The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Jersey Clash RYC/RCC

Cadet Women's Saber

Saturday, October 15, 2022 at 12:00 PM

SportsPlex at Metuchen - Metuchen, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FESTA Carina - - - 2% 13% 41% 44%
2 SO Catelyn - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
3 MONTORIO Lily M. - 1% 9% 28% 39% 20% 3%
3 KALINICHENKO Yekaterina 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3% -
5 LIU Yifei - - 2% 14% 42% 42%
6 GUVEN Coco - - 2% 12% 35% 38% 13%
7 LEE Sophia - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
8 YOUNG Charlotte G. - - 2% 11% 34% 40% 12%
9 WANG yining - - 2% 12% 40% 46%
10 NAYAK Esha - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
11 FREEMAN Armine 1% 10% 31% 38% 18% 3%
12 KANDADAI Lara 1% 13% 40% 33% 11% 2% -
13 OBRADOVIC Ana - 1% 5% 23% 45% 27%
14 AVALIANI Elena - 7% 28% 40% 22% 4%
15 LATYSHAVA Stephanie 2% 14% 37% 34% 12% 1%
16 CROOKS Riley 1% 10% 32% 38% 18% 2%
17 HUANG Rachael - 1% 9% 28% 42% 20%
18 FLATT Sophia - 1% 8% 29% 39% 21% 4%
19 BERMAN greta - - 3% 14% 34% 36% 13%
20 YEN Natalie - - 4% 19% 39% 30% 7%
21 SPEARS Mya B - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
22 LAGOON Miriam - 4% 21% 39% 30% 6%
23 CHOU Zoe 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3%
24 KHAN Alissa - - - 5% 22% 43% 30%
25 SHINCHUK Ellisha - - 3% 17% 38% 33% 9%
26 LEUNG Ashlyn K. - 2% 14% 36% 37% 10%
27 CHOU Amy R. - 3% 17% 37% 31% 11% 1%
28 KAPLAN Gabriela 2% 15% 36% 33% 12% 2% -
29 YOUNG Audrey - 1% 9% 31% 41% 18%
30 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3%
31 STRIZHEVSKY Ariel 10% 35% 36% 16% 3% -
32 MESSICK Maya 1% 11% 33% 36% 16% 3%
33 MANKOVA Varvara 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1%
34 MYAT Chloe - 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3%
35 SRINATH Lyra A. 2% 16% 36% 32% 11% 1%
36 PALMIERI Giuliana M. 4% 27% 41% 22% 5% 1% -
37 MANI Francesca B. - - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
38 TA-ZHOU Emma 5% 28% 39% 22% 5% -
39 RANDALL-COLLINS Shea M. 14% 36% 34% 13% 2% -
40 NAYAK Antara 59% 34% 7% 1% - -
41 PROZUMENT Elizabeth 8% 40% 36% 13% 2% -
42 MURRAY Audrey A. 1% 8% 28% 38% 22% 4%
43 KOCIS Julia 4% 23% 38% 26% 7% 1% -
44 XU Demi 23% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
45 WENG Amber 13% 41% 33% 11% 2% - -
46 KHOST Maeve 7% 27% 38% 22% 5% -
47 SVENSSON Siri Lin 39% 43% 16% 2% - -
48 COONEY Alessandra 15% 41% 33% 10% 1% -
49 SULLIVAN Siobhan 25% 46% 24% 5% - - -
50 ONG Lauren 50% 41% 9% 1% - - -
51 INSINGA Ava 2% 19% 38% 30% 9% 1% -
52 MAGITSKY Leila 37% 42% 17% 3% - -
53 WOTZAK Kaia 10% 32% 37% 17% 3% -
54 BEN SHAHAR-PYKE Lola Rae 53% 37% 9% 1% - -
55 KONNIKOV Esther E. 22% 44% 26% 6% 1% - -
55 CHAMPAGNE Valentine 30% 44% 21% 4% - - -
57 CHO Kaeli M. 21% 52% 22% 4% - - -
58 ROQUE Kaiden 5% 31% 41% 19% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.