October NAC

Div I Men's Saber

Sunday, October 9, 2022 at 12:00 PM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DERSHWITZ Eli R. - - - - 5% 30% 65%
2 FERJANI fares - - - - 4% 29% 67%
3 WILLIAMS Grant W. - - - - 2% 21% 76%
3 HEATHCOCK Colin Yang Siqi - 6% 24% 40% 26% 4%
5 ELSISSY Ziad A. - - - - 1% 18% 80%
6 MORRILL William - - 2% 9% 27% 40% 22%
7 DODDO Andrew - - - - 5% 30% 65%
8 YUN Jaesun - 3% 14% 34% 35% 12% 1%
9 HOMER Daryl D. - - - - 1% 21% 77%
10 MACKIEWICZ Andrew A. - - - 1% 15% 84%
11 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 10%
12 SMITH Jared C. - - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
13 COHEN Josef A. - - - - 4% 29% 67%
14 TE VELDE Noah C. - 1% 6% 20% 36% 30% 7%
15 HOLZ Daniel 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
16 HEATHCOCK Antonio - 2% 15% 38% 34% 10%
17 SARON Mitchell S. - - - - 2% 21% 77%
18 HARLEY Colby A. - 2% 14% 40% 37% 7%
19 CALLAHAN Jaden P. - 2% 13% 36% 34% 13% 2%
20 BOOTH Zaheer - - 4% 21% 40% 29% 7%
21 CHIARA ANGELO M. - - 1% 7% 27% 42% 23%
22 ANGLADE Junior Ronald (RJ) E. - - - 4% 20% 44% 32%
23 FERJANI Ahmed - - 2% 14% 37% 38% 9%
24 HARVEY Nicholas J. - - 4% 20% 45% 28% 3%
25 TANN Justin 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
26 CAUCHON Francois - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
27 CHON Taylor A. 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
28 YANG Ziyi 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5% -
29 MOON Sean H. - - 2% 11% 35% 44% 9%
30 BOUNACHADA Zacharia 5% 31% 40% 20% 4% -
31 REN James 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
32 DESROSIERS Olivier - - 3% 16% 42% 35% 4%
33 LACAZE Alexandre - - 2% 11% 33% 42% 12%
34 REN Junming - - 1% 9% 36% 47% 7%
35 YEN Darren - - 3% 13% 31% 37% 17%
36 LINDER James (Luke) L. - - - - 3% 25% 72%
37 THOMPSON Khalil A. - - - - 2% 18% 81%
38 HUSSAIN Faaris - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
39 ARMIJO Gabriel K. - - - 3% 16% 43% 38%
40 LIU kelly 2% 11% 30% 34% 18% 5% -
41 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. - 3% 15% 31% 32% 15% 3%
42 DENNER Lysander H. - 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
43 LUKASHENKO Darii 1% 16% 39% 32% 11% 1%
44 ERMAKOV Lev 1% 9% 29% 39% 20% 3%
45 TRAVERS Samir T. - - 3% 17% 42% 35% 3%
46 ZIELINSKI Nicholaus M. - 1% 5% 18% 35% 32% 10%
47 DOLEGIEWICZ Filip - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
48 BENAVRAM Lev C. - 4% 16% 30% 31% 16% 3%
49 LIANG Connor - 1% 5% 18% 33% 31% 12%
50 SOHN Kevin J. - 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 7%
51 WEI Andrew - - 1% 8% 31% 51% 9%
52 KOGAN Benjamin 1% 5% 21% 38% 29% 6% -
53 WALKER Dalton F. - - 3% 12% 29% 37% 20%
54 KIM Stephen E. - - 1% 7% 27% 44% 21%
55 BUERGENTHAL Aaron P. - 4% 16% 33% 33% 14% 1%
56 CHEONG Heonjae 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
57 DENNER Maximilian P. 3% 19% 42% 29% 7% -
58 BABAYEV Gabriel A. 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
59 PAN Jerry 1% 7% 21% 33% 27% 10% 1%
60 SIMAK Joseph P. - 4% 18% 34% 31% 11% 1%
61 YUN Jake 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4% -
62 WU Roger (Mengke) 2% 12% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1%
63 JIANG Anthony 5% 38% 40% 15% 2% -
64 CHAN Matthew - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
65 MCBRIDE Jackson R. - - 2% 12% 36% 41% 8%
66 LILOV Neil - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
67 PAN Jack (Yuxiang) - 1% 6% 25% 44% 23% 1%
68 DINU Nicholas D. - - 3% 15% 36% 38% 8%
69 WILLIAMS Nolan E. - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
70 SHOMAN Zachary 4% 19% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
71 DHINGRA Gian K. - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 8%
72 BERMAN Luca 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
