35% 11%
38 OH Triton - 5% 26% 44% 22% 3%
39 PIWOWAR Alex 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% -
40 VAUGHN Jason 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2% -
41 DOWNEY Baran - 4% 24% 43% 24% 5% -
42 PENG Bryan 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 4% -
43 MYLEK Peter - 5% 18% 34% 30% 11% 1%
44 WANG Robert 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
45 MORALES Jonathan 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
46 ZHUANG Rayken 46% 39% 13% 2% - -
47 SAVOY Luca 2% 16% 43% 31% 8% 1%
48 GILSON Lucas B. 2% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2%
49 GOLDMAN Noah R. 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
50 CHTERENTAL Alex 5% 26% 38% 24% 7% 1%
51 HUANG Connor 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
52 HONG Steven - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
53 ZHANG Ethan W. 1% 11% 36% 35% 14% 3% -
54 ZHANG Derek 1% 15% 45% 30% 8% 1% -
55 HUANG Maxwell H. - 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3%
56 HUROWITZ Max 13% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
57 OWENS Harrison J. 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
58 ZHANG Yankun 46% 41% 11% 1% - - -
59 OVERDECK Andrew 10% 34% 36% 16% 3% -
60 PENTLAND Craig 57% 36% 6% - - -
61 GONG Jerry 9% 30% 37% 19% 4% - -
62 WEN Edward 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
63 WAXLER Seth B. < 1% 5% 22% 38% 28% 7%
64 KESSLER Josh 15% 49% 29% 6% - -
65 CHANG Yuyang 14% 36% 34% 14% 2% - -
66 BROOK Joel 48% 42% 9% 1% - - -
67 PERRON Robert 19% 46% 28% 7% 1% - -
68 SHIPITSIN Yaroslav 73% 25% 3% - - - -
69 SHINCHUK Daniel 3% 20% 36% 28% 11% 2% -
69 LIN Stephen 16% 39% 32% 11% 1% - -
71 CAO Bryan 23% 57% 18% 2% - - -
72 SIMMONS John M. 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
72 WONG Alexander 9% 54% 31% 6% 1% - -
74 KESSLER Nathan 11% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.