October NAC

Div I Women's Saber

Saturday, October 8, 2022 at 2:00 PM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SULLIVAN Siobhan R. - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 24%
2 KOVACS Sophia - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
3 PAK Kaitlyn - - 3% 12% 30% 37% 18%
3 CIESLAR Julia - 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6%
5 SKARBONKIEWICZ Magda - - - - 3% 27% 69%
6 TZOU Alexandra - 1% 7% 23% 36% 27% 7%
7 WALTER Zsofia R. - 2% 11% 31% 36% 17% 3%
8 ANDREYEVA Darya 2% 13% 29% 32% 19% 5% -
9 NAZLYMOV Tatiana F. - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
10 FOX-GITOMER Chloe N. - - - - 5% 31% 63%
10 SHEALY Maggie - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 20%
12 ANGLADE Alexis C. - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
13 FOUR-GARCIA Madison - - 4% 19% 39% 33% 5%
14 HARRISON Imogen N. - - 5% 21% 39% 28% 7%
15 MIKA Veronica - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11% 1%
16 CARVALHO Isabela A. - - 2% 13% 36% 40% 7%
17 LINDER Kara E. - - - 1% 6% 33% 60%
18 POSSICK Lola P. - - 2% 14% 37% 36% 11%
19 GOUHIN Chloe - - - 3% 15% 41% 40%
20 TARTAKOVSKY Elizabeth - - - 1% 6% 32% 61%
21 JOHNSON Honor - - - 1% 11% 39% 49%
21 LIU Sophie 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3% -
23 HILD Nisha 1% 7% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
24 JENKINS Ryan J. - - - 1% 8% 34% 57%
25 OLSEN Natalie J. 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
26 GORMAN Victoria M. - 4% 17% 33% 31% 12% 2%
27 WILLIAMS Jadeyn E. - - 1% 8% 27% 40% 23%
28 BOIS Adele - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 2%
29 CHIN Sophia J. 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
30 VADASZ Ibla P. 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
31 CHEN Xiaohan 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2%
32 DELSOIN Chelsea C. - 2% 11% 28% 36% 20% 4%
33 GREENBAUM Atara R. - - - 3% 14% 39% 44%
34 BEVACQUA Aria F. 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 4% < 1%
35 LU Vivian Y. - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
36 MELNYCHUK Yelyzaveta - - 1% 11% 40% 48%
37 CHAMBERLAIN Maia C. - - - 1% 7% 31% 61%
38 TAO Hannah J. - 1% 8% 24% 38% 25% 4%
39 LEE Alexandra B. - - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
40 GORDON Tamar - - 4% 20% 39% 31% 5%
41 DUCKETT Madison - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9% 1%
42 KAKHIANI-MECKLING Teodora - 1% 6% 25% 44% 24%
43 OISHI Megumi - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
44 STRZALKOWSKI Aleksandra (Ola) M. - - 4% 16% 35% 33% 11%
45 ANDRES Charmaine G. - 2% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
46 YUN Joy - - 3% 14% 35% 38% 10%
47 ENGELMAN-SANZ Madeline A. - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 8%
48 BLUM Leah I. 1% 7% 21% 33% 26% 10% 2%
49 GREENBAUM Ella K. - 5% 20% 37% 29% 8% -
50 HWANG Gabriela M. 20% 42% 29% 9% 1% -
51 SHOMAN Jenna - 1% 8% 33% 44% 14%
52 LI Anna M. - 1% 4% 18% 35% 32% 10%
53 PRIEUR Lauren 6% 27% 39% 22% 5% 1% -
54 LIN Audrey J. - 2% 14% 35% 35% 13% 1%
55 SINGLETON-COMFORT Leanne - - 1% 10% 31% 40% 18%
55 KER Grace 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
57 SHEARER Natalie E. 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
58 HUNG Anna 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
59 MCKEE Brynnley 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% - -
60 TONG Kunling - 5% 23% 44% 24% 3%
61 JOHNSON Dagny L. 5% 20% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
62 NATHANSON Sammy E. 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
63 SHI Cathleen 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
64 SAYLES Nina R. 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 8% 1%
65 JUNG Irene 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
66 KIM Zoe - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
67 LI Amanda C. - 2% 11% 26% 34% 22% 5%
68 LI Victoria J. - 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 1%
69 GHAYALOD reya 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
70 FREEDMAN Janna N. - 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
71 HOOGENDOORN Levi 2% 16% 35% 31% 13% 2% -
72 DRAGON Rainer 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 7% 1%
