The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE FOR:
(1) Jason Liu and (2) Abdel Salem on May 13th!

Event Results

Junior Men's Saber

Stas Krivosheev Memorial RYC/RJCCPool Heatmap

Saturday, October 15, 2022 at 12:00 PM Nellya Fencers · Atlanta, GA, USA
25 finishers
Birth year

At-Least Win Probabilities

Boxed values show the actual result while each column shows the chance of reaching at least that many pool wins.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 EICHHORN Lukas H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
2 ZHANG Derek 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 18%
3 GUAN Luke 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
3 YE Eric 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2%
5 HONG Steven 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 32%
6 MAHAPATRA Samarth 100% 100% 96% 73% 32% 6%
7 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 100% 96% 75% 41% 13% 2%
8 VAUGHN Jason 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 1%
9 DECK Tyson 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 9% 1%
10 GRAINGER Graeme 100% 99% 89% 59% 24% 5% -
11 FIRSTMAN William B. 100% 96% 79% 45% 15% 2%
11 GUAN Dennis 100% 100% 93% 67% 28% 4%
13 ZHANG Ethan W. 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 15%
14 MAY Griffin M. 100% 99% 93% 68% 28% 4%
15 VAID Luke 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 34% 6%
16 BAGHERI Shaheen 100% 76% 32% 7% 1% -
17 WU Richard 100% 100% 95% 71% 31% 5%
18 LANNAMAN Connor 100% 95% 68% 28% 5% -
19 HUNG Samuel 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% -
20 DE SOUZA CABRERO Yorrick 100% 75% 30% 6% 1% - -
21 FANG Eason 100% 87% 54% 21% 4% -
22 SHANKWILER Christopher 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
23 GUREVICH Savely 100% 87% 38% 8% 1% -
24 KUSANAGI Soshi 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% - -
25 MOORE Noah 100% 45% 9% 1% - -