The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

SYC of the Rockies

Y-12 Men's Foil

Sunday, October 16, 2022 at 2:00 PM

Denver Fencing Center - Denver, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WU Alber Y. - - - - 5% 30% 65%
2 DESERANNO Leander - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
3 SENIC Lucas - - - 2% 13% 41% 44%
3 TOOMRE Kai - 2% 12% 27% 33% 20% 5%
5 CHOI Ethan - 1% 10% 31% 40% 18%
6 LI Richard 1% 8% 28% 39% 22% 4%
7 LU Kevin - - 1% 11% 33% 39% 15%
8 KAWADA Sebastien - - - 5% 24% 43% 27%
9 BIELER Mason - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
10 HAYES Stewart - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
11 CHAN Joseph 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
12 CHANG Jonathan 1% 8% 28% 38% 22% 4%
13 YANG Charles - 1% 6% 23% 41% 28%
14 YU ZiRun (Kinton) 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
15 ZHOU Ryan 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
16 ZHONG Maxwell 6% 33% 41% 17% 3% - -
17 TSAY Jordan R. - 1% 9% 31% 41% 18%
18 CHANG Jeremy - 2% 13% 35% 37% 13%
19 CHEN Matthew - 6% 24% 40% 26% 5%
20 LOZANO Veyron Jericho - 9% 28% 37% 21% 5%
21 DENG David - 8% 27% 37% 22% 5%
22 RODRIGUEZ Tyler - 1% 5% 19% 38% 31% 7%
23 ZHANG Raphael - 1% 9% 27% 38% 22% 3%
23 WANG Tiger - 4% 19% 38% 29% 9% 1%
25 ONG Nicholas - 4% 16% 33% 33% 13% 1%
26 WANDJI Noah - 4% 19% 36% 30% 9%
27 CHEN Ethan - 1% 8% 30% 42% 19%
28 ZHANG Albert 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
29 DOELL Ethan - 2% 13% 36% 37% 12%
30 FUKUDA Brando 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
31 MANIKTALA Suvir - 7% 31% 39% 19% 3%
32 HUANG Nathan 8% 33% 40% 16% 3% - -
33 CHENG Logan - 1% 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
34 TSUI Raedyn Ho Hin 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% -
35 HUYNH Matthew 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
36 LIU Josh 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
37 MAZAHERI Fletcher 10% 37% 38% 13% 2% -
38 KUANG Cyrus 2% 16% 37% 33% 12% 1%
39 CHUANG Oscar - 3% 17% 35% 32% 11%
40 QU Zhida (Richard) 2% 16% 36% 32% 13% 2%
41 YU ShiLin (Harry) 7% 31% 40% 19% 4% -
42 CHEN Jason 18% 42% 31% 8% 1% -
43 YU ShiYu (Henry) 7% 27% 36% 23% 6% 1%
44 HE Ian 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
45 ZHOU Shawn - 3% 13% 29% 33% 19% 4%
46 YE Jerry 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
47 YOU Alan 5% 22% 34% 26% 11% 2% -
48 GUDIMETLA Siddhanth 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
49 CHIANG Aiden 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1%
50 BANUELOS Dario 28% 45% 22% 4% - -
51 MCCONKEY Tristan 19% 42% 29% 9% 1% -
52 WU Thomas 5% 29% 39% 22% 5% -
53 SCHWITZER Eliot 3% 17% 37% 31% 11% 1%
54 ZENG Albert 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
55 CHANG Eric Jonathan - < 1% 5% 22% 40% 27% 6%
56 WANG Elijah (QiChen) 55% 36% 8% 1% - -
57 HONG Edwin 43% 42% 13% 2% - -
58 YAN Rian 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% -
58 HARRIS Hayden 70% 26% 4% - - -
60 BONTA Aidan 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
61 LEE Joshua 33% 41% 20% 5% 1% - -
62 VALENCIA Anthony N. 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
63 BARNES Ian 20% 40% 29% 10% 2% - -
63 MARQUEZ Elijah 45% 41% 13% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.