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Event Results

Div I Men's Saber

October NACSurprise Map

Sunday, October 9, 2022 at 12:00 PM Minneapolis, MN, USA
199 finishers
Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength
Birth year

Outcome Surprises

Legend

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 DERSHWITZ Eli R. D V V V V V V V V V V V 5.6 5 -0.6
2 FERJANI fares V V V V V V V V V V V V 5.6 6 +0.4
3 WILLIAMS Grant W. V D V V V V V V V V V D 5.7 5 -0.7
3 HEATHCOCK Colin Yang Siqi V D V V V V V V V V D 3.0 4 +1.0
5 ELSISSY Ziad A. V V V V V V V V V V D 5.8 6 +0.2
6 MORRILL William V V D V V V V V V V D 4.7 5 +0.3
7 DODDO Andrew D V V V D V V V V V D 5.6 4 -1.6
8 YUN Jaesun D V V D V V V V V V D 3.4 4 +0.6
9 HOMER Daryl D. V V V V V V V V V D 5.8 6 +0.2
10 MACKIEWICZ Andrew A. V V V V V V V V D 4.8 5 +0.2
11 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. V V V D V V V V V D 4.2 5 +0.8
12 SMITH Jared C. V V V V D V V V V D 5.1 5 -0.1
13 COHEN Josef A. V V V D V V V V V D 5.6 5 -0.6
14 TE VELDE Noah C. D V V V D V V V V D 4.1 4 -0.1
15 HOLZ Daniel V V D V V D V V V D 2.9 4 +1.1
16 HEATHCOCK Antonio V D V D V V V V D 3.4 3 -0.4
17 SARON Mitchell S. V V V V V V V V D 5.8 6 +0.2
18 HARLEY Colby A. V V V V V V V D 3.3 5 +1.7
19 CALLAHAN Jaden P. V V V V V D V V D 3.5 5 +1.5
20 BOOTH Zaheer V V V V D V V V D 4.1 5 +0.9
21 CHIARA ANGELO M. D V V V V V V V D 4.8 5 +0.2
22 ANGLADE Junior Ronald (RJ) E. V V V V V D V V D 5.0 5 -
23 FERJANI Ahmed V V V V D V V V D 4.4 5 +0.6
24 HARVEY Nicholas J. V V V V D V V V D 4.0 5 +1.0
25 TANN Justin V D V V V V V V D 2.7 5 +2.3
26 CAUCHON Francois V V V V D V V D 4.5 4 -0.5
27 CHON Taylor A. V V D V V V V D 2.5 4 +1.5
28 YANG Ziyi V V V D D V V V D 2.9 4 +1.1
29 MOON Sean H. D V V V D V V V D 4.5 4 -0.5
30 BOUNACHADA Zacharia D V V V D V V D 1.9 3 +1.1
31 REN James D D V V D V V V D 1.4 3 +1.6
32 DESROSIERS Olivier D V V D D V V V D 4.2 3 -1.2
33 LACAZE Alexandre V V V V V V V D 4.5 6 +1.5
34 REN Junming V V V V V V V D 4.5 6 +1.5
35 YEN Darren V D V V V V V D 4.5 5 +0.5
36 LINDER James (Luke) L. V V V D V V V D 5.7 5 -0.7
37 THOMPSON Khalil A. V V V V D V V D 5.8 5 -0.8
38 HUSSAIN Faaris V V V D V V V D 3.5 5 +1.5
39 ARMIJO Gabriel K. V V V V D V V D 5.2 5 -0.2
40 LIU kelly V D V V V V V D 2.7 5 +2.3