73 CALLAHAN Chase J. 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 6% -
74 BALAKUMARAN Maya 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3% -
75 SZETO Chloe 3% 17% 35% 32% 13% 2%
76 BULBA Daria 2% 12% 32% 36% 16% 2%
77 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. 22% 40% 28% 9% 2% - -
78 ENDO Miyuki N. 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1% -
79 YANG Lea 23% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
80 BROWN Emma 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
81 JULIEN Michelle - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 1%
82 PRIESTLEY Catherine (Cate) C. 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6% -
82 STONE Hava S. 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
84 BILILIES Sophia 9% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
85 YUAN Greta 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 3% -
86 ATLURI Sara V. 2% 17% 38% 31% 10% 1% -
87 LU Yi Lin 7% 25% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
88 LEE Hannah 1% 9% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
89 KRASTEV Minna 1% 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
90 POTZ-NAGY Fanni 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
91 ANTHONY Alexia B. 10% 36% 39% 14% 2% -
92 TONG Jessie 39% 43% 15% 2% - -
93 SPRINGER Ella 9% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
94 CHIN Erika J. - 2% 10% 28% 37% 20% 3%
95 CODY Alexandra C. 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4% -
96 WU Helen 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
97 VESTEL Mira B. - 4% 16% 31% 32% 15% 2%
98 LACSON Sarah - 4% 16% 33% 33% 13% 1%
99 MARSEE Samantha 1% 10% 29% 35% 19% 5% -
100 LU Elaine 7% 25% 34% 24% 9% 1% -
101 BAE EMMELINE 12% 36% 34% 15% 3% - -
102 YODER Bridget H. 2% 13% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
103 COLTER Aurora 32% 41% 21% 5% 1% - -
104 HONE Katarina G. 1% 7% 24% 38% 24% 6% 1%
104 YANG Ashley M. 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
106 SCOTT Eve 42% 42% 13% 2% - - -
107 YU Zhiang 33% 43% 20% 4% - - -
108 ANDRES Katherine A. - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
109 BARNOVITZ Maya 12% 32% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
110 XIAO julie 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
111 YANG Angelina LeLe 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
111 LEMUS-IAKOVIDOU ALEXANDRA 36% 42% 18% 4% - - -
113 LUKER Sophia 23% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
114 SO Catelyn 12% 37% 36% 13% 2% - -
115 PAUL Lila 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1%
116 ERIKSON Kira R. 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% -
116 CHEN Ashley 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% -
118 NATH Trisha 10% 36% 39% 14% 2% -
119 ADYNSKI Gillian I. - 2% 11% 32% 39% 15%
120 MANSPERGER Leena 13% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
121 SINHA Anika 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
122 CHANG Audrey 33% 42% 20% 5% - - -
123 MOZHAEVA MARIA 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
124 SATHYANATH Kailing - 3% 16% 36% 33% 11% 1%
125 DHAR Aamina 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
126 XIONG Haojiao 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% 1% -
127 BAKER Audrey C. 15% 39% 33% 11% 2% - -
128 SADOVA Olga 28% 44% 23% 5% - - -
128 KIM Marley I. 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
128 KHAN Alissa 14% 41% 33% 11% 2% - -
131 PARKER Abigale B. - 4% 18% 36% 31% 10% 1%
131 WANG Zidan 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
131 LU Amy 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
134 SCHIMINOVICH Sophia I. 10% 30% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
135 MARYASH Samantha 25% 44% 24% 6% 1% - -
136 WEI JoyAnn 58% 34% 7% 1% - - -
137 WEI Vivian W. 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
137 LEE Sophia 27% 44% 23% 5% 1% - -
139 LIGH Erenei J. 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1% -
140 ZEGERS Anneke E. < 1% - 2% 13% 32% 37% 15%
140 ALCEBAR Kayla 3% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
142 WIGGERS Susan Q. 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
143 JEONG Katie 7% 27% 38% 22% 5% - -
144 WEBER Juliana I. 3% 20% 37% 28% 10% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.