73 NADILE Henry V. - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
74 FERNANDEZ Rodrigo 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
75 HUANG Ethan F. 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4% -
76 MICHELL Bailey 6% 22% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
77 CHAVES Matthew J. 4% 23% 40% 25% 6% 1% -
78 GEFELL Andrew P. - 1% 6% 26% 44% 21% 2%
79 LINSKY Matthew - 1% 4% 16% 32% 34% 14%
80 CHOI HYUNSEOK - - 4% 18% 35% 31% 10%
81 WONG Ryan 3% 16% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
82 WOOD Elden S. - - 4% 16% 34% 33% 12%
83 HJERPE Wade H. 1% 13% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
84 LEE Aydan J. 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 2% -
85 GILSON Lucas B. 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
86 TONG ZACHARY 3% 15% 32% 31% 16% 4% -
87 SHIRPAL Oleksandr 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
88 STATEN-LUSTY Silas J. - 1% 8% 26% 38% 24% 3%
89 GUAY-TARDIF Xavier - 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 6%
90 JI Cody Walter - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
91 LEE Justin - 5% 21% 37% 28% 7% -
92 BURGUNDER Quinten (Quin) A. - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
93 BIERNACKI Maciej L. - - 5% 20% 38% 29% 7%
94 SHAHZAD Azlan A. 17% 41% 32% 9% 1% - -
95 FENG Leo 5% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1% -
95 POPE Nico 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4% -
97 ATTIG Will T. - - 2% 11% 31% 41% 15%
98 KIM Shaun M. 1% 7% 25% 38% 23% 6% -
99 ZHANG Derek 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% - -
100 DRESSELL Wiley 2% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
101 WANG Eric Y. 1% 6% 22% 35% 27% 8% 1%
102 XU William 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 10% 1%
103 WITEK Bernard J. - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
104 HONG Vincent Q. - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12% 1%
105 ZENG Noah 20% 43% 30% 7% 1% - -
106 HONG Steven 7% 26% 37% 24% 6% - -
107 BARNETT Adam 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
107 MICLAUS Justin 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 2% -
109 PRIMUS Nazir 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
110 PATIL Aaryan A. 6% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
111 SO Hananiah - 2% 12% 30% 36% 18% 1%
112 ROBERTS Sam 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% -
113 ATANASSOV Vasil V. 4% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1% -
114 BULL Anderson 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
115 WANG Nicolas 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
116 CHO Justin W. - 4% 16% 30% 31% 15% 3%
117 PANDEY Neil 13% 34% 34% 16% 3% - -
118 JEFFORDS Alexander 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
119 MAKLIN Edward P. 15% 36% 33% 14% 3% -
120 WILSON Jude 1% 10% 32% 39% 17% -
121 HAMMERSTROM Jared 1% 8% 29% 41% 20% 1%
122 ESCUETA Tony V. - 6% 21% 35% 28% 9% -
123 WIND Nicky E. 3% 14% 30% 31% 17% 5% 1%
124 WOODWARD Connor 7% 29% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
125 HOLZ William A. 5% 22% 34% 26% 11% 2% -
126 VOCHOSKA Aidan F. 1% 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 1%
127 HAN William 21% 42% 29% 8% 1% - -
128 GHAYALOD ansh 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 2% -
129 LIM William J. 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
130 MIKA Casper - - 4% 16% 34% 33% 12%
131 DENG Andrew 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
132 WUN William 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
133 LE Hayden 3% 17% 37% 31% 10% 1%
134 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
135 BERRIO Carter E. 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
136 MEHTA Sachin N. - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9%
137 CHEONG Heonjun 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
138 XU Andrew 8% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
139 HANEY Vincent 9% 27% 34% 22% 8% 1% -
140 ZHU Charlie 16% 39% 33% 11% 1% - -
141 RAI Avin - 2% 9% 24% 35% 24% 6%
142 BOLTON Braydon A. - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
143 REN Richard 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
144 GHENEA George Philipe 7% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
144 SLASTIN Andrew 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
146 VO Minh Q. 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
147 WANG Charles 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1% -
148 BAE Jason I. 6% 23% 34% 25% 9% 2% -
149 EFSTATHIOU Evangelos L. 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
149 MEDVEDEV Michail D. 16% 36% 32% 13% 3% - -
151 MCCARTHY Gabriel 8% 31% 39% 18% 3% - -
152 ZHOU Miles 8% 30% 39% 20% 4% - -
153 KOLASA Thomas M. - - 1% 11% 33% 39% 15%
153 EICHHORN Lukas H. 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1% -
155 DODRILL Grant - 1% 8% 23% 34% 26% 7%
156 KIM Andrew H. 7% 25% 36% 23% 8% 1% -
157 NAZLYMOV Andrei 1% 13% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
158 NOBLE Colin 4% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1% -
159 RAMPAZZO Luca - < 1% 5% 24% 43% 27%
160 ZHANG Ethan W. 36% 43% 18% 3% - -
161 CHTERENTAL Alex 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% - -
162 MARGULIES William 10% 32% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
163 ROBINSON William 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
164 KIM Alexander M. 6% 26% 38% 24% 6% 1% -
165 WOODWARD Dylan P. 2% 13% 29% 32% 19% 5% 1%
165 STURN Oliver 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
167 MORRILL Justin 7% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
167 OH Triton 8% 29% 38% 20% 4% - -
169 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 9% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
169 WANG Robert 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% - -
171 HO Kaden M. 1% 11% 33% 39% 15% 2% -
171 BARBER William S. 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4% -
171 DIACOS Jordan 10% 29% 34% 20% 7% 1% -
174 LUO George F. 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
175 MORALES Jonathan 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
175 CHEN Evan P. 10% 32% 37% 18% 3% - -
175 PAN Alex 35% 42% 19% 4% - - -
178 LO Konnor 18% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
179 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 6% 25% 35% 24% 9% 2% -
180 STONE Esmond A. 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
181 SKINNER Graham B. 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
182 HONG Rubin 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
183 HAN Daniel Y. 19% 42% 30% 8% 1% - -
184 LI Minghan 5% 24% 38% 26% 7% 1% -
185 MAHAPATRA SAMARTH 52% 36% 10% 1% - - -
186 LIN Daniel 12% 32% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
187 LIU Mingyang Ryan 11% 37% 35% 14% 2% -
188 CHIN Matthew W. 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
188 SHOMAN Noah 2% 13% 34% 36% 13% 2% -
190 QIU Nathan 7% 27% 37% 23% 6% - -
190 KOTOV Leonid 14% 39% 35% 11% 1% - -
190 TENG MATTHEW 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
193 ZHENG Edward L. 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
193 LASORSA Matthew 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
195 GLOZMAN Justin 42% 41% 14% 2% - -
196 YEN Preston 10% 31% 36% 19% 4% -
196 KILGALLEN William 72% 25% 3% - - -
198 GUAN Luke 13% 33% 34% 16% 4% - -
199 ESCUETA Jr Antonio V. 17% 46% 29% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.