October NAC

Div I Women's Saber

Saturday, October 8, 2022 at 2:00 PM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SULLIVAN Siobhan R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 24%
2 KOVACS Sophia 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
3 PAK Kaitlyn 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 18%
3 CIESLAR Julia 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6%
5 SKARBONKIEWICZ Magda 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
6 TZOU Alexandra 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
7 WALTER Zsofia R. 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 20% 3%
8 ANDREYEVA Darya 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% -
9 NAZLYMOV Tatiana F. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
10 FOX-GITOMER Chloe N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
10 SHEALY Maggie 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
12 ANGLADE Alexis C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
13 FOUR-GARCIA Madison 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 38% 5%
14 HARRISON Imogen N. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 7%
15 MIKA Veronica 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 12% 1%
16 CARVALHO Isabela A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 48% 7%
17 LINDER Kara E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
18 POSSICK Lola P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 11%
19 GOUHIN Chloe 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
20 TARTAKOVSKY Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
21 JOHNSON Honor 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
21 LIU Sophie 100% 97% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
23 HILD Nisha 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
24 JENKINS Ryan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
25 OLSEN Natalie J. 100% 98% 86% 53% 18% 2%
26 GORMAN Victoria M. 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 14% 2%
27 WILLIAMS Jadeyn E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 23%
28 BOIS Adele 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 2%
29 CHIN Sophia J. 100% 96% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
30 VADASZ Ibla P. 100% 99% 93% 71% 38% 11% 1%
31 CHEN Xiaohan 100% 98% 82% 48% 15% 2%
32 DELSOIN Chelsea C. 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 24% 4%
33 GREENBAUM Atara R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 44%
34 BEVACQUA Aria F. 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 4% < 1%
35 LU Vivian Y. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
36 MELNYCHUK Yelyzaveta 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
37 CHAMBERLAIN Maia C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
38 TAO Hannah J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 29% 4%
39 LEE Alexandra B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 19%
40 GORDON Tamar 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 5%
41 DUCKETT Madison 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% 1%
42 KAKHIANI-MECKLING Teodora 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 24%
43 OISHI Megumi 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 15%
44 STRZALKOWSKI Aleksandra (Ola) M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
45 ANDRES Charmaine G. 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
46 YUN Joy 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 48% 10%
47 ENGELMAN-SANZ Madeline A. 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 40% 8%
48 BLUM Leah I. 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 12% 2%
49 GREENBAUM Ella K. 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8% -
50 HWANG Gabriela M. 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% -
51 SHOMAN Jenna 100% 100% 99% 91% 58% 14%
52 LI Anna M. 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 10%
53 PRIEUR Lauren 100% 94% 66% 28% 6% 1% -
54 LIN Audrey J. 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 14% 1%
55 SINGLETON-COMFORT Leanne 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 58% 18%
55 KER Grace 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
57 SHEARER Natalie E. 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
58 HUNG Anna 100% 85% 50% 18% 3% - -
59 MCKEE Brynnley 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% - -
60 TONG Kunling 100% 100% 95% 72% 27% 3%
61 JOHNSON Dagny L. 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 2% -
62 NATHANSON Sammy E. 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
63 SHI Cathleen 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 2% -
64 SAYLES Nina R. 100% 99% 93% 68% 33% 8% 1%
65 JUNG Irene 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
66 KIM Zoe 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 21%
67 LI Amanda C. 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 5%
68 LI Victoria J. 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 1%
69 GHAYALOD reya 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
70 FREEDMAN Janna N. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
71 HOOGENDOORN Levi 100% 98% 82% 47% 16% 3% -
72 DRAGON Rainer 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1%
73 CALLAHAN Chase J. 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6% -
74 BALAKUMARAN Maya 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 3% -
75 SZETO Chloe 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2%
76 BULBA Daria 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
77 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. 100% 78% 39% 11% 2% - -
78 ENDO Miyuki N. 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
79 YANG Lea 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% - -
80 BROWN Emma 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 11% 1%
81 JULIEN Michelle 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 16% 1%
82 PRIESTLEY Catherine (Cate) C. 100% 98% 89% 63% 29% 7% -
82 STONE Hava S. 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
84 BILILIES Sophia 100% 91% 58% 21% 4% - -
85 YUAN Greta 100% 97% 80% 49% 18% 4% -
86 ATLURI Sara V. 100% 98% 80% 43% 12% 1% -
87 LU Yi Lin 100% 93% 67% 33% 9% 1% -
88 LEE Hannah 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
89 KRASTEV Minna 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
90 POTZ-NAGY Fanni 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5%
91 ANTHONY Alexia B. 100% 90% 55% 16% 2% -
92 TONG Jessie 100% 61% 17% 2% - -
93 SPRINGER Ella 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% - -
94 CHIN Erika J. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 23% 3%
95 CODY Alexandra C. 100% 99% 89% 59% 24% 4% -
96 WU Helen 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
97 VESTEL Mira B. 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 17% 2%
98 LACSON Sarah 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 14% 1%
99 MARSEE Samantha 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 5% -
100 LU Elaine 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
101 BAE EMMELINE 100% 88% 52% 18% 3% - -
102 YODER Bridget H. 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 5% -
103 COLTER Aurora 100% 68% 27% 6% 1% - -
104 HONE Katarina G. 100% 99% 93% 68% 31% 7% 1%
104 YANG Ashley M. 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 10% 1%
106 SCOTT Eve 100% 58% 15% 2% - - -
107 YU Zhiang 100% 67% 24% 5% - - -
108 ANDRES Katherine A. 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 17% 2%
109 BARNOVITZ Maya 100% 88% 56% 23% 5% 1% -
110 XIAO julie 100% 86% 50% 16% 3% - -
111 YANG Angelina LeLe 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 3% -
111 LEMUS-IAKOVIDOU ALEXANDRA 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
113 LUKER Sophia 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
114 SO Catelyn 100% 88% 50% 15% 2% - -
115 PAUL Lila 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
116 ERIKSON Kira R. 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% -
116 CHEN Ashley 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% -
118 NATH Trisha 100% 90% 55% 16% 2% -
119 ADYNSKI Gillian I. 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 15%
120 MANSPERGER Leena 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% - -
121 SINHA Anika 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
122 CHANG Audrey 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% - -
123 MOZHAEVA MARIA 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
124 SATHYANATH Kailing 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 12% 1%
125 DHAR Aamina 100% 79% 39% 10% 1% - -
126 XIONG Haojiao 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
127 BAKER Audrey C. 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% - -
128 SADOVA Olga 100% 72% 29% 5% - - -
128 KIM Marley I. 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
128 KHAN Alissa 100% 86% 46% 13% 2% - -
131 PARKER Abigale B. 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 11% 1%
131 WANG Zidan 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
131 LU Amy 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 4% -
134 SCHIMINOVICH Sophia I. 100% 90% 61% 26% 7% 1% -
135 MARYASH Samantha 100% 75% 30% 6% 1% - -
136 WEI JoyAnn 100% 42% 8% 1% - - -
137 WEI Vivian W. 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
137 LEE Sophia 100% 73% 29% 6% 1% - -
139 LIGH Erenei J. 100% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
140 ZEGERS Anneke E. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 52% 15%
140 ALCEBAR Kayla 100% 97% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
142 WIGGERS Susan Q. 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 9% 1%
143 JEONG Katie 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% - -
144 WEBER Juliana I. 100% 97% 77% 40% 12% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.