41 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. D V V V V V V D 3.5 5 +1.5
42 DENNER Lysander H. V V V D V V D 3.2 4 +0.8
43 LUKASHENKO Darii V V V V D V D 2.4 4 +1.6
44 ERMAKOV Lev V V D V V V D 2.8 4 +1.2
45 TRAVERS Samir T. D V D V V V V D 4.2 4 -0.2
46 ZIELINSKI Nicholaus M. V D V D V V V D 4.2 4 -0.2
47 DOLEGIEWICZ Filip D V V V D V V D 5.2 4 -1.2
48 BENAVRAM Lev C. D V V V D V V D 3.5 4 +0.5
49 LIANG Connor D V V V D V V D 4.2 4 -0.2
50 SOHN Kevin J. V V D D V V V D 4.0 4 -
51 WEI Andrew V D V V V D V D 4.6 4 -0.6
52 KOGAN Benjamin D V V D V V V D 3.1 4 +0.9
53 WALKER Dalton F. D V V D V V V D 4.6 4 -0.6
54 KIM Stephen E. V V V D V D V D 4.8 4 -0.8
55 BUERGENTHAL Aaron P. V V V V D D V D 3.4 4 +0.6
56 CHEONG Heonjae V D D V V V V D 2.1 4 +1.9
57 DENNER Maximilian P. V D D V V V D 2.2 3 +0.8
58 BABAYEV Gabriel A. V V D D V D V D 2.9 3 +0.1
59 PAN Jerry V D D D V V V D 3.1 3 -0.1
60 SIMAK Joseph P. D V V D V D V D 3.3 3 -0.3
61 YUN Jake D D V D V V V D 2.8 3 +0.2
62 WU Roger (Mengke) V V D V D D V V D 2.8 3 +0.2
63 JIANG Anthony D V D V D V V D 1.7 2 +0.3
64 CHAN Matthew D V D V D D V V D 3.8 2 -1.8
65 MCBRIDE Jackson R. V V V V V V D 4.4 6 +1.6
66 LILOV Neil V V V V V V D 4.8 6 +1.2
67 PAN Jack (Yuxiang) V V V V V D D 3.9 5 +1.1
68 DINU Nicholas D. V V V V D V D 4.3 5 +0.7
69 WILLIAMS Nolan E. V V V V D V D 4.4 5 +0.6
70 SHOMAN Zachary V D V V V V D 2.4 5 +2.6
71 DHINGRA Gian K. V V V V D V D 4.1 5 +0.9
72 BERMAN Luca V V D V V V D 2.5 5 +2.5
73 NADILE Henry V. V D V D V V D 4.2 4 -0.2
74 FERNANDEZ Rodrigo V V D D V V D 3.0 4 +1.0
75 HUANG Ethan F. D V D V V V D 2.7 4 +1.3
76 MICHELL Bailey V V D D V V D 2.2 4 +1.8
77 CHAVES Matthew J. V V D V D V D 2.1 4 +1.9
78 GEFELL Andrew P. V V V D V D D 3.9 4 +0.1
79 LINSKY Matthew D D V V V V D 4.4 4 -0.4
80 CHOI HYUNSEOK D V V V V D D 4.2 4 -0.2
81 WONG Ryan V V V D D V D 2.4 4 +1.6
82 WOOD Elden S. D V V V V D D 4.3 4 -0.3
83 HJERPE Wade H. D V D V V V D 2.6 4 +1.4
84 LEE Aydan J. V V D V V D D 2.3 4 +1.7
85 GILSON Lucas B. D V V V D V D 1.1 4 +2.9
86 TONG ZACHARY V D V V D V D 2.5 4 +1.5
87 SHIRPAL Oleksandr V D D V V V D 2.0 4 +2.0
88 STATEN-LUSTY Silas J. D V V V D V D 3.8 4 +0.2
89 GUAY-TARDIF Xavier V V V D V D D 4.0 4 -
90 JI Cody Walter V D D V V V D 4.9 4 -0.9
91 LEE Justin V V V D V D D 3.1 4 +0.9
92 BURGUNDER Quinten (Quin) A. V V D V D D 3.9 3 -0.9
93 BIERNACKI Maciej L. D D D V V V D 4.1 3 -1.1
94 SHAHZAD Azlan A. V D D V V D D 1.4 3 +1.6
95 FENG Leo V V D D D V D 2.1 3 +0.9
95 POPE Nico D V V V D D D 2.7 3 +0.3
97 ATTIG Will T. V V V D D D D 4.5 3 -1.5
98 KIM Shaun M. D V D V V D D 3.0 3 -
99 ZHANG Derek V D D V V D D 1.7 3 +1.3
100 DRESSELL Wiley V D V D V D D 2.5 3 +0.5
101 WANG Eric Y. D D V D V V D 3.1 3 -0.1
102 XU William V V D V D D D 3.2 3 -0.2
103 WITEK Bernard J. D V D D V V D 3.8 3 -0.8
104 HONG Vincent Q. V V D D V D D 3.3 3 -0.3
105 ZENG Noah V V D D D V D 1.3 3 +1.7
106 HONG Steven V D V D D V D 2.0 3 +1.0
107 BARNETT Adam V D V D D V D 3.0 3 -
107 MICLAUS Justin D D V V D V V D 2.2 3 +0.8
109 PRIMUS Nazir V V D V D D V D 2.2 3 +0.8
110 PATIL Aaryan A. D V V D V D V D 2.1 3 +0.9
111 SO Hananiah D V D V V D V D 3.6 3 -0.6
112 ROBERTS Sam V D D V V D V D 2.9 3 +0.1
113 ATANASSOV Vasil V. V D D D V V V D 2.2 3 +0.8
114 BULL Anderson V V D V D D V D 2.0 3 +1.0
115 WANG Nicolas V D V D D V V D 1.5 3 +1.5
116 CHO Justin W. D D V V V D V D 3.4 3 -0.4
117 PANDEY Neil V V D D D V V D 1.6 3 +1.4
118 JEFFORDS Alexander V V D D D V V D 2.9 3 +0.1
119 MAKLIN Edward P. D D V D V V D 1.6 2 +0.4
120 WILSON Jude D V D D V V D 2.6 2 -0.6
121 HAMMERSTROM Jared V D V D D V D 2.7 2 -0.7
122 ESCUETA Tony V. D D D D V V V D 3.1 2 -1.1
123 WIND Nicky E. D D V D D V V D 2.6 2 -0.6
124 WOODWARD Connor D D V D D V V D 1.9 2 +0.1
125 HOLZ William A. D D D V V D V D 2.2 2 -0.2
126 VOCHOSKA Aidan F. V V D D D D V D 3.1 2 -1.1
127 HAN William V D D D V D V D 1.3 2 +0.7
128 GHAYALOD ansh V D D V D D V D 2.4 2 -0.4
129 LIM William J. V D V D V D D 1.6 3 +1.4
130 MIKA Casper D V D V D V D 4.3 3 -1.3
131 DENG Andrew D D V D V V D 2.7 3 +0.3
132 WUN William D D V V D D 2.1 2 -0.1
133 LE Hayden D D V D V D 2.3 2 -0.3
134 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu D D D V V D D 1.1 2 +0.9
135 BERRIO Carter E. D D V V D D D 2.4 2 -0.4
136 MEHTA Sachin N. D D D D V V D 4.1 2 -2.1
137 CHEONG Heonjun D D V D D V D 2.2 2 -0.2
138 XU Andrew D D V V D D D 2.0 2 -
139 HANEY Vincent D D V D D V D 2.0 2 -
140 ZHU Charlie D V D D D V D 1.4 2 +0.6
141 RAI Avin D V V D D D D 3.9 2 -1.9
142 BOLTON Braydon A. D D V D D V D 3.8 2 -1.8
143 REN Richard D D V V D D D 1.4 2 +0.6
144 GHENEA George Philipe V D V D D D D 2.0 2 -
144 SLASTIN Andrew D D V D V D D 2.3 2 -0.3
146 VO Minh Q. V D D D V D D 1.1 2 +0.9
147 WANG Charles D D D D V V D 2.1 2 -0.1
148 BAE Jason I. V D V D D D D 2.1 2 -0.1
149 EFSTATHIOU Evangelos L. D D V D V D D 1.4 2 +0.6
149 MEDVEDEV Michail D. D V D V D D D 1.5 2 +0.5
151 MCCARTHY Gabriel D D D V V D D 1.8 2 +0.2
152 ZHOU Miles D D V V D D D 1.8 2 +0.2
153 KOLASA Thomas M. D D D D V V 4.5 2 -2.5
153 EICHHORN Lukas H. D D D D V V 2.1 2 -0.1
155 DODRILL Grant V V D D D D 4.0 2 -2.0
156 KIM Andrew H. D V D V D D 2.0 2 -
157 NAZLYMOV Andrei D D V V D D 2.6 2 -0.6
158 NOBLE Colin D D D D V V 2.2 2 -0.2
159 RAMPAZZO Luca D D D D V 3.9 1 -2.9
160 ZHANG Ethan W. D V D D D 0.9 1 +0.1
161 CHTERENTAL Alex D V D D D D 1.8 1 -0.8
162 MARGULIES William V D D D D D 1.8 1 -0.8
163 ROBINSON William V D D D D D 1.4 1 -0.4
164 KIM Alexander M. D V D D D D 2.0 1 -1.0
165 WOODWARD Dylan P. D V D D D D 2.7 1 -1.7
165 STURN Oliver D D V D D D 2.0 1 -1.0
167 MORRILL Justin D D D D V D 2.0 1 -1.0
167 OH Triton D D D V D D 1.8 1 -0.8
169 LINDHOLM Oliver S. D D D D V D 1.9 1 -0.9
169 WANG Robert D D D D V D 1.6 1 -0.6
171 HO Kaden M. D D D D V D 2.6 1 -1.6
171 BARBER William S. V D D D D D 2.8 1 -1.8
171 DIACOS Jordan V D D D D D 1.9 1 -0.9
174 LUO George F. D D V D D D 2.3 1 -1.3
175 MORALES Jonathan D D D V D D 1.1 1 -0.1
175 CHEN Evan P. D D D D D V 1.7 1 -0.7
175 PAN Alex D D D V D D 0.9 1 +0.1
178 LO Konnor D D D D D V 1.4 1 -0.4
179 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. V D D D D D 2.1 1 -1.1
180 STONE Esmond A. D V D D D D 1.6 1 -0.6
181 SKINNER Graham B. V D D D D D 2.9 1 -1.9
182 HONG Rubin D V D D D D 1.2 1 -0.2
183 HAN Daniel Y. D D D V D D 1.3 1 -0.3
184 LI Minghan V D D D D D 2.1 1 -1.1
185 MAHAPATRA SAMARTH D D V D D D 0.6 1 +0.4
186 LIN Daniel D D D D D D 1.7 0 -1.7
187 LIU Mingyang Ryan D D D D D 1.6 0 -1.6
188 CHIN Matthew W. D D D D D D 2.1 0 -2.1
188 SHOMAN Noah D D D D D D 2.5 0 -2.5
190 QIU Nathan D D D D D D 1.9 0 -1.9
190 KOTOV Leonid D D D D D D 1.5 0 -1.5
190 TENG MATTHEW D D D D D D 1.6 0 -1.6
193 ZHENG Edward L. D D D D D D 1.8 0 -1.8
193 LASORSA Matthew D D D D D D 3.1 0 -3.1
195 GLOZMAN Justin D D D D D 0.8 0 -0.8
196 YEN Preston D D D D D 1.8 0 -1.8
196 KILGALLEN William D D D D D 0.3 0 -0.3
198 GUAN Luke D D D D D D 1.7 0 -1.7
199 ESCUETA Jr Antonio V. D D D D D D 1.3 0 -1.3

Legend

Color Outcome Difficulty Win Probability
